25 October 2026, 15:30 UTC

FC Sion vs Lausanne Super League prediction & result

Stade de Tourbillon, Sion
Referee: J. von Mandach
Full time1 – 0

Final score: FC Sion 1-0 Lausanne.

Before kick-off the model made it 62% FC Sion, 23% draw, 15% Lausanne — fair odds of 1.61, 4.35 and 6.67.

Most likely scoreline: 2-0.

The model called the result correctly.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

FC Sion at 62%: of 1,648 settled 50–65% forecasts, 58.6% came in (average 55.4%). It can be read literally. The full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

FC Sion98%Draw2%Lausanne0%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 1 goal. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

31'
•Alexis Blin
⚽Théo Berdayes
33'
35'
Brandon Soppy
Kreshnik Hajrizi
36'
Numa Lavanchy
45'
49'
Alexis Blin
59'
🔁Papa Souleymane N'Diayeout: Olivier Custodio
59'
🔁Nathan Butler-Oyedejiout: Ibrahim Bah Mendes
🔁Liam Chipperfieldout: Fodé Sylla
66'
🔁Winsley Boteli Mokangoout: Rilind Nivokazi
66'
71'
🔁Enzo Molebeout: Seydou Traore
74'
Nicolas Cozza
🔁Théo Berdayesout: Franck Surdez
80'
🔁Donat Rrudhaniout: Josias Lukembila
80'
83'
🔁Omar Jannehout: Florent Mollet
83'
🔁Nicolas Cozzaout: Alban Ajdini
Franck Surdez
84'
🔁Ali Kabacalmanout: Noé Sow
85'
86'
Étienne Youte Kinkoue

Match stats — FC Sion vs Lausanne

57%Possession43%
16Shots15
2On target3
6Corners7
2.11xG1.21

Goals against chances

FC Sion1 from 2.11 xGless than the chances were worth
Lausanne0 from 1.21 xGless than the chances were worth

Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.

Line-ups

FC Sion 4-3-3
  • 1A. RacioppiG
  • 14N. LavanchyD
  • 28K. HajriziD
  • 17J. KronigD
  • 20N. HeftiD
  • 21L. ChipperfieldM
  • 88A. KabacalmanM
  • 77D. RrudhaniM
  • 7I. ChouarefF
  • 13Winsley Boteli MokangoF
  • 29T. BerdayesF
Substitutes
  • 9J. LukembilaF
  • 10B. KololliM
  • 6Marquinhos CiprianoD
  • 24Damien MoschingerD
  • 33R. NivokaziF
  • 12F. RubertoG
  • 5N. SowD
  • 19F. SurdezF
  • 37F. SyllaM
Coach: D. Tholot
Lausanne 3-4-3
  • 90M. MastilG
  • 4É. YoutéD
  • 71K. SowD
  • 31N. CozzaD
  • 2B. SoppyM
  • 29A. BlinM
  • 47Papa Souleymane N'DiayeM
  • 18M. PoatyM
  • 11N. Butler-OyedejiF
  • 78Omar JannehF
  • 9E. MolébéF
Substitutes
  • 7A. AjdiniF
  • 51I. Bah Mendes MayalaF
  • 1T. CastellaG
  • 22T. CordierD
  • 91F. MolletM
  • 5D. NgonzoD
  • 43Leonardo RuizD
  • 17S. TraoreF
  • 10O. CustodioM
Coach: Luka Elsner

Form going into FC Sion vs Lausanne

FC Sion

Super League

  • L0-3away to Servette FC10 October 2026
  • D1-1FC Zurich19 September 2026

Lausanne

Super League

  • L0-1away to FC St. Gallen11 October 2026
  • L0-4FC Lugano20 September 2026

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

Switzerland Super League table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
3FC Sion138232918+1126
12Lausanne131481223-117

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: FC Sion vs Lausanne

  • 12 April 2026FC Sion 3–0 LausanneSuper League
  • 9 November 2025Lausanne 2–2 FC SionSuper League
  • 28 September 2025FC Sion 0–0 LausanneSuper League
  • 5 April 2025Lausanne 2–0 FC SionSuper League
  • 23 November 2024Lausanne 1–0 FC SionSuper League
  • 27 July 2024FC Sion 4–0 LausanneSuper League

Leading scorers: FC Sion and Lausanne

FC Sion

GoalsAssists

  • Winsley Boteli Mokango64
  • R. Nivokazi50

Lausanne

No player in Super League's leading scorers — 12 league goals as a side.

Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.

The result against the call

FC Sion beat Lausanne 1–0. The model had made a win for FC Sion its most likely outcome, at 62%, so the call held; the score it named was 2–0. The goal: Théo Berdayes 33' for FC Sion. On expected goals it finished 2.11–1.21.

What this result changed

Before kick-off the season simulation gave FC Sion a 97.2% chance to finish in the top six: 98.4% after a win, 96.6% after a draw, 93.7% after a defeat. The win was the best of those results for them, and left the figure at 98.4%, 1.2 points higher than before the match.

For Lausanne the question was the chance to finish in the bottom three, 90.0% going in: 80.7% after a win, 88.1% after a draw, 92.6% after a defeat. The defeat was the worst of those results for them, and left the figure at 92.6%, 2.6 points higher than before the match.

Read from our Super League season simulation as it stood before this match (10,000 runs), counting this result alone. Every result since then has moved the table again, so today's figure is on the competition page.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.