25 October 2026, 15:30 UTC

FC Basel 1893 vs Grasshoppers Super League prediction & result

St. Jakob-Park, Basel
Referee: S. Scharer
Full time0 – 0

Final score: FC Basel 1893 0-0 Grasshoppers.

Before kick-off the model made it 53% FC Basel 1893, 24% draw, 23% Grasshoppers — fair odds of 1.89, 4.17 and 4.35.

Most likely scoreline: 2-1.

The model got this one wrong.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

FC Basel 1893 at 53%: of 1,648 settled 50–65% forecasts, 58.6% came in (average 55.4%). It can be read literally. The full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

FC Basel 18936%Draw91%Grasshoppers3%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

Flavius Daniliuc
43'
🔁giacomo kolotoout: Jonas harder
55'
61'
🔁Lee Young-Junout: Giotto Morandi
61'
🔁Óscar Clementeout: Nikolas Marcel Cristiano Muci
Kazeem Olaigbe
67'
🔁Kazeem Olaigbeout: Philip Otele
70'
71'
Kenzo Goudmijn
76'
🔁Marvin Hübelout: Justin Hammel
84'
🔁Simone Stroscioout: Julian Vonmoos
85'
🔁Kenzo Goudmijnout: Allan Arigoni
🔁Moussa Cisseout: Coleen Louis
87'
🔁Clément Michelinout: Kevin Ruegg
87'

Match stats — FC Basel 1893 vs Grasshoppers

59%Possession41%
17Shots13
3On target4
5Corners4
1.15xG1.13

Goals against chances

FC Basel 18930 from 1.15 xGless than the chances were worth
Grasshoppers0 from 1.13 xGless than the chances were worth

Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.

Line-ups

FC Basel 1893 4-2-2-2
  • 1J. OmlinG
  • 22C. MichelinD
  • 55A. VictoryD
  • 24F. DaniliucD
  • 29M. CisséD
  • 4B. OmeragićM
  • 5MetinhoM
  • 10X. ShaqiriM
  • 11K. OlaigbeM
  • 37G. KolotoF
  • 9Ž. CelarF
Substitutes
  • 3N. VouillozD
  • 6K. TsunemotoD
  • 13M. SalviG
  • 27K. RüeggD
  • 7P. OteleF
  • 8L. Małachowski ThorellM
  • 14A. BačaninM
  • 44J. HarderM
  • 25C. LouisD
Coach: S. Jokanović
Grasshoppers 3-4-3
  • 1M. HübelG
  • 44B. PllanaD
  • 58Yannik BettkoberD
  • 57Nico RissiD
  • 28S. StroscioM
  • 6A. AbrashiM
  • 66Manex GibelaldeM
  • 17S. KrasniqiM
  • 10Óscar ClementeF
  • 18Lee Young-JunF
  • 24K. GoudmijnF
Substitutes
  • 81J. von MoosF
  • 34A. ArigoniD
  • 71J. HammelG
  • 25J. HiltonD
  • 4L. MikulicD
  • 11G. MorandiM
  • 9N. MuciF
  • 55D. PapicM
  • 56D. SahinM
Coach: O. Janßen

Form going into FC Basel 1893 vs Grasshoppers

FC Basel 1893

Super League

  • L0-3away to FC Vaduz11 October 2026
  • L1-3FC St. Gallen20 September 2026

Grasshoppers

Super League

  • L0-2BSC Young Boys11 October 2026
  • L1-5away to FC Luzern19 September 2026

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

Switzerland Super League table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
7FC Basel 1893134362125-415
10Grasshoppers132561629-1311

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: FC Basel 1893 vs Grasshoppers

  • 5 March 2026FC Basel 1893 1–0 GrasshoppersSuper League
  • 23 November 2025Grasshoppers 1–1 FC Basel 1893Super League
  • 2 August 2025FC Basel 1893 2–1 GrasshoppersSuper League
  • 3 April 2025FC Basel 1893 2–1 GrasshoppersSuper League
  • 14 December 2024FC Basel 1893 0–1 GrasshoppersSuper League
  • 3 August 2024Grasshoppers 0–3 FC Basel 1893Super League

Leading scorers: FC Basel 1893 and Grasshoppers

FC Basel 1893

GoalsAssists

  • Ž. Celar82

Grasshoppers

No player in Super League's leading scorers — 16 league goals as a side.

Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.

The result against the call

FC Basel 1893 and Grasshoppers drew 0–0. The model had leaned towards a win for FC Basel 1893 at 53% and given a draw 24%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 4 matches like this one. On expected goals it finished 1.15–1.13.

What this result changed

Before kick-off the season simulation gave FC Basel 1893 a 44.3% chance to finish in the top six: 50.9% after a win, 37.8% after a draw, 30.5% after a defeat. The draw was the middle one of the three, and left the figure at 37.8%, 6.5 points lower than before the match.

For Grasshoppers the question was the chance to finish in the bottom three, 81.3% going in: 69.5% after a win, 81.6% after a draw, 86.7% after a defeat. The draw was the middle one of the three, and left the figure about where it was, at 81.6%.

Read from our Super League season simulation as it stood before this match (10,000 runs), counting this result alone. Every result since then has moved the table again, so today's figure is on the competition page.

How the call on FC Basel 1893 v Grasshoppers has moved

First published on 11 Oct at 55% / 23% / 22% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 1 update, it read 53% / 24% / 23%: the biggest move is FC Basel 1893's chance of winning, down 2 points.

  1. FC Basel 1893 win53%▼ −2
  2. Draw24%▲ +1
  3. Grasshoppers win23%▲ +1

Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.