5 November 2026, 17:45 UTC

FK Crvena Zvezda vs Inter Club d'Escaldes UEFA Europa Conference League prediction & result

Stadion Rajko Mit, Belgrade
Referee: Henrik Nalbandyan, Armenia
Full time2 – 1

Final score: FK Crvena Zvezda 2-1 Inter Club d'Escaldes.

Before kick-off the model made it 73% FK Crvena Zvezda, 17% draw, 10% Inter Club d'Escaldes — fair odds of 1.37, 5.88 and 10.00.

Most likely scoreline: 2-0.

The model called the result correctly.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

FK Crvena Zvezda at 73%: of 505 settled 65–100% forecasts, 68.3% came in (average 72.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

•A. Katai
32'
A. Katai
35'
43'
D. Berlanga
45+3'
A. Sanchez
🔁T. Handelout: D. Luckassen
46'
🔁L. Loizouout: O. Bukari
46'
🔁Kim Ye-geonout: B. Dieng
46'
51'
D. Berlanga
51'
D. Berlanga
58'
🔁Souleout: B. Arellano
62'
⚽B. Arellanoassist: M. Pochettino
🔁V. Kostovout: M. Ivanic
68'
M. Veljkovic
72'
72'
🔁V. Alonsoout: L. Diaby
🔁B. Diengout: V. Lucic
79'
⚽V. Lucicassist: R. Krunic
80'
81'
🔁David Lopezout: R. Lafarge
81'
🔁F. Chouaibout: J. Camara
89'
J. Torres
M. Gashtarov
90'
90+1'
J. Camara
⚽J. Diaz (OG)assist: Y. Nakayama
90+2'

Match stats — FK Crvena Zvezda vs Inter Club d'Escaldes

55%Possession45%
29Shots6
8On target3
6Corners3
2.78xG1.44

Goals against chances

FK Crvena Zvezda2 from 2.78 xGless than the chances were worth
Inter Club d'Escaldes1 from 1.44 xGabout what the chances were worth

Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.

Line-ups

FK Crvena Zvezda 3-2-4-1
  • 1MatheusG
  • 3Yuta NakayamaD
  • 13Miloš VeljkovićD
  • 60Matej GaštarovD
  • 21Timi Max ElšnikM
  • 33Rade KrunićM
  • 75Loizos LoizouF
  • 20Tomás HändelM
  • 22Vasilije KostovM
  • 19Ye-geon KimF
  • 10Aleksandar KataiF
Substitutes
  • 32Derrick LuckassenD
  • 14Osman BukariM
  • 9Ahmadou Bamba DiengF
  • 4Mirko IvanićM
  • 37Vladimir LučićM
  • 77Ivan GutešaG
  • 30Franklin TeboD
  • 6Mahmudu BajoM
  • 8Kristiyan BalovF
Inter Club d'Escaldes 4-3-3
  • 13Javier DíazG
  • 24Maurizio PochettinoD
  • 4Álex SánchezD
  • 2Anwar HernandezD
  • 3Jilmar TorresD
  • 19Pablo MolinaM
  • 6Víctor AlonsoM
  • 8David LópezM
  • 11Domi BerlangaF
  • 9Faysal ChouaibF
  • 31Soule SidibeF
Substitutes
  • 70Borja ArellanoF
  • 23Lamine DiabyD
  • 18Robin LafargeD
  • 7Juan CamaraM
  • 1Pol FreixanetG
  • 21Marc RodríguezD
  • 99RafinhaF
  • 44Alex LeitaoF

Form going into FK Crvena Zvezda vs Inter Club d'Escaldes

FK Crvena Zvezda

UEFA Europa Conference League

  • D2-2FC Copenhagen22 October 2026
  • L2-3away to FC Lugano15 October 2026

Inter Club d'Escaldes

UEFA Europa Conference League

  • L1-3Universitatea Craiova22 October 2026
  • L0-2away to Mjallby AIF15 October 2026

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

UEFA Europa Conference League table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
15FK Crvena Zvezda31116604
35Inter Club d'Escaldes300327-50

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

The result against the call

FK Crvena Zvezda beat Inter Club d'Escaldes 2–1. The model had made a win for FK Crvena Zvezda its most likely outcome, at 73%, so the call held; the score it named was 2–0. The goals: B. Arellano 62' for Inter Club d'Escaldes, V. Lucic 80' for FK Crvena Zvezda, J. Diaz (own goal) 90+2' for FK Crvena Zvezda. Sent off: A. Katai (FK Crvena Zvezda) 35', D. Berlanga (Inter Club d'Escaldes) 51'. On expected goals it finished 2.78–1.44.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.