Getafe vs Brighton UEFA Europa Conference League prediction & result
Final score: Getafe 0-1 Brighton.
Before kick-off the model made it 18% Getafe, 27% draw, 55% Brighton — fair odds of 5.56, 3.70 and 1.82.
Most likely scoreline: 0-1.
The model called the exact scoreline.
Published · updated
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Has the model earned this number?
Brighton at 55%: of 1,648 settled 50–65% forecasts, 58.6% came in (average 55.4%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 1 goal. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Getafe vs Brighton
Goals against chances
Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.
Line-ups
- 13David SoriaG
- 17Kiko FemeníaD
- 15Sebastián BoselliD
- 2DjenéD
- 22Johan MojicaD
- 8Nemanja GudeljM
- 23Orel MangalaM
- 21Andrés GarcíaM
- 10Martín SatrianoM
- 11Ramón TerratsM
- 20Ivan AzónF
- 35Diego FerrerG
- 1Jiří LetáčekG
- 3DavinchiD
- 26Jean Ives ValouD
- 4Saba SazonovD
- 5Abdel AbqarD
- 28Alberto RiscoM
- 6Mario MartínM
- 16Francho SerranoM
- 1Bart VerbruggenG
- 30Michael SvobodaD
- 5Lewis DunkD
- 21Olivier BoscagliD
- 20CostinhaM
- 13Pascal GroßM
- 26Yasin AyariM
- 3Jaouen HadjamM
- 35Malick YalcouyéF
- 10Georginio RutterF
- 8Jack HinshelwoodF
- 44Luka VuškovićD
- 38Tom McGillG
- 23Jason SteeleG
- 29Maxim De CuyperD
- 33Matt O'RileyM
- 25Diego GómezM
- 50Shane NtiM
- 15Ibrahim OsmanF
- 59Younes IbrahimM
Form going into Getafe vs Brighton
Getafe
UEFA Europa Conference League
- L2-5FC Lugano22 October 2026
- D1-1away to Universitatea Craiova15 October 2026
Brighton
UEFA Europa Conference League
- D0-0away to FK Jablonec22 October 2026
- W4-0Kauno Žalgiris15 October 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
UEFA Europa Conference League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 | Getafe | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 7 | -4 | 1 |
| 5 | Brighton | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 0 | +5 | 7 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Getafe vs Brighton
- 7 August 2021Brighton 0–2 GetafeFriendlies Clubs
The result against the call
Brighton won 1–0 at Getafe. That was the exact score the model named before kick-off, with a win for Brighton at 55%. The goal: M. Yalcouye 64' for Brighton. On expected goals it finished 0.26–1.64.
How the call on Getafe v Brighton has moved
First published on 23 Oct at 21% / 31% / 48% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 5 updates, it read 18% / 27% / 55%: the biggest move is Brighton's chance of winning, up 7 points.
- Getafe win18%▼ −3
- Draw27%▼ −4
- Brighton win55%▲ +7
Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent matches in our records (any competition, kept since July 2026) before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line; middle ring: the model's probability for this match. Not betting advice. How to read this.