7 November 2026, 16:00 UTC

Galatasaray vs Amed Süper Lig prediction & result

Rams Park, Istanbul
Referee: Halil Umut Meler, Türkiye
Full time4 – 3

Final score: Galatasaray 4-3 Amed.

Before kick-off the model made it 55% Galatasaray, 22% draw, 23% Amed — fair odds of 1.82, 4.55 and 4.35.

Most likely scoreline: 2-1.

The model called the result correctly.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

Galatasaray at 55%: of 1,648 settled 50–65% forecasts, 58.6% came in (average 55.4%). It can be read literally. The full record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

⚽R. Leaoassist: L. Torreira
7'
⚽A. Lafont (OG)
45'
46'
🔁G. Gulout: A. T. Bulbul
46'
🔁M. Diagneout: Y. Sor
50'
R. Raveloson
🔁R. Leaoout: D. Gul
50'
⚽A. Batrakovassist: R. Sallai
59'
61'
G. Orban
62'
⚽D. Saba
63'
🔁L. Dellovaout: M. Yesil
65'
⚽G. Orbanassist: F. Soyalp
🔁Y. Akgunout: L. Sane
69'
🔁L. Torreiraout: Gabriel Sara
69'
74'
D. Bates
77'
🔁F. Soyalpout: R. Lutin
⚽B. Yilmazassist: Gabriel Sara
80'
🔁E. Elmaliout: W. Singo
83'
🔁A. Batrakovout: R. Nhaga
84'
90+2'
⚽Y. Sor
90+2'
🔁R. Ravelosonout: C. Ustundag

Match stats — Galatasaray vs Amed

56%Possession44%
17Shots14
6On target5
3Corners6
1.47xG1.27

Goals against chances

Galatasaray4 from 1.47 xGmore than the chances were worth
Amed3 from 1.27 xGmore than the chances were worth

Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.

Line-ups

Galatasaray 4-2-3-1
  • 1Uğurcan ÇakırG
  • 7Roland SallaiD
  • 6Davinson SánchezD
  • 4Ismail JakobsD
  • 17Eren ElmalıD
  • 34Lucas TorreiraM
  • 99Mario LeminaM
  • 11Yunus AkgünM
  • 83Aleksey BatrakovM
  • 27Rafael LeãoM
  • 53Barış Alper YılmazF
Substitutes
  • 21Deniz GülF
  • 8Gabriel SaraM
  • 10Leroy SanéF
  • 90Wilfried SingoD
  • 74Renato NhagaM
  • 19Günay GüvençG
  • 3El Chadaille BitshiabuD
  • 88Kazımcan KarataşD
  • 20İlkay GündoğanM
Amed 4-2-3-1
  • 40Alban LafontG
  • 7Ermal KrasniqiD
  • 5Lumbardh DellovaD
  • 4David Robert BatesD
  • 17Umut MeraşD
  • 22Rayan RavelosonM
  • 8Furkan SoyalpM
  • 18Gökhan GülM
  • 91Dia SabaM
  • 99Gift OrbanM
  • 45Mbaye DiagneF
Substitutes
  • 81Ali Turap BülbülD
  • 11Yira Collins SorF
  • 21Mehmet YeşilD
  • 93Rayan LutinM
  • 6Cem ÜstündagM
  • 27Burak BozanG
  • 47Kahraman DemirtaşD
  • 3Miraç AcerD
  • 33Amadou CisséD

Form going into Galatasaray vs Amed

Galatasaray

Süper Lig

  • W4-0away to Konyaspor30 October 2026
  • W2-1Fenerbahçe26 October 2026
  • W1-0away to Gençlerbirliği S.K.17 October 2026
  • W3-1Kasımpaşa9 October 2026

Amed

Süper Lig

  • W5-1Eyüpspor1 November 2026
  • W2-1away to Samsunspor24 October 2026
  • W1-0Konyaspor17 October 2026
  • D2-2away to Gençlerbirliği S.K.10 October 2026

What these results say

  • Galatasaray won every one of these 4 matches.
  • Galatasaray scored in every one of these 4 matches.
  • 3 of these 4 matches for Galatasaray had three goals or more.
  • Amed went unbeaten through these 4 matches.
  • Amed scored in every one of these 4 matches.
  • Amed won 3 of these 4 matches.

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

Süper Lig table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
1Galatasaray119112715+1228
3Amed117222815+1323

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Galatasaray vs Amed

  • 22 January 2015Galatasaray 0–2 AmedTürkiye Kupası
  • 23 December 2014Amed 1–4 GalatasarayTürkiye Kupası

Leading scorers: Galatasaray and Amed

Galatasaray

GoalsAssists

  • V. Osimhen93

Amed

GoalsAssists

  • G. Orban104
  • D. Sabia61
  • S. Ballet41

Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.

The result against the call

Galatasaray beat Amed 4–3. The model had made a win for Galatasaray its most likely outcome, at 55%, so the call held; the score it named was 2–1. The goals: R. Leao 7' for Galatasaray, A. Lafont (own goal) 45' for Galatasaray, A. Batrakov 59' for Galatasaray, D. Saba 62' for Amed, G. Orban 65' for Amed, B. Yilmaz 80' for Galatasaray, Y. Sor 90+2' for Amed. On expected goals it finished 1.47–1.27.

What this result changed

Before kick-off the season simulation gave Galatasaray a 60.0% chance to win the league: 66.0% after a win, 56.1% after a draw, 47.8% after a defeat. The win was the best of those results for them, and left the figure at 66.0%, 6 points higher than before the match.

For Amed the question was the chance to finish in the top four, 66.7% going in: 74.8% after a win, 68.6% after a draw, 63.6% after a defeat. The defeat was the worst of those results for them, and left the figure at 63.6%, 3.1 points lower than before the match.

Read from our Süper Lig season simulation as it stood before this match (10,000 runs), counting this result alone. Every result since then has moved the table again, so today's figure is on the competition page.

How the call on Galatasaray v Amed has moved

First published on 24 Oct at 53% / 22% / 25% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 4 updates, it read 55% / 22% / 23%: the biggest move is Galatasaray's chance of winning, up 2 points.

  1. Galatasaray win55%▲ +2
  2. Draw22%=
  3. Amed win23%▼ −2

Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.