31 October 2026, 12:30 UTC

FC Fredericia vs AB Copenhagen 1. Division prediction & result

Monjasa Park, Fredericia
Referee: N. Lindby
Full time3 – 1

Final score: FC Fredericia 3-1 AB Copenhagen.

Before kick-off the model made it 46% FC Fredericia, 30% draw, 24% AB Copenhagen — fair odds of 2.17, 3.33 and 4.17.

Most likely scoreline: 1-0.

The model called the result correctly.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

FC Fredericia at 46%: of 2,957 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

FC Fredericia99%Draw1%AB Copenhagen0%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 4 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

⚽J. Lindekildeassist: E. Simonsen
6'
11'
S. Ilsoe
29'
⚽S. Diopassist: M. Vesterholm
F. Winther
30'
🔁F. Wintherout: A. Pyndt
46'
E. Simonsen
49'
🔁A. Bondergaardout: N. Thomsen
65'
66'
🔁A. Koudelkaout: T. Damtoft
66'
🔁M. Vesterholmout: M. Clement
⚽W. Madsenassist: E. Simonsen
70'
73'
🔁N. Engellout: J. Fernandes
🔁J. Lindekildeout: C. Jorgensen
74'
⚽W. Madsenassist: A. Nygaard
78'
82'
🔁S. Ilsoeout: A. Horup
82'
🔁M. Rasmussenout: T. Hageltorn
🔁W. Madsenout: F. Bunten
85'

Line-ups

FC Fredericia
  • 90V. Birkso
  • 12S. Crone
  • 3A. Nygaard
  • 5F. Rieper
  • 16L. Dauerhoj
  • 23J. Lindekilde
  • 20D. Haarbo
  • 6F. Winther
  • 10E. Simonsen
  • 19A. Bondergaard
  • 13W. Madsen
Substitutes
  • 44C. Risom
  • 14A. Dahl
  • 15M. Ladefoged
  • 22F. Bunten
  • 18A. Pyndt
  • 24C. Jorgensen
  • 8B. Bang-Kittilsen
  • 9P. Egelund
  • 17N. Thomsen
Coach: Michael Hansen
AB Copenhagen
  • 54A. Benediktsson
  • 4A. Koudelka
  • 14G. Noga
  • 24A. Liu
  • 17M. Stenner
  • 15S. Ilsoe
  • 22M. Vesterholm
  • 88O. Mullings
  • 18M. Rasmussen
  • 7N. Engell
  • 29S. Diop
Substitutes
  • 1M. Bobjerg
  • 34M. Brund
  • 37F. Lindgaard
  • 28T. Lykkebak
  • 30A. Horup
  • 21M. Clement
  • 41T. Hageltorn
  • 23T. Damtoft
  • 77J. Fernandes
Coach: Fannar Gunnolfsson

Form going into FC Fredericia vs AB Copenhagen

FC Fredericia

1. Division

  • L1-2away to Esbjerg24 October 2026
  • W3-0Hobro17 October 2026
  • W2-0away to Hillerød10 October 2026

AB Copenhagen

1. Division

  • W1-0Kolding IF24 October 2026
  • W3-2away to HB Koge16 October 2026
  • W2-0Aarhus Fremad9 October 2026

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

Denmark 1. Division table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
3FC Fredericia146532110+1123
4AB Copenhagen146352115+621

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: FC Fredericia vs AB Copenhagen

  • 31 July 2026AB Copenhagen 1–1 FC Fredericia1. Division
  • 21 September 2021AB Copenhagen 0–2 FC FredericiaDBU Pokalen
  • 2 April 2017FC Fredericia 1–3 AB Copenhagen1. Division
  • 20 November 2016AB Copenhagen 2–3 FC Fredericia1. Division
  • 7 August 2016FC Fredericia 2–1 AB Copenhagen1. Division
  • 3 May 2015FC Fredericia 1–0 AB Copenhagen1. Division

The result against the call

FC Fredericia beat AB Copenhagen 3–1. The model had made a win for FC Fredericia its most likely outcome, at 46%, so the call held; the score it named was 1–0. The goals: J. Lindekilde 6' for FC Fredericia, S. Diop 29' for AB Copenhagen, W. Madsen 70' for FC Fredericia, W. Madsen 78' for FC Fredericia.

What this result changed

Before kick-off the season simulation gave FC Fredericia a 12.6% chance to finish top of the regular season: 15.9% after a win, 9.9% after a draw, 6.9% after a defeat. The win was the best of those results for them, and left the figure at 15.9%, 3.3 points higher than before the match.

For AB Copenhagen the question was the chance to finish in the top six, 89.5% going in: 96.6% after a win, 91.2% after a draw, 86.9% after a defeat. The defeat was the worst of those results for them, and left the figure at 86.9%, 2.6 points lower than before the match.

Read from our 1. Division season simulation as it stood before this match (10,000 runs), counting this result alone. Every result since then has moved the table again, so today's figure is on the competition page.

How the call on FC Fredericia v AB Copenhagen has moved

First published on 17 Oct at 50% / 26% / 24% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 3 updates, it read 46% / 30% / 24%: the biggest move is FC Fredericia's chance of winning, down 4 points.

  1. FC Fredericia win46%▼ −4
  2. Draw30%▲ +4
  3. AB Copenhagen win24%=

Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.