24 October 2026, 10:00 UTC

Livyi Bereh vs LNZ Cherkasy Premier League prediction & result

Arena Livyi Bereg, Kyiv
Referee: Sofiia Prychyna, Ukraine
Full time0 – 0

Final score: Livyi Bereh 0-0 LNZ Cherkasy.

Before kick-off the model made it 31% Livyi Bereh, 33% draw, 36% LNZ Cherkasy — fair odds of 3.23, 3.03 and 2.78.

Most likely scoreline: 0-1.

The model got this one wrong.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

LNZ Cherkasy at 36%: of 4,828 settled 30–40% forecasts, 33.4% came in (average 33.7%). It can be read literally. The full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Livyi Bereh2%Draw95%LNZ Cherkasy3%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

36'
🔁Oleg Gorinout: Artur Ryabov
44'
Artur Ryabov
53'
🔁Papa Ndiaga Yadeout: Denys Kuzyk
53'
🔁Tedi Caraout: Gennadiy Pasich
53'
🔁Korede Yemi Adedoyinout: Mark Assinor
69'
🔁Talles Brener De Paulaout: Yegor Tverdokhlib
🔁Dmytro Shastalout: Pape Malick Fall
70'
Nazariy Vorobchak
70'
71'
Vitalii Ponomarev
🔁Vikentii Voloshynout: Diego
75'
🔁Sergii Kosovskyiout: Evgen Banada
75'
🔁Wendell Florencio Britoout: Nicholas Osei Bonsu
90+1'

Match stats — Livyi Bereh vs LNZ Cherkasy

57%Possession43%
3Shots3
0On target3
3Corners3

Line-ups

Livyi Bereh 4-1-4-1
  • 12R. ZhmurkoG
  • 2O. SokolovD
  • 97A. YakymivD
  • 13I. KovalenkoD
  • 6Sidney Silva SantosD
  • 25Sergii KosovskyiM
  • 17N. VorobchakM
  • 8O. KryvoruchkoM
  • 15V. VoloshynM
  • 7D. ShastalM
  • 9WendellF
Substitutes
  • 10DiegoM
  • 74D. IgnatenkoG
  • 3I. KotukhaD
  • 14S. TatolnaD
  • 90N. Osei BonsuD
  • 38A. ChelyadinM
  • 44Y. BanadaD
  • 37Roman HereshF
  • 20P. FallF
Coach: O. Ryabokon
LNZ Cherkasy 5-3-2
  • 1D. LedviiG
  • 93V. RomanD
  • 25O. GorinD
  • 92B. SlyubykD
  • 14O. DrambaevD
  • 37P. YadeD
  • 29R. DidykM
  • 30TallesM
  • 8A. YakubuM
  • 99K. AdedoyinF
  • 77T. CaraF
Substitutes
  • 90M. AssinorF
  • 49M. DonykM
  • 9E. TverdokhlibM
  • 16A. RyabovM
  • 11H. PasichM
  • 17D. KuzykM
  • 75A. KitelaD
  • 4A. DajkoD
  • 12O. PalamarchukG
Coach: Vitaliy Ponomaryov

Form going into Livyi Bereh vs LNZ Cherkasy

Livyi Bereh

Premier League

  • L1-2away to FC Kharkiv19 October 2026
  • L1-3Zorya Luhansk12 October 2026

LNZ Cherkasy

Premier League

  • W3-0away to Kryvbas KR18 October 2026
  • W2-1Kudrivka11 October 2026
  • L0-3away to Shakhtar Donetsk20 September 2026

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

Ukraine Premier League table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
12Livyi Bereh11164712-59
6LNZ Cherkasy115331210+218

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Livyi Bereh vs LNZ Cherkasy

  • 22 March 2025LNZ Cherkasy 2–0 Livyi BerehFriendlies Clubs
  • 7 December 2024Livyi Bereh 3–1 LNZ CherkasyPremier League
  • 4 August 2024LNZ Cherkasy 1–0 Livyi BerehPremier League
  • 14 July 2024LNZ Cherkasy 2–1 Livyi BerehFriendlies Clubs
  • 1 November 2021LNZ Cherkasy 2–1 Livyi BerehDruha Liga - Group A
  • 25 July 2021Livyi Bereh 2–1 LNZ CherkasyDruha Liga - Group A

Leading scorers: Livyi Bereh and LNZ Cherkasy

Livyi Bereh

No player in Premier League's leading scorers — 7 league goals as a side.

LNZ Cherkasy

GoalsAssists

  • P. Yade40

Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.

The result against the call

Livyi Bereh and LNZ Cherkasy drew 0–0. The model had leaned towards a win for LNZ Cherkasy at 36% and given a draw 33%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 3 matches like this one.

What this result changed

Before kick-off the season simulation gave Livyi Bereh a 21.3% chance to finish in the bottom four: 15.0% after a win, 21.7% after a draw, 25.8% after a defeat. The draw was the middle one of the three, and left the figure about where it was, at 21.7%.

For LNZ Cherkasy the question was the chance to finish in the top four, 18.0% going in: 23.4% after a win, 16.3% after a draw, 12.7% after a defeat. The draw was the middle one of the three, and left the figure at 16.3%, 1.7 points lower than before the match.

Read from our Premier League season simulation as it stood before this match (10,000 runs), counting this result alone. Every result since then has moved the table again, so today's figure is on the competition page.

How the call on Livyi Bereh v LNZ Cherkasy has moved

First published on 10 Oct at 37% / 35% / 28% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 3 updates, it read 31% / 33% / 36%: the biggest move is LNZ Cherkasy's chance of winning, up 8 points.

  1. Livyi Bereh win31%▼ −6
  2. Draw33%▼ −2
  3. LNZ Cherkasy win36%▲ +8

Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.