Racing Club vs Aldosivi Liga Profesional Argentina prediction & result
Final score: Racing Club 2-1 Aldosivi.
Before kick-off the model made it 48% Racing Club, 29% draw, 23% Aldosivi — fair odds of 2.08, 3.45 and 4.35.
Most likely scoreline: 1-0.
The model called the result correctly.
Published
All Liga Profesional Argentina predictions →
Has the model earned this number?
Racing Club at 48%: of 2,957 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 3 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Racing Club vs Aldosivi
Goals against chances
Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.
Line-ups
- 25F. CambesesG
- 4E. CannavoD
- 38M. MartinezD
- 43G. EscuderoD
- 19I. RodríguezD
- 46A. TelloM
- 5M. KranevitterM
- 20G. LodicoM
- 11M. ZarachoF
- 9A. MartínezF
- 17T. ConechnyF
- 40F. FragaF
- 24A. FernándezM
- 23N. ColomboD
- 42Galo VolpeF
- 32L. DíazF
- 7D. VergaraF
- 14J. BarinagaD
- 16D. OrtegozaM
- 2M. PérezD
- 42Lucas AcostaG
- 28S. MoyaD
- 25N. BreitenbruchD
- 32J. PomboD
- 13B. CufréD
- 11B. PalavecinoM
- 19L. CastroM
- 8M. GarcíaM
- 24F. AnsoM
- 10N. GaitánM
- 29A. VombergarF
- 23I. ChiccoG
- 16B. DadÃnF
- 4R. GonzálezD
- 7N. GuzmánF
- 17F. LaurelliD
- 5N. LinaresM
- 14E. LópezD
- 15F. PerruzziM
- 2L. SigaliD
Form going into Racing Club vs Aldosivi
Racing Club
Liga Profesional Argentina
- L0-1away to River Plate25 October 2026
- D1-1Independiente18 October 2026
- L0-2Belgrano Cordoba11 October 2026
Aldosivi
Liga Profesional Argentina
- W1-0Belgrano Cordoba25 October 2026
- L1-2away to Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto18 October 2026
- L1-3Sarmiento Junin9 October 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Liga Profesional Argentina table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Racing Club | 16 | 4 | 3 | 9 | 16 | 24 | -8 | 15 |
| 14 | Aldosivi | 16 | 3 | 2 | 11 | 16 | 26 | -10 | 11 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Aldosivi vs Racing Club
Aldosivi and Racing Club have met 7 times in the records we hold, Racing Club has won 6 of them to Aldosivi's 0, with 1 drawn.
The record
Racing Club won the last one 2–1 on 31 Oct 2026.
| Club | W | D | L | GF | GA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aldosivi | 0 | 1 | 6 | 2 | 18 |
| Racing Club | 6 | 1 | 0 | 18 | 2 |
Between them these 7 meetings produced 20 goals, an average of 2.86 a game.
Every meeting
Every recorded meeting, newest first.
- 31 Oct 2026
Liga Profesional ArgentinaRacing Club 2–1 Aldosivi - 19 Apr 2026
Liga Profesional ArgentinaAldosivi 1–1 Racing Club - 17 Oct 2025
Liga Profesional ArgentinaRacing Club 1–0 Aldosivi - 14 Apr 2025
Liga Profesional ArgentinaAldosivi 0–2 Racing Club - 26 Jun 2022
Liga Profesional ArgentinaRacing Club 5–0 Aldosivi - 10 May 2022
Liga Profesional ArgentinaRacing Club 5–0 Aldosivi - 27 Jul 2021
Liga Profesional ArgentinaAldosivi 0–2 Racing Club
How the model rates them now
On the current ratings, Racing Club's attack rates 14% above Aldosivi's, and Racing Club concede 14% fewer than Aldosivi. That gives Racing Club the edge at both ends. How the ratings are derived.
| Club | Attack | Defence |
|---|---|---|
| Aldosivi | 0.66 | 1.57 |
| Racing Club | 0.75 | 1.35 |
The result against the call
Racing Club beat Aldosivi 2–1. The model had made a win for Racing Club its most likely outcome, at 48%, so the call held; the score it named was 1–0. The goals: Andres Vombergar 20' for Aldosivi, Adrián Martínez 24' for Racing Club, Ignacio Agustín Rodríguez (penalty) 60' for Racing Club. On expected goals it finished 2.34–1.78.
What this result changed
Before kick-off the season simulation gave Racing Club a 57.4% chance to finish in the bottom three: 34.0% after a win, 79.9% after a draw, 93.3% after a defeat. The win was the best of those results for them, and left the figure at 34.0%, 23.4 points lower than before the match.
For Aldosivi the question was the chance to finish in the bottom three, 87.5% going in: 55.3% after a win, 88.4% after a draw, 99.5% after a defeat. The defeat was the worst of those results for them, and left the figure at 99.5%, 12 points higher than before the match.
Read from our Liga Profesional Argentina season simulation as it stood before this match (10,000 runs), counting this result alone. Every result since then has moved the table again, so today's figure is on the competition page.
How the call on Racing Club v Aldosivi has moved
First published on 17 Oct at 50% / 28% / 22% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 3 updates, it read 48% / 29% / 23%: the biggest move is Racing Club's chance of winning, down 2 points.
- Racing Club win48%▼ −2
- Draw29%▲ +1
- Aldosivi win23%▲ +1
Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line; middle ring: the model's probability for this match. Not betting advice. How to read this.