Deportivo Riestra vs Talleres Cordoba Liga Profesional Argentina prediction & result
Final score: Deportivo Riestra 0-3 Talleres Cordoba.
Before kick-off the model made it 37% Deportivo Riestra, 36% draw, 27% Talleres Cordoba — fair odds of 2.70, 2.78 and 3.70.
Most likely scoreline: 1-0.
The model got this one wrong.
Published
All Liga Profesional Argentina predictions →
Has the model earned this number?
Deportivo Riestra at 37%: of 4,828 settled 30–40% forecasts, 33.4% came in (average 33.7%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 3 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Deportivo Riestra vs Talleres Cordoba
Goals against chances
Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.
Line-ups
- 23M. ArzamendiaG
- 24F. MiñoD
- 2C. QuintanaD
- 22C. PazD
- 5P. RamírezM
- 16N. WatsonM
- 8M. CélizM
- 36M. BracamonteM
- 11A. DíazM
- 10B. SánchezM
- 7Antony Daniel Alonso EspinozaF
- 19J. RandazzoD
- 6I. GariglioD
- 13R. GalloD
- 9N. BenegasF
- 27J. GoitíaD
- 21T. GonzálezF
- 29M. GranerosF
- 12I. LópezG
- 14P. MonjeM
- 32E. UnsainG
- 6R. RiquelmeD
- 4M. CatalánD
- 13V. FascendiniD
- 20A. SchottM
- 8F. FattoriM
- 5M. GalarzaM
- 3A. MaidanaM
- 11V. DepietriF
- 9A. ÁlvarezF
- 37RickF
- 1S. BarbiG
- 23G. BáezD
- 10G. BaroniM
- 25T. BaroniD
- 26M. CaceresM
- 2T. ChamorroD
- 36E. ChiavassaF
- 44S. FernándezD
- 15J. SforzaM
Form going into Deportivo Riestra vs Talleres Cordoba
Deportivo Riestra
Liga Profesional Argentina
- L0-1away to Instituto Cordoba27 October 2026
- D1-1Union Santa Fe20 October 2026
- L0-1away to San Lorenzo11 October 2026
Talleres Cordoba
Liga Profesional Argentina
- L1-2Defensa Y Justicia24 October 2026
- L1-2away to Boca Juniors17 October 2026
- D0-0Independiente12 October 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Liga Profesional Argentina table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Deportivo Riestra | 16 | 2 | 6 | 8 | 11 | 19 | -8 | 12 |
| 13 | Talleres Cordoba | 16 | 3 | 4 | 9 | 17 | 23 | -6 | 13 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Deportivo Riestra vs Talleres Cordoba
Deportivo Riestra and Talleres Cordoba have met 6 times in the records we hold, Talleres Cordoba has won 3 of them to Deportivo Riestra's 1, with 2 drawn.
The record
Talleres Cordoba won the last one 3–0 on 31 Oct 2026.
| Club | W | D | L | GF | GA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Deportivo Riestra | 1 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 6 |
| Talleres Cordoba | 3 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 1 |
Between them these 6 meetings produced 7 goals, an average of 1.17 a game.
Every meeting
Every recorded meeting, newest first.
- 31 Oct 2026
Liga Profesional ArgentinaDeportivo Riestra 0–3 Talleres Cordoba - 19 Apr 2026
Liga Profesional ArgentinaTalleres Cordoba 2–0 Deportivo Riestra - 31 Aug 2025
Liga Profesional ArgentinaTalleres Cordoba 0–1 Deportivo Riestra - 21 Feb 2025
Liga Profesional ArgentinaDeportivo Riestra 0–0 Talleres Cordoba - 2 Nov 2024
Liga Profesional ArgentinaDeportivo Riestra 0–0 Talleres Cordoba - 7 Mar 2024
Copa de la Liga ProfesionalDeportivo Riestra 0–1 Talleres Cordoba
How the model rates them now
On the current ratings, Talleres Cordoba's attack rates 42% above Deportivo Riestra's, and Deportivo Riestra concede 6% fewer than Talleres Cordoba. How the ratings are derived.
| Club | Attack | Defence |
|---|---|---|
| Deportivo Riestra | 0.53 | 1.22 |
| Talleres Cordoba | 0.75 | 1.30 |
The result against the call
Talleres Cordoba won 3–0 at Deportivo Riestra. The model had leaned towards a win for Deportivo Riestra at 37% and given a win for Talleres Cordoba 27%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 4 matches like this one. The goals: Valentin Demian Fascendini 25' for Talleres Cordoba, Mateo Caceres 68' for Talleres Cordoba, Agustin Alvarez Martínez 73' for Talleres Cordoba. On expected goals it finished 0.95–0.24.
What this result changed
Before kick-off the season simulation gave Deportivo Riestra a 72.8% chance to finish in the bottom three: 47.1% after a win, 84.7% after a draw, 94.2% after a defeat. The defeat was the worst of those results for them, and left the figure at 94.2%, 21.4 points higher than before the match.
For Talleres Cordoba the question was the chance to finish in the bottom three, 95.6% going in: 84.7% after a win, 100.0% after a draw, 100.0% after a defeat. The win was the best of those results for them, and left the figure at 84.7%, 10.9 points lower than before the match.
Read from our Liga Profesional Argentina season simulation as it stood before this match (10,000 runs), counting this result alone. Every result since then has moved the table again, so today's figure is on the competition page.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line; middle ring: the model's probability for this match. Not betting advice. How to read this.