30 October 2026, 22:00 UTC

Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto vs Gimnasia La Plata Liga Profesional Argentina prediction & result

Cordoba
Referee: Juan Pablo Loustau
Full time1 – 2

Final score: Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto 1-2 Gimnasia La Plata.

Before kick-off the model made it 25% Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto, 30% draw, 45% Gimnasia La Plata — fair odds of 4.00, 3.33 and 2.22.

Most likely scoreline: 0-1.

The model called the result correctly.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

Gimnasia La Plata at 45%: of 2,957 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto0%Draw3%Gimnasia La Plata97%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 3 goals, and a card each of the 2 sendings-off. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

Agustín Quiroga
12'
24'
⚽Marcelo Torresassist: Ignacio Fernández
40'
⚽Ignacio Fernándezassist: Agustin Auzmendi
🔁Gonzalo Gonzálezout: Siro Rosané
45'
Sergio Ojeda
51'
53'
Alexis Steimbach
⚽Gabriel Alanisassist: Ibrahim Hesar
54'
57'
Alexis Steimbach
59'
🔁Lucas Jansonout: Pablo Aguiar
66'
Pedro Silva Torrejón
68'
🔁Agustin Auzmendiout: Facundo Di Biasi
68'
🔁Pedro Silva Torrejónout: Matías Melluso
74'
Harlen Castillo
🔁Tomás Gonzálezout: Juan Garro
79'
🔁Fernando Rodríguezout: Facundo Cobos
81'
84'
🔁Mateo Seoaneout: Renzo Giampaoli
84'
🔁Marcelo Torresout: Manuel Panaro
Alejandro Martín Cabrera
86'
Juan Antonini
86'

Match stats — Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto vs Gimnasia La Plata

53%Possession47%
15Shots9
2On target3
5Corners4
1.64xG1.22

Goals against chances

Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto1 from 1.64 xGless than the chances were worth
Gimnasia La Plata2 from 1.22 xGmore than the chances were worth

Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.

Line-ups

Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto 5-3-2
  • 38Lautaro HerreraG
  • 14G. GonzalezD
  • 6J. AntoniniD
  • 30S. OjedaD
  • 29A. QuirogaD
  • 23F. RodríguezD
  • 10T. GonzálezM
  • 5A. CabreraM
  • 17G. AlanísM
  • 77I. HesarF
  • 11M. GarneroneF
Substitutes
  • 86M. PagliaricciD
  • 3Lucas BañosD
  • 18J. RiveroF
  • 8S. RosanéM
  • 99J. ChalaF
  • 28F. CobosD
  • 24Tomas Escobar CarranzaM
  • 4V. FenoglioF
  • 9J. FerreiraF
Coach: R. Forestello
Gimnasia La Plata 4-3-1-2
  • 15H. CastilloG
  • 25A. SteimbachD
  • 13G. ContiD
  • 21E. MartínezD
  • 24P. SilvaD
  • 18M. SeoaneM
  • 5I. MiramónM
  • 17L. JansonM
  • 8I. FernándezM
  • 29A. AuzmendiF
  • 32M. TorresF
Substitutes
  • 33P. AguiarM
  • 10N. SchelottoM
  • 39F. Di BiasiM
  • 4R. GiampaoliD
  • 23N. InsfránG
  • 16A. MaxM
  • 22M. MellusoD
  • 7M. PanaroF
  • 20J. PérezM
Coach: A. Pereyra

Form going into Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto vs Gimnasia La Plata

Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto

Liga Profesional Argentina

  • L1-2away to Barracas Central26 October 2026
  • W2-1Aldosivi18 October 2026
  • L0-1away to River Plate11 October 2026

Gimnasia La Plata

Liga Profesional Argentina

  • W2-0Sarmiento Junin23 October 2026
  • W2-1away to Huracan15 October 2026
  • D1-1Atletico Tucuman9 October 2026

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

Liga Profesional Argentina table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
15Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto1623111023-139
3Gimnasia La Plata169432520+531

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto vs Gimnasia La Plata

  • 18 April 2026Gimnasia La Plata 1–0 Estudiantes de Rio CuartoLiga Profesional Argentina

Leading scorers: Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto and Gimnasia La Plata

Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto

No player in Liga Profesional Argentina's leading scorers — 10 league goals as a side.

Gimnasia La Plata

GoalsAssists

  • M. Torres102
  • A. Auzmendi84

Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.

The result against the call

Gimnasia La Plata won 2–1 at Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto. The model had made a win for Gimnasia La Plata its most likely outcome, at 45%, so the call held; the score it named was 1–0. The goals: Marcelo Torres 24' for Gimnasia La Plata, Ignacio Fernández 40' for Gimnasia La Plata, Gabriel Alanis 54' for Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto. Sent off: Alexis Steimbach (Gimnasia La Plata) 57', Juan Antonini (Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto) 86'. On expected goals it finished 1.64–1.22.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.