5 November 2026, 20:00 UTC

FC Copenhagen vs FC Iberia 1999 UEFA Europa Conference League prediction & result

Parken Stadium, Copenhagen
Referee: Robert Hennessy, Ireland
Full time2 – 1

Final score: FC Copenhagen 2-1 FC Iberia 1999.

Before kick-off the model made it 80% FC Copenhagen, 14% draw, 6% FC Iberia 1999 — fair odds of 1.25, 7.14 and 16.67.

Most likely scoreline: 3-0.

The model called the result correctly.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

FC Copenhagen at 80%: of 505 settled 65–100% forecasts, 68.3% came in (average 72.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

5'
Z. Natchkebia
G. Vianney Ndjee
7'
18'
G. Makaridze
⚽M. Elyounoussi (pen)
19'
⚽V. Selimovic (OG)
22'
30'
⚽A. Dzagania
44'
N. Dadiani
🔁A. Sorensenout: A. Markgraf
46'
🔁M. Elyounoussiout: W. Clem
46'
53'
•J. Tiboue
🔁A. Kralout: K. Myrie
63'
A. Markgraf
73'
74'
🔁N. Sikharulashviliout: D. Kvartskhava
76'
V. Selimovic
🔁M. Carrizoout: Robert
77'
80'
🔁J. Tiboueout: I. Alhassan
🔁H. Nemethout: M. Madsen
84'
89'
🔁N. Dadianiout: L. Chikhradze
89'
🔁Z. Natchkebiaout: Lucas Cafe
90+4'
Lucas Cafe

Match stats — FC Copenhagen vs FC Iberia 1999

53%Possession47%
11Shots5
4On target2
3Corners2
2.22xG0.22

Goals against chances

FC Copenhagen2 from 2.22 xGabout what the chances were worth
FC Iberia 19991 from 0.22 xGmore than the chances were worth

Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.

Line-ups

FC Copenhagen 4-4-2
  • 1Diant RamajG
  • 33Alex KrálD
  • 20Junnosuke SuzukiD
  • 4Asger SørensenD
  • 15Marcos LópezD
  • 7Maher CarrizoM
  • 27Thomas DelaneyM
  • 28Hunor NémethM
  • 10Mohamed ElyounoussiM
  • 44Geovanni VianneyF
  • 39Viktor Bjarki DadasonF
Substitutes
  • 51Tobias Breum-HarildG
  • 31Rúnar Alex RúnarssonG
  • 13Rodrigo HuescasD
  • 24Birger MelingD
  • 6Ákos MarkgráfD
  • 18Kenay MyrieD
  • 36William ClemM
  • 21Mads Emil MadsenM
  • 16RobertM
FC Iberia 1999 4-3-3
  • 31Giorgi MakaridzeG
  • 40Giorgi KobuladzeD
  • 25Aleksandre AmisulashviliD
  • 4Vahid SelimovićD
  • 5Jemali Giorgi JinjolavaD
  • 6Nikoloz DadianiM
  • 8Bakar KardavaM
  • 33Jean-Marc TiboueM
  • 19Nika SikharulashviliF
  • 9Amiran DzaganiaF
  • 10Zviad NatchkebiaF
Substitutes
  • 16Revaz KurtanidzeG
  • 1Tornike MegrelishviliG
  • 3Phillip ČančarD
  • 30Nikoloz BochorishviliD
  • 23Eldar KuliievM
  • 18Lucas CafeF
  • 14Abdullahi Ibrahim AlhassanM
  • 27Giorgi KutsiaM
  • 7Daniel KvartskhavaF

Form going into FC Copenhagen vs FC Iberia 1999

FC Copenhagen

UEFA Europa Conference League

  • D2-2away to FK Crvena Zvezda22 October 2026
  • W3-0SC Braga15 October 2026

FC Iberia 1999

UEFA Europa Conference League

  • D1-1Mjallby AIF22 October 2026
  • L0-2away to St. Truiden15 October 2026

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

UEFA Europa Conference League table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
7FC Copenhagen321073+47
29FC Iberia 1999301225-31

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Leading scorers: FC Copenhagen and FC Iberia 1999

FC Copenhagen

GoalsAssists

  • M. Elyounoussi53
  • A. Cornelius52
  • Robert41

FC Iberia 1999

No player in UEFA Europa Conference League's leading scorers — 2 league goals as a side.

Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.

The result against the call

FC Copenhagen beat FC Iberia 1999 2–1. The model had made a win for FC Copenhagen its most likely outcome, at 80%, so the call held; the score it named was 3–0. The goals: M. Elyounoussi (penalty) 19' for FC Copenhagen, V. Selimovic (own goal) 22' for FC Copenhagen, A. Dzagania 30' for FC Iberia 1999. On expected goals it finished 2.22–0.22.

How the call on FC Copenhagen v FC Iberia 1999 has moved

First published on 23 Oct at 72% / 18% / 10% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 3 updates, it read 80% / 14% / 6%: the biggest move is FC Copenhagen's chance of winning, up 8 points.

  1. FC Copenhagen win80%▲ +8
  2. Draw14%▼ −4
  3. FC Iberia 1999 win6%▼ −4

Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.