16 October 2026, 18:30 UTC

Eintracht Frankfurt vs 1. FC Köln Bundesliga prediction & result

Deutsche Bank Park, Frankfurt
Referee: Benjamin Brand, Germany
Full time1 – 0

Final score: Eintracht Frankfurt 1-0 1. FC Köln.

Before kick-off the model made it 52% Eintracht Frankfurt, 22% draw, 26% 1. FC Köln — fair odds of 1.92, 4.55 and 3.85.

Most likely scoreline: 2-1.

The model called the result correctly.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

Eintracht Frankfurt at 52%: of 1,648 settled 50–65% forecasts, 58.6% came in (average 55.4%). It can be read literally. The full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Eintracht Frankfurt95%Draw5%1. FC Köln0%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 1 goal. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

Mario Götze
24'
Lilian Brassier
39'
45'
Ísak Bergmann Jóhannesson
68'
🔁Ísak Bergmann Jóhannessonout: Paul Okon-Engstler
68'
🔁Linton Mainaout: Mikey Moore
68'
🔁Joel Schmiedout: Alessio Castro-Montes
🔁Mario Götzeout: Noel Aseko
71'
🔁Nnamdi Collinsout: Ansgar Knauff
71'
⚽Younes Ebnoutalibassist: Noel Aseko
77'
🔁Jonathan Burkardtout: Elias Niklas Baum
82'
84'
🔁Said El Malaout: Reigan Heskey
84'
🔁Sebastian Soraas Sebulonsenout: Luca Waldschmidt
90+4'
Borna Sosa

Match stats — Eintracht Frankfurt vs 1. FC Köln

56%Possession44%
15Shots9
7On target3
7Corners3
1.84xG0.82

Goals against chances

Eintracht Frankfurt1 from 1.84 xGless than the chances were worth
1. FC Köln0 from 0.82 xGless than the chances were worth

Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.

Line-ups

Eintracht Frankfurt 4-4-2
  • 1N. AtuboluG
  • 34N. CollinsD
  • 4R. KochD
  • 3L. BrassierD
  • 26K. KosugiD
  • 20R. DōanM
  • 25R. OnyedikaM
  • 27M. GötzeM
  • 8F. ChaïbiM
  • 9J. BurkardtF
  • 11Y. EbnoutalibF
Substitutes
  • 31L. ArrhovM
  • 15N. Aséko NkiliM
  • 2Elias BaumD
  • 29A. AmaimouniF
  • 22T. ChandlerD
  • 40Kauã SantosG
  • 7A. KnauffF
  • 37J. MaluzeD
  • 42C. UzunM
Coach: A. Hütter
1. FC Köln 5-3-2
  • 1M. SchwäbeG
  • 28S. SebulonsenD
  • 2J. SchmiedD
  • 22Jahmai Simpson-PuseyD
  • 24L. LochoshviliD
  • 3B. SosaD
  • 8Í. Bergmann JóhannessonM
  • 5T. KraußM
  • 37L. MainaM
  • 30M. BülterF
  • 10S. El MalaF
Substitutes
  • 17A. Castro-MontesM
  • 11Reigan HeskeyF
  • 14G. MensahD
  • 47M. MooreF
  • 23Paul Michael Junior Okon-EngstlerM
  • 29J. ThielmannM
  • 7L. WaldschmidtF
  • 20R. ZielerG
  • 46A. Kotya-FofanaD
Coach: René Wagner

Form going into Eintracht Frankfurt vs 1. FC Köln

Eintracht Frankfurt

Bundesliga

  • L0-6away to RB Leipzig10 October 2026

1. FC Köln

Bundesliga

  • W2-1Borussia Mönchengladbach11 October 2026

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

Bundesliga table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
10Eintracht Frankfurt93331520-512
151. FC Köln92341014-49

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Eintracht Frankfurt vs 1. FC Köln

  • 5 April 2026Eintracht Frankfurt 2–2 1. FC KölnBundesliga
  • 22 November 20251. FC Köln 3–4 Eintracht FrankfurtBundesliga
  • 3 February 20241. FC Köln 2–0 Eintracht FrankfurtBundesliga
  • 3 September 2023Eintracht Frankfurt 1–1 1. FC KölnBundesliga
  • 12 February 20231. FC Köln 3–0 Eintracht FrankfurtBundesliga
  • 21 August 2022Eintracht Frankfurt 1–1 1. FC KölnBundesliga

The full Eintracht Frankfurt vs 1. FC Köln record →

Leading scorers: Eintracht Frankfurt and 1. FC Köln

Eintracht Frankfurt

GoalsAssists

  • Y. Ebnoutalib61
  • J. Burkardt51

1. FC Köln

No player in Bundesliga's leading scorers — 10 league goals as a side.

Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.

The result against the call

Eintracht Frankfurt beat 1. FC Köln 1–0. The model had made a win for Eintracht Frankfurt its most likely outcome, at 52%, so the call held; the score it named was 2–1. The goal: Younes Ebnoutalib 77' for Eintracht Frankfurt. On expected goals it finished 1.84–0.82.

How the call on Eintracht Frankfurt v 1. FC Köln has moved

First published on 2 Oct at 50% / 24% / 26% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 2 updates, it read 52% / 22% / 26%: the biggest move is Eintracht Frankfurt's chance of winning, up 2 points.

  1. Eintracht Frankfurt win52%▲ +2
  2. Draw22%▼ −2
  3. 1. FC Köln win26%=

Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.