7 November 2026, 13:00 UTC

Samsunspor vs Konyaspor Süper Lig prediction & result

Samsun 19 Mayis Stadyumu, Samsun
Referee: Gurcan Hasova, Türkiye
Full time1 – 0

Final score: Samsunspor 1-0 Konyaspor.

Before kick-off the model made it 38% Samsunspor, 28% draw, 34% Konyaspor — fair odds of 2.63, 3.57 and 2.94.

Most likely scoreline: 1-0.

The model called the exact scoreline.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

Samsunspor at 38%: of 4,828 settled 30–40% forecasts, 33.4% came in (average 33.7%). It can be read literally. The full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Samsunspor96%Draw4%Konyaspor0%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 1 goal. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

S. Onur
14'
⚽A. Sekongoassist: T. Coulibaly
39'
39'
A. Masuaku
46'
🔁U. Yazgiliout: Y. Andzouana
46'
🔁R. Tothout: M. Jevtovic
61'
🔁Mostafa Mohamedout: J. Muleka
61'
🔁D. Goncalvesout: E. Destan
🔁A. Sousaout: J. Assoumou
72'
🔁M. Bayoout: E. Tavsan
72'
77'
🔁E. Colleyout: E. Bardhi
🔁A. Sekongoout: O. Ohlenschlaeger
78'
88'
E. Destan
🔁T. Coulibalyout: G. Guarino
90+4'
J. Mendes
90+6'
E. Tavsan
90+6'

Match stats — Samsunspor vs Konyaspor

47%Possession53%
6Shots7
3On target1
2Corners3
0.7xG0.82

Goals against chances

Samsunspor1 from 0.70 xGabout what the chances were worth
Konyaspor0 from 0.82 xGless than the chances were worth

Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.

Line-ups

Samsunspor 4-2-3-1
  • 25Bilal BayazitG
  • 2Josafat MendesD
  • 16Strahinja ErakovićD
  • 3Igor DrapińskiD
  • 17Logi TomassonD
  • 4Elliot WattM
  • 8Samed OnurM
  • 10Tanguy CoulibalyM
  • 42Antoine SekongoM
  • 77Afonso SousaM
  • 18Mohamed BayoF
Substitutes
  • 15Jaures AssoumouF
  • 7Elayis TavsanF
  • 19Oskar ØhlenschlaegerF
  • 34Gabriele GuarinoD
  • 1Okan KocukG
  • 22Yunus Emre ÇiftD
  • 23Enes AlbakD
  • 29Haluk Mustafa TanD
  • 20Yalçın KayanM
Konyaspor 4-2-3-1
  • 13Bahadır Han GüngördüG
  • 5Uğurcan YazğılıD
  • 22Rayyan BaniyaD
  • 15Chidozie AwaziemD
  • 26Arthur MasuakuD
  • 66Rajmund TóthM
  • 77Melih İbrahimoğluM
  • 19Ebrima ColleyM
  • 7Diogo GonçalvesM
  • 91Jean-Luc DompéM
  • 42Mostafa MohamedF
Substitutes
  • 17Yhoan AndzouanaD
  • 8Marko JevtovićM
  • 11Jackson MulekaF
  • 94Enis DestanF
  • 10Enis BardhiM
  • 1Deniz ErtaşG
  • 16Ata YanıkD
  • 3Arif BoşlukD
  • 2Ahmet OğuzD

Form going into Samsunspor vs Konyaspor

Samsunspor

Süper Lig

  • L2-5away to Başakşehir1 November 2026
  • L1-2Amed24 October 2026
  • L1-4away to Kasımpaşa18 October 2026
  • L0-3Trabzonspor10 October 2026

Konyaspor

Süper Lig

  • L0-4Galatasaray30 October 2026
  • W2-0Gençlerbirliği S.K.25 October 2026
  • L0-1away to Amed17 October 2026
  • D0-0Başakşehir11 October 2026

What these results say

  • Samsunspor did not win any of these 4 matches.
  • Samsunspor conceded in every one of these 4 matches.
  • Every one of these 4 matches for Samsunspor had three goals or more.
  • Konyaspor failed to win 3 of these 4 matches.
  • Konyaspor failed to score in 3 of these 4 matches.
  • 3 of these 4 matches for Konyaspor had two goals or fewer.

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

Süper Lig table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
17Samsunspor112181126-157
15Konyaspor11227614-88

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Samsunspor vs Konyaspor

  • 5 April 2026Samsunspor 2–2 KonyasporSüper Lig
  • 2 November 2025Konyaspor 1–3 SamsunsporSüper Lig
  • 16 February 2025Konyaspor 0–1 SamsunsporSüper Lig
  • 14 September 2024Samsunspor 0–1 KonyasporSüper Lig
  • 12 May 2024Konyaspor 3–0 SamsunsporSüper Lig
  • 21 December 2023Samsunspor 1–1 KonyasporSüper Lig

The full Samsunspor vs Konyaspor record →

The result against the call

Samsunspor beat Konyaspor 1–0. That was the exact score the model named before kick-off, with a win for Samsunspor at 38%. The goal: A. Sekongo 39' for Samsunspor. On expected goals it finished 0.70–0.82.

What this result changed

Before kick-off the season simulation gave Samsunspor a 57.5% chance to finish in the bottom three: 49.9% after a win, 59.6% after a draw, 65.9% after a defeat. The win was the best of those results for them, and left the figure at 49.9%, 7.6 points lower than before the match.

For Konyaspor the question was the chance to finish in the bottom three, 22.1% going in: 15.5% after a win, 21.1% after a draw, 26.6% after a defeat. The defeat was the worst of those results for them, and left the figure at 26.6%, 4.5 points higher than before the match.

Read from our Süper Lig season simulation as it stood before this match (10,000 runs), counting this result alone. Every result since then has moved the table again, so today's figure is on the competition page.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.