31 October 2026, 17:00 UTC

Grasshoppers vs FC Vaduz Super League prediction & result

Letzigrund Stadion
Referee: Luca Piccolo
Full time2 – 2

Final score: Grasshoppers 2-2 FC Vaduz.

Before kick-off the model made it 29% Grasshoppers, 24% draw, 47% FC Vaduz — fair odds of 3.45, 4.17 and 2.13.

Most likely scoreline: 1-2.

The model got this one wrong.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

FC Vaduz at 47%: of 2,957 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Grasshoppers4%Draw90%FC Vaduz6%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 4 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

15'
⚽Liridon Berishaassist: Denis Simani
⚽Manex Gibelaldeassist: Óscar Clemente
24'
35'
Lutfi Dalipi
Bujar Pllana
40'
🔁Óscar Clementeout: Giotto Morandi
63'
64'
⚽Juan Cabreraassist: Mats Hammerich
65'
🔁Juan Cabreraout: Mattia walker
65'
🔁Mats Hammerichout: Corsin konietzke
🔁Kenzo Goudmijnout: Nikolas Marcel Cristiano Muci
70'
🔁Simone Stroscioout: John Hilton
71'
81'
Julian Stark
81'
🔁Nicolas Haslerout: mischa beeli
🔁Manex Gibelaldeout: Denis Sahin
83'
John Hilton
84'
87'
Denis Simani
⚽Lee Young-Junassist: Nikolas Marcel Cristiano Muci
88'
Giotto Morandi
90'
90'
🔁Milos Cocicout: Lado Akhalaia

Match stats — Grasshoppers vs FC Vaduz

41%Possession59%
20Shots20
7On target5
8Corners6
2.77xG2.06

Goals against chances

Grasshoppers2 from 2.77 xGless than the chances were worth
FC Vaduz2 from 2.06 xGabout what the chances were worth

Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.

Line-ups

Grasshoppers 3-4-3
  • 71J. HammelG
  • 44B. PllanaD
  • 58Yannik BettkoberD
  • 57Nico RissiD
  • 28S. StroscioM
  • 6A. AbrashiM
  • 66Manex GibelaldeM
  • 10Óscar ClementeM
  • 24K. GoudmijnM
  • 18Lee Young-JunF
  • 17S. KrasniqiF
Substitutes
  • 34A. ArigoniD
  • 45Eron AvdullahuG
  • 25J. HiltonD
  • 4L. MikulicD
  • 11G. MorandiM
  • 9N. MuciF
  • 55D. PapicM
  • 56D. SahinM
Coach: O. Janßen
FC Vaduz 4-1-2-1-2
  • 25L. SchaffranG
  • 4N. HaslerD
  • 6D. SimaniD
  • 5L. BerishaD
  • 7D. SchwizerD
  • 17J. StarkM
  • 23M. HammerichM
  • 10Juan CabreraM
  • 28M. ĆoćićM
  • 11L. DalipiF
  • 9M. MonsbergerF
Substitutes
  • 29M. SawadogoD
  • 27N. LangD
  • 30Mattia WalkerM
  • 26C. KonietzkeM
  • 22M. EberhardM
  • 19D. DjokicF
  • 1B. BüchelG
  • 14M. BeeliD
  • 24L. AkhalaiaF
Coach: M. Schneider

Form going into Grasshoppers vs FC Vaduz

Grasshoppers

Super League

  • D0-0away to FC Basel 189325 October 2026
  • L0-2BSC Young Boys11 October 2026
  • L1-5away to FC Luzern19 September 2026

FC Vaduz

Super League

  • L1-2away to Servette FC24 October 2026
  • W3-0FC Basel 189311 October 2026
  • L1-2FC Thun20 September 2026

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

Switzerland Super League table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
10Grasshoppers132561629-1311
11FC Vaduz133192429-510

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Grasshoppers vs FC Vaduz

  • 30 August 2026FC Vaduz 5–2 GrasshoppersSuper League
  • 24 June 2023Grasshoppers 4–3 FC VaduzFriendlies Clubs
  • 11 November 2021Grasshoppers 3–1 FC VaduzFriendlies Clubs
  • 3 July 2020FC Vaduz 2–3 GrasshoppersChallenge League
  • 31 January 2020Grasshoppers 1–2 FC VaduzChallenge League
  • 25 October 2019Grasshoppers 3–3 FC VaduzChallenge League

Leading scorers: Grasshoppers and FC Vaduz

Grasshoppers

No player in Super League's leading scorers — 16 league goals as a side.

FC Vaduz

GoalsAssists

  • M. Monsberger61
  • L. Dalipi59
  • Juan Cabrera50

Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.

The result against the call

Grasshoppers and FC Vaduz drew 2–2. The model had leaned towards a win for FC Vaduz at 47% and given a draw 24%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 4 matches like this one. The goals: Liridon Berisha 15' for FC Vaduz, Manex Gibelalde 24' for Grasshoppers, Juan Cabrera 64' for FC Vaduz, Lee Young-Jun 88' for Grasshoppers. On expected goals it finished 2.77–2.06.

What this result changed

Before kick-off the season simulation gave Grasshoppers a 79.0% chance to finish in the bottom three: 67.9% after a win, 80.4% after a draw, 86.2% after a defeat. The draw was the middle one of the three, and left the figure at 80.4%, 1.4 points higher than before the match.

For FC Vaduz the question was the chance to finish in the bottom three, 28.2% going in: 18.6% after a win, 31.1% after a draw, 41.0% after a defeat. The draw was the middle one of the three, and left the figure at 31.1%, 2.9 points higher than before the match.

Read from our Super League season simulation as it stood before this match (10,000 runs), counting this result alone. Every result since then has moved the table again, so today's figure is on the competition page.

How the call on Grasshoppers v FC Vaduz has moved

First published on 17 Oct at 28% / 23% / 49% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 3 updates, it read 29% / 24% / 47%: the biggest move is FC Vaduz's chance of winning, down 2 points.

  1. Grasshoppers win29%▲ +1
  2. Draw24%▲ +1
  3. FC Vaduz win47%▼ −2

Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.