KuPS vs Gent UEFA Europa Conference League prediction & result
Final score: KuPS 0-0 Gent.
Before kick-off the model made it 17% KuPS, 30% draw, 53% Gent — fair odds of 5.88, 3.33 and 1.89.
Most likely scoreline: 0-1.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
All Conference League predictions →
Has the model earned this number?
Gent at 53%: of 1,648 settled 50–65% forecasts, 58.6% came in (average 55.4%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — KuPS vs Gent
Goals against chances
Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.
Line-ups
- 1Johannes KreidlG
- 6Saku SavolainenD
- 33Taneli HämäläinenD
- 23Arttu LötjönenD
- 13Niilo KujasaloD
- 14Samuel PasanenM
- 10Valentín GascM
- 15Ayman AikiM
- 8Petteri PennanenM
- 24Bob Nii ArmahM
- 20Piotr ParzyszekF
- 9Gustav EngvallF
- 3Saku HeiskanenM
- 34Julius EskesenM
- 16Tommi JyryM
- 12Hemmo RiihimäkiG
- 25Clinton AntwiD
- 4Kasim AdamsD
- 29Akseli PuukkoD
- 30JorginhoD
- 33Davy RoefG
- 57Matties VolckaertD
- 3Maksim PaskotsiD
- 44Siebe Van der HeydenD
- 45Hyllarion GooreM
- 27Tibe De VliegerM
- 17Mathias DelorgeM
- 20Tiago AraújoM
- 37Abdelkahar KadriF
- 11Momodou SonkoF
- 47Josué VergaraF
- 35Gilles De MeyerD
- 59El Hadji SeckF
- 14Kyrell WilsonF
- 30Kjell PeersmanG
- 50Noa VandenabeeleG
- 18Matisse SamoiseM
- 39Abdul AyindeD
- 56Mamadou DialloD
- 8László BénesM
Form going into KuPS vs Gent
KuPS
UEFA Europa Conference League
- L0-2away to Borac Banja Luka22 October 2026
- L2-4Trabzonspor15 October 2026
Gent
UEFA Europa Conference League
- L0-2away to SC Braga22 October 2026
- W1-0Aarhus15 October 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
UEFA Europa Conference League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 33 | KuPS | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 6 | -4 | 1 |
| 18 | Gent | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 4 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
The result against the call
KuPS and Gent drew 0–0. The model had leaned towards a win for Gent at 53% and given a draw 30%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 3 matches like this one. On expected goals it finished 0.26–1.51.
How the call on KuPS v Gent has moved
First published on 23 Oct at 19% / 27% / 54% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 6 updates, it read 17% / 30% / 53%: the biggest move is the draw, up 3 points.
- KuPS win17%▼ −2
- Draw30%▲ +3
- Gent win53%▼ −1
Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often KuPS's most recent matches in our records (any competition, kept since July 2026) and Gent's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line; middle ring: the model's probability for this match. Not betting advice. How to read this.