19 October 2026, 17:00 UTC

Enppi vs El Mokawloon Premier League prediction & result

Petrosport Stadium, Cairo
Full time0 – 3

Final score: Enppi 0-3 El Mokawloon.

Before kick-off the model made it 33% Enppi, 29% draw, 38% El Mokawloon — fair odds of 3.03, 3.45 and 2.63.

Most likely scoreline: 0-1.

The model called the result correctly.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

El Mokawloon at 38%: of 4,828 settled 30–40% forecasts, 33.4% came in (average 33.7%). It can be read literally. The full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Enppi0%Draw1%El Mokawloon99%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 3 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

11'
⚽Idrissa Thiamassist: hassan hussein
48'
🔁Omar Kamalout: Mohamed Gaber
56'
⚽Idrissa Thiam
59'
Mohamed Ammar
61'
🔁J. Ojeraout: Mohamed Abdelnasser
61'
🔁Anas Baniowdaout: Omar El Wahsh
🔁Mohamed Essamout: Hossam Gahnem
64'
🔁Mahmoud Kahrabaout: Ali Ehab
64'
🔁M. Sharkiaout: Ahmed Mahmoud
78'
🔁Emad Mayhoubout: Ammar Hamdy
78'
81'
🔁Idrissa Thiamout: Shady Hussein
81'
🔁Khaled Abdel Fattahout: Sherif Reda
82'
⚽Shady Husseinassist: Sherif Reda
🔁Mohamed El Nahassout: Suleiman Garba
90'

Match stats — Enppi vs El Mokawloon

66%Possession34%
15Shots6
1On target4
5Corners3
1.31xG0.85

Goals against chances

Enppi0 from 1.31 xGless than the chances were worth
El Mokawloon3 from 0.85 xGmore than the chances were worth

Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.

Line-ups

Enppi 4-2-3-1
  • 1Abdel Rahman SamirG
  • 25Sayed SaidD
  • 36M. SharkiaD
  • 4Ahmed Khalil KaloushaD
  • 47Mohamed HamdyD
  • 6Zeyad KamalM
  • 14Emad MayhoubM
  • 11Mohamed SherifM
  • 10KahrabaM
  • 30Mohamed EssamM
  • 9Mohamed El NahassF
Substitutes
  • 35Ousseynou BodianF
  • 31Ahmed MahmoudD
  • 74Youssef Mohamed Abdel Wahed
  • 19Ali EhabF
  • 5Seif ElkhashabD
  • 39Suleiman GarbaM
  • 18Hossam GahnemF
  • 17Ammar HamdyM
  • 16Reda El SayedG
Coach: Mohamed Barakat
El Mokawloon 4-2-3-1
  • 18Mohamed FawziG
  • 27Khaled Abdel FattahD
  • 4Hassan HusseinD
  • 5Mohamed AmmarD
  • 23J. OchayaD
  • 14Mostafa GamalM
  • 6D. DokouM
  • 25Joackiam OjeraM
  • 7Anas BaniowdaM
  • 29Omar KamalM
  • 92Idrissa ThiamF
Substitutes
  • 1Mahmoud Abou El SaoudG
  • 12Omar El WahshM
  • 22Mido GaberM
  • 99Shady HusseinF
  • 21Sherif RedaD
  • 19A. Aouled BehiM
  • 74Mohamed AbdelnasserM
  • 8Ahmed FouadM
  • 2Youssef Ahmed RamadanD
Coach: Samy Komsan

Form going into Enppi vs El Mokawloon

Enppi

Premier League

  • L2-3away to Future FC12 October 2026
  • L1-2Pyramids FC17 September 2026
  • W2-1Masr9 September 2026

El Mokawloon

Premier League

  • D1-1Masr12 October 2026
  • W2-0away to Wadi Degla15 September 2026
  • D1-1Al Ahly9 September 2026

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

Egypt Premier League table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
16Enppi82151116-57
7El Mokawloon8323118+311

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Enppi vs El Mokawloon

  • 12 January 2026Enppi 1–2 El MokawloonLeague Cup
  • 30 November 2025Enppi 1–0 El MokawloonCup
  • 17 October 2025El Mokawloon 1–1 EnppiPremier League
  • 2 July 2024Enppi 2–2 El MokawloonPremier League
  • 14 February 2024El Mokawloon 0–1 EnppiPremier League
  • 9 April 2023Enppi 2–1 El MokawloonPremier League

The result against the call

El Mokawloon won 3–0 at Enppi. The model had made a win for El Mokawloon its most likely outcome, at 38%, so the call held; the score it named was 1–0. The goals: Idrissa Thiam 11' for El Mokawloon, Idrissa Thiam 56' for El Mokawloon, Shady Hussein 82' for El Mokawloon. On expected goals it finished 1.31–0.85.

What this result changed

Before kick-off the season simulation gave Enppi a 19.6% chance to finish in the bottom three: 10.6% after a win, 19.7% after a draw, 25.8% after a defeat. The defeat was the worst of those results for them, and left the figure at 25.8%, 6.2 points higher than before the match.

For El Mokawloon the question was the chance to finish in the top six, 24.6% going in: 33.9% after a win, 20.9% after a draw, 14.4% after a defeat. The win was the best of those results for them, and left the figure at 33.9%, 9.3 points higher than before the match.

Read from our Premier League season simulation as it stood before this match (10,000 runs), counting this result alone. Every result since then has moved the table again, so today's figure is on the competition page.

How the call on Enppi v El Mokawloon has moved

First published on 5 Oct at 34% / 30% / 36% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 3 updates, it read 33% / 29% / 38%: the biggest move is El Mokawloon's chance of winning, up 2 points.

  1. Enppi win33%▼ −1
  2. Draw29%▼ −1
  3. El Mokawloon win38%▲ +2

Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.