FC Copenhagen vs SC Braga UEFA Europa Conference League prediction & result
Final score: FC Copenhagen 3-0 SC Braga.
Before kick-off the model made it 39% FC Copenhagen, 26% draw, 35% SC Braga — fair odds of 2.56, 3.85 and 2.86.
Most likely scoreline: 2-1.
The model called the result correctly.
Published · updated
All Conference League predictions →
Has the model earned this number?
FC Copenhagen at 39%: of 4,828 settled 30–40% forecasts, 33.4% came in (average 33.7%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 3 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — FC Copenhagen vs SC Braga
Goals against chances
Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.
Line-ups
- 1D. RamajG
- 20J. SuzukiD
- 2F. BeijmoD
- 6A. MarkgrafD
- 24B. MelingD
- 12T. MasekoM
- 33A. KralM
- 36W. ClemM
- 16RobertM
- 10M. ElyounoussiF
- 39V. DadasonF
- 31R. A. RunarssonG
- 51T. Breum-HarildG
- 4A. SorensenD
- 15M. LopezD
- 13R. HuescasD
- 27T. DelaneyM
- 28H. NemethM
- 34M. NasnasM
- 45G. OlsenM
- 31BernardoG
- 14G. LagerbielkeD
- 22Sergio BarciaD
- 26B. Arrey-MbiD
- 7TravassosM
- 8J. MoutinhoM
- 29GorbyM
- 21R. HortaM
- 34D. E. TiknazF
- 23D. HuseinbasicF
- 19J. WindF
- 12T. SaG
- 44A. BajramiD
- 2V. GomezD
- 37A. BarisicD
- 6Vitor CarvalhoM
- 50D. RodriguesM
- 20M. DorgelesM
- 11Gabriel SilvaF
- 16T. MarquesM
Form going into FC Copenhagen vs SC Braga
FC Copenhagen
All competitions we cover
- L1-2away to FC Midtjylland11 October 2026
- W1-0away to Brondby20 September 2026
- W2-0AC Horsens11 September 2026
- W5-0away to Odense6 September 2026
- W2-0FC Nordsjaelland3 September 2026
SC Braga
All competitions we cover
- L1-3Sporting CP9 October 2026
- D0-0away to Santa Clara20 September 2026
- W1-0Estoril14 September 2026
- L1-2away to Estrela10 September 2026
- W2-1away to Alverca5 September 2026
What these results say
- FC Copenhagen scored in every one of these 5 matches.
- FC Copenhagen won 4 of these 5 matches.
- FC Copenhagen kept a clean sheet in 4 of these 5 matches.
- SC Braga scored in 4 of these 5 matches.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
UEFA Europa Conference League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | FC Copenhagen | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 3 | +4 | 7 |
| 17 | SC Braga | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -1 | 4 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Leading scorers: FC Copenhagen and SC Braga
FC Copenhagen
GoalsAssists
- M. Elyounoussi53
- A. Cornelius52
- Robert41
SC Braga
No player in UEFA Europa Conference League's leading scorers — 2 league goals as a side.
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
FC Copenhagen beat SC Braga 3–0. The model had made a win for FC Copenhagen its most likely outcome, at 39%, so the call held; the score it named was 2–1. The goals: M. Elyounoussi 49' for FC Copenhagen, A. Cornelius 79' for FC Copenhagen, A. Cornelius 86' for FC Copenhagen. On expected goals it finished 1.56–0.55.
How the call on FC Copenhagen v SC Braga has moved
First published on 1 Oct at 36% / 28% / 36% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 3 updates, it read 39% / 26% / 35%: the biggest move is FC Copenhagen's chance of winning, up 3 points.
- FC Copenhagen win39%▲ +3
- Draw26%▼ −2
- SC Braga win35%▼ −1
Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line; middle ring: the model's probability for this match. Not betting advice. How to read this.