Huracan vs Tigre Liga Profesional Argentina prediction & result
Final score: Huracan 0-2 Tigre.
Before kick-off the model made it 40% Huracan, 34% draw, 26% Tigre — fair odds of 2.50, 2.94 and 3.85.
Most likely scoreline: 1-0.
The model got this one wrong.
Published
All Liga Profesional Argentina predictions →
Has the model earned this number?
Huracan at 40%: of 2,957 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 2 goals, and a card each of the 1 sending-off. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Huracan vs Tigre
Goals against chances
Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.
Line-ups
- 1H. GalíndezG
- 2L. BlondelD
- 6F. PereyraD
- 35Máximo PalazzoD
- 19L. LescanoD
- 7Ó. CortésM
- 20E. OjedaM
- 8L. GilM
- 24F. KalingerM
- 23I. PussettoF
- 33B. BarticciottoF
- 46F. MartinezD
- 25C. IbáñezD
- 32S. MezaG
- 21M. NervoD
- 11T. PeraltaM
- 48S. RaynelliM
- 10Ó. RomeroM
- 51M. SotoD
- 49T. UribeF
- 12F. ZenobioG
- 4V. MorenoD
- 2J. LasoD
- 20A. BarrionuevoD
- 24F. ÁlvarezD
- 27S. GonzálezM
- 5B. LeyesM
- 8M. GarayM
- 28P. MartínezM
- 22S. LópezM
- 30J. DóminaF
- 40L. MinnitiD
- 26L. MoralesG
- 33M. MéndezF
- 50I. PeluffoF
- 23G. RequenaD
- 29I. RussoF
- 10J. SaraleguiM
- 11T. SerragoM
- 17G. SotoD
Form going into Huracan vs Tigre
Huracan
Liga Profesional Argentina
- L0-2away to Rosario Central25 October 2026
- L1-2Gimnasia La Plata15 October 2026
- L0-2away to Barracas Central10 October 2026
Tigre
Liga Profesional Argentina
- L0-1Atletico Tucuman24 October 2026
- D2-2away to Independiente Rivadavia17 October 2026
- L1-2Banfield10 October 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Liga Profesional Argentina table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Huracan | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 14 | 16 | -2 | 22 |
| 10 | Tigre | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 16 | 16 | 0 | 19 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Huracan vs Tigre
Huracan and Tigre have met 7 times in the records we hold, Tigre has won 3 of them to Huracan's 2, with 2 drawn.
The record
Tigre won the last one 2–0 on 30 Oct 2026.
| Club | W | D | L | GF | GA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Huracan | 2 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 7 |
| Tigre | 3 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 5 |
Between them these 7 meetings produced 12 goals, an average of 1.71 a game.
Every meeting
Every recorded meeting, newest first.
- 30 Oct 2026
Liga Profesional ArgentinaHuracan 0–2 Tigre - 21 Apr 2026
Liga Profesional ArgentinaTigre 1–1 Huracan - 8 Aug 2025
Liga Profesional ArgentinaTigre 0–1 Huracan - 7 Feb 2025
Liga Profesional ArgentinaHuracan 2–0 Tigre - 1 Sep 2024
Liga Profesional ArgentinaHuracan 0–2 Tigre - 25 Apr 2023
Liga Profesional ArgentinaTigre 1–0 Huracan - 9 Sep 2022
Liga Profesional ArgentinaTigre 1–1 Huracan
How the model rates them now
On the current ratings, Tigre's attack rates 4% above Huracan's, and the two defences are almost level. How the ratings are derived.
Leading scorers: Huracan and Tigre
Huracan
GoalsAssists
- J. Caicedo140
Tigre
GoalsAssists
- I. Russo83
- M. Méndez73
- D. Romero72
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Tigre won 2–0 at Huracan. The model had leaned towards a win for Huracan at 40% and given a win for Tigre 26%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 4 matches like this one. The goals: Jerónimo Domina 48' for Tigre, Tiago Serrago 90+7' for Tigre. Sent off: Fabio Pereyra (Huracan) 87'. On expected goals it finished 0.96–0.79.
What this result changed
Before kick-off the season simulation gave Huracan a 48.0% chance to finish in the top eight: 79.5% after a win, 29.7% after a draw, 15.6% after a defeat. The defeat was the worst of those results for them, and left the figure at 15.6%, 32.4 points lower than before the match.
For Tigre the question was the chance to finish in the bottom three, 32.0% going in: 4.3% after a win, 27.0% after a draw, 51.5% after a defeat. The win was the best of those results for them, and left the figure at 4.3%, 27.7 points lower than before the match.
Read from our Liga Profesional Argentina season simulation as it stood before this match (10,000 runs), counting this result alone. Every result since then has moved the table again, so today's figure is on the competition page.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line; middle ring: the model's probability for this match. Not betting advice. How to read this.