19 October 2026, 14:15 UTC

Esteghlal FC vs Gol Gohar Persian Gulf Pro League prediction & result

Azadi Stadium, Tehran
Full time1 – 0

Final score: Esteghlal FC 1-0 Gol Gohar.

Before kick-off the model made it 55% Esteghlal FC, 25% draw, 20% Gol Gohar — fair odds of 1.82, 4.00 and 5.00.

Most likely scoreline: 1-0.

The model called the exact scoreline.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

Esteghlal FC at 55%: of 1,648 settled 50–65% forecasts, 58.6% came in (average 55.4%). It can be read literally. The full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Esteghlal FC97%Draw3%Gol Gohar0%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 1 goal, and a card each of the 1 sending-off. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

16'
🔁E. Hosseiniout: A. Zendehrouh
33'
A. Alizadeh
46'
🔁M. Alinejadout: M. Abbasi
⚽E. Gholizadehassist: S. Saharkhizan
48'
S. Fallah
57'
65'
🔁L. Ben Hassineout: O. Alishah
65'
🔁P. Ghazipourout: A. Jafari
🔁S. Saharkhizanout: M. Eslami
71'
75'
🔁A. Alizadehout: A. Ashouri
🔁E. Gholizadehout: A. Koushki
76'
R. Ashurmatov
77'
🔁R. Cheshmiout: A. Razzaghinia
83'
⚽A. Koushki (pen)assist: A. Koushki
89'
S. Hardani
90+5'
S. Hardani
90+8'
S. Hardani
90+8'
H. Farabbasi
90+9'

Line-ups

Gol Gohar
Coach: Seyed Rahmati

Form going into Esteghlal FC vs Gol Gohar

Esteghlal FC

Persian Gulf Pro League

  • D1-1away to Tractor Sazi8 October 2026
  • W1-0Paykan10 September 2026

Gol Gohar

Persian Gulf Pro League

  • W3-0Esteghlal Khuzestan8 October 2026
  • W3-2away to Shams Azar Qazvin10 September 2026

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

Persian Gulf Pro League table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
5Esteghlal FC11560145+921
9Gol Gohar11425109+114

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Esteghlal FC vs Gol Gohar

  • 28 December 2025Esteghlal FC 0–1 Gol GoharPersian Gulf Pro League
  • 16 April 2025Gol Gohar 1–1 Esteghlal FCPersian Gulf Pro League
  • 16 December 2024Esteghlal FC 0–0 Gol GoharPersian Gulf Pro League
  • 27 October 2024Esteghlal FC 1–1 Gol GoharPersian Gulf Pro League
  • 28 May 2024Esteghlal FC 1–0 Gol GoharPersian Gulf Pro League
  • 24 December 2023Gol Gohar 1–1 Esteghlal FCPersian Gulf Pro League

The result against the call

Esteghlal FC beat Gol Gohar 1–0. That was the exact score the model named before kick-off, with a win for Esteghlal FC at 55%. The goal: E. Gholizadeh 48' for Esteghlal FC. Sent off: S. Hardani (Esteghlal FC) 90+8'.

What this result changed

Before kick-off the season simulation gave Esteghlal FC a 40.8% chance to finish in the top two: 52.4% after a win, 26.5% after a draw, 13.6% after a defeat. The win was the best of those results for them, and left the figure at 52.4%, 11.6 points higher than before the match.

For Gol Gohar the question was the chance to finish in the top two, 2.5% going in: 10.6% after a win, 1.1% after a draw, under 1% after a defeat. The defeat was the worst of those results for them, and left the figure at under 1%, 2.4 points lower than before the match.

Read from our Persian Gulf Pro League season simulation as it stood before this match (10,000 runs), counting this result alone. Every result since then has moved the table again, so today's figure is on the competition page.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.