18 October 2026, 21:00 UTC

Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto vs Aldosivi Liga Profesional Argentina prediction & result

Cordoba
Referee: A. Gariano
Full time2 – 1

Final score: Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto 2-1 Aldosivi.

Before kick-off the model made it 32% Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto, 34% draw, 34% Aldosivi — fair odds of 3.13, 2.94 and 2.94.

Most likely scoreline: 0-0.

The model got this one wrong.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

the draw at 34%: of 4,828 settled 30–40% forecasts, 33.4% came in (average 33.7%). It can be read literally. The full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto97%Draw3%Aldosivi0%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 3 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

Fernando Rodríguez
27'
45'
🔁Matias Godoyout: Tomás Fernández
🔁Fernando Rodríguezout: Facundo Cobos
45'
45'
🔁Nicolás Gaitánout: Andres Vombergar
Agustín Quiroga
58'
63'
Lucas Castro
Tomás González
64'
65'
🔁Lucas Castroout: Bautista Dadín
65'
🔁Nicolás Corderoout: Andrés Chávez
68'
⚽Andres Vombergar
77'
🔁Agustín Palavecinoout: Natanael Guzmán
🔁Tomás Gonzálezout: Siro Rosané
79'
🔁Agustín Quirogaout: Martín Garnerone
80'
🔁Mauro Valienteout: Juan Garro
80'
⚽Ibrahim Hesar
85'
Juan Antonini
86'
⚽Gabriel Alanisassist: Siro Rosané
87'

Match stats — Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto vs Aldosivi

52%Possession48%
22Shots10
5On target4
7Corners0
2.2xG1.29

Goals against chances

Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto2 from 2.20 xGabout what the chances were worth
Aldosivi1 from 1.29 xGabout what the chances were worth

Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.

Line-ups

Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto 5-3-2
  • 38Lautaro HerreraG
  • 6J. AntoniniD
  • 2G. MaffiniD
  • 30S. OjedaD
  • 29A. QuirogaD
  • 23F. RodríguezD
  • 10T. GonzálezM
  • 5A. CabreraM
  • 17G. AlanísM
  • 77I. HesarF
  • 22M. ValienteF
Substitutes
  • 24Tomas Escobar CarranzaM
  • 3Lucas BañosD
  • 8S. RosanéM
  • 99J. ChalaF
  • 28F. CobosD
  • 9J. FerreiraF
  • 11M. GarneroneF
  • 27J. GarroF
  • 12Francisco Agustín GualtieriG
Coach: R. Forestello
Aldosivi 4-4-1-1
  • 23I. ChiccoG
  • 28S. MoyaD
  • 25N. BreitenbruchD
  • 32J. PomboD
  • 13B. CufréD
  • 11B. PalavecinoM
  • 8M. GarcíaM
  • 19L. CastroM
  • 21M. GodoyM
  • 10N. GaitánM
  • 9N. CorderoF
Substitutes
  • 37Pablo ArgoytiaM
  • 12Kevin BáezG
  • 18A. ChávezF
  • 16B. DadínF
  • 27T. FernándezF
  • 7N. GuzmánF
  • 17F. LaurelliD
  • 15F. PerruzziM
  • 26S. SammaroneD
Coach: J. Sanguinetti

Form going into Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto vs Aldosivi

Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto

Liga Profesional Argentina

  • L0-1away to River Plate11 October 2026

Aldosivi

Liga Profesional Argentina

  • L1-3Sarmiento Junin9 October 2026

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

Liga Profesional Argentina table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
15Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto1623111023-139
14Aldosivi1632111626-1011

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto vs Aldosivi

  • 4 April 2026Aldosivi 0–0 Estudiantes de Rio CuartoLiga Profesional Argentina
  • 5 August 2024Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto 2–2 AldosiviPrimera Nacional
  • 16 March 2024Aldosivi 1–1 Estudiantes de Rio CuartoPrimera Nacional

The result against the call

Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto beat Aldosivi 2–1. The goals: Andres Vombergar 68' for Aldosivi, Ibrahim Hesar 85' for Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto, Gabriel Alanis 87' for Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto. On expected goals it finished 2.20–1.29.

What this result changed

Before kick-off the season simulation gave Aldosivi a 88.7% chance to finish in the bottom three: 78.2% after a win, 92.9% after a draw, 96.3% after a defeat. The defeat was the worst of those results for them, and left the figure at 96.3%, 7.6 points higher than before the match.

Read from our Liga Profesional Argentina season simulation as it stood before this match (10,000 runs), counting this result alone. Every result since then has moved the table again, so today's figure is on the competition page.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.