24 October 2026, 10:00 UTC

Epitsentr Dunayivtsi vs FC Kharkiv Premier League prediction & result

Tonkocheyev Stadium, Kamianets-Podilskyi
Referee: Jevgeny Tsybulko, Ukraine
Full time1 – 2

Final score: Epitsentr Dunayivtsi 1-2 FC Kharkiv.

Before kick-off the model made it 25% Epitsentr Dunayivtsi, 28% draw, 47% FC Kharkiv — fair odds of 4.00, 3.57 and 2.13.

Most likely scoreline: 0-1.

The model called the result correctly.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

FC Kharkiv at 47%: of 2,957 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Epitsentr Dunayivtsi3%Draw93%FC Kharkiv4%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 3 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

Raúl Tavares Pulido
29'
Mykola Myronyuk
33'
Carlos Humberto Rojas Mosquera
39'
39'
Artem Hennadiiovych Smoliakov
48'
⚽Ramik Gadzhievassist: Baton Zabergja
🔁Raúl Tavares Pulidoout: Vladyslav Moroz
56'
⚽Artem Kozakassist: Carlos Humberto Rojas Mosquera
65'
73'
Peter Itodo
80'
🔁Peter Itodoout: Sebastian Alejandro Castillo Perez
80'
🔁Oleksandr Yatsykout: Ermir Rashica
🔁Igor Kyryukhantsevout: Ivan Bendera
88'
Ivan Bendera
90'
🔁Vadym Sydunout: Kyrylo Kovalets
90+1'
90+2'
⚽Sebastian Alejandro Castillo Perezassist: Ilya Krupskyi
90+4'
Sebastian Alejandro Castillo Perez

Match stats — Epitsentr Dunayivtsi vs FC Kharkiv

43%Possession57%
3Shots2
1On target2
3Corners1

Line-ups

Epitsentr Dunayivtsi 4-1-4-1
  • 31O. BilykG
  • 70I. KyryukhantsevD
  • 13S. RepajD
  • 77Nil CochD
  • 97O. KlymetsD
  • 28A. LipovuzM
  • 99Carlos RojasM
  • 14Raúl TavaresM
  • 8M. MyronyukM
  • 59A. KozakM
  • 20V. SydunF
Substitutes
  • 11A. BoykoD
  • 17Ivan BenderaM
  • 71N. FedotovG
  • 25vitalii horinD
  • 3S. GrygorashchukD
  • 6K. KovaletsM
  • 4V. MorozD
  • 21NeneF
  • 22A. VavshkoG
Coach: Sergiy Nagornyak
FC Kharkiv 4-2-3-1
  • 1H. ErmakovG
  • 27I. KrupskyiD
  • 13V. SalyukD
  • 31A. ShabanovD
  • 29A. SmolyakovD
  • 5I. KalyuzhnyiM
  • 18Y. PavlyukM
  • 14R. GadzhievM
  • 8O. YatsykM
  • 7B. ZabërgjaM
  • 98P. ItodoF
Substitutes
  • 9D. AntyukhM
  • 70I. BagriyF
  • 11S. CastilloM
  • 37V. DubkoD
  • 25I. KogutM
  • 88A. KorolM
  • 24O. MartynyukD
  • 23Y. ProtsenkoG
  • 19E. RashicaM
Coach: M. Bartulović

Form going into Epitsentr Dunayivtsi vs FC Kharkiv

Epitsentr Dunayivtsi

Premier League

  • D2-2away to Karpaty18 October 2026
  • L1-3away to Kolos Kovalivka10 October 2026

FC Kharkiv

Premier League

  • W2-1Livyi Bereh19 October 2026
  • W2-1away to Chornomorets10 October 2026
  • W2-0Bukovyna19 September 2026
  • W5-0Obolon'-Brovar5 September 2026

What these results say

  • FC Kharkiv won every one of these 4 matches.
  • FC Kharkiv scored in every one of these 4 matches.
  • 3 of these 4 matches for FC Kharkiv had three goals or more.

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

Ukraine Premier League table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
10Epitsentr Dunayivtsi122461116-510
4FC Kharkiv9702187+1121

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Epitsentr Dunayivtsi vs FC Kharkiv

  • 16 May 2026FC Kharkiv 1–1 Epitsentr DunayivtsiPremier League
  • 30 November 2025Epitsentr Dunayivtsi 0–0 FC KharkivPremier League
  • 17 May 2025FC Kharkiv 1–3 Epitsentr DunayivtsiPersha Liga
  • 19 April 2025Epitsentr Dunayivtsi 2–1 FC KharkivPersha Liga
  • 23 September 2021Epitsentr Dunayivtsi 0–1 FC KharkivCup

Leading scorers: Epitsentr Dunayivtsi and FC Kharkiv

Epitsentr Dunayivtsi

GoalsAssists

  • A. Kozak33
  • V. Sydun30

FC Kharkiv

GoalsAssists

  • B. Zabërgja62
  • P. Itodo41
  • R. Gadzhiev31

Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.

The result against the call

FC Kharkiv won 2–1 at Epitsentr Dunayivtsi. The model had made a win for FC Kharkiv its most likely outcome, at 47%, so the call held; the score it named was 1–0. The goals: Ramik Gadzhiev 48' for FC Kharkiv, Artem Kozak 65' for Epitsentr Dunayivtsi, Sebastian Alejandro Castillo Perez 90+2' for FC Kharkiv.

What this result changed

Before kick-off the season simulation gave Epitsentr Dunayivtsi a 26.9% chance to finish in the bottom four: 17.3% after a win, 26.8% after a draw, 31.3% after a defeat. The defeat was the worst of those results for them, and left the figure at 31.3%, 4.4 points higher than before the match.

For FC Kharkiv the question was the chance to finish in the top four, 75.4% going in: 79.8% after a win, 72.6% after a draw, 70.5% after a defeat. The win was the best of those results for them, and left the figure at 79.8%, 4.4 points higher than before the match.

Read from our Premier League season simulation as it stood before this match (10,000 runs), counting this result alone. Every result since then has moved the table again, so today's figure is on the competition page.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.