FC Nordsjaelland vs Silkeborg Superliga prediction & result
Final score: FC Nordsjaelland 1-0 Silkeborg.
Before kick-off the model made it 62% FC Nordsjaelland, 18% draw, 20% Silkeborg — fair odds of 1.61, 5.56 and 5.00. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 2-1.
The model called the result correctly.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
It puts FC Nordsjaelland at 62% here. Across 2485 settled matches, 635 forecasts have landed in the 50–65% band; those outcomes actually happened 52.3% of the time, against an average forecast of 55.7%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 1 goal. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — FC Nordsjaelland vs Silkeborg
Goals against chances
Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.
Line-ups
- 13Andreas HansenG
- 2Peter AnkersenD
- 3Tobias SalquistD
- 4Noah MarkmannD
- 23Runar Robinsonn NorheimM
- 18Justin JanssenM
- 8Nicklas RøjkjærM
- 25Juho LähteenmäkiM
- 40Hjalte Boe RasmussenF
- 29Villum BerthelsenF
- 10Prince Amoako JuniorF
- 15Stephen AcquahD
- 14Ibrahim AdelF
- 37Lamine SadioM
- 11Alexander LindF
- 6Mark BrinkM
- 22Carljohan ErikssonG
- 32Victor GustafsenD
- 28Markus WalkerD
- 17Levy NeneF
- 1Aske AndrésenG
- 24Alexander PriesborgD
- 3Robin ØstrømD
- 2Andreas PoulsenD
- 19Jens Martin GammelbyM
- 20Mads LarsenM
- 27William KirkM
- 7Villads WesthM
- 17Callum McCowattF
- 11Oliver RossF
- 22Rami Al HajjF
- 10Younes BakizM
- 21Lucas RiisgaardF
- 9Alexander SimmelhackF
- 15Melker JonssonD
- 36Julius LorentsM
- 16Bastian HolmG
- 28Simon StükerD
- 14Sofus BergerM
- 23Malthe HansenF
Form going into FC Nordsjaelland vs Silkeborg
FC Nordsjaelland
- W5-0Valur Reykjavik13 August 2026
- W2-0away to Valur Reykjavik6 August 2026
- W1-0Randers FC2 August 2026
- W6-0Gais30 July 2026
- D1-1away to AC Horsens26 July 2026
Silkeborg
- W1-0Odense10 August 2026
- L1-3FC Copenhagen2 August 2026
- D1-1away to Randers FC27 July 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
Superliga table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | FC Nordsjaelland | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 13 | 6 | +7 | 17 |
| 10 | Silkeborg | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 12 | -4 | 7 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: FC Nordsjaelland vs Silkeborg
- 16 August 2026FC Nordsjaelland 1–0 SilkeborgSuperliga
- 7 December 2025FC Nordsjaelland 5–0 SilkeborgSuperliga
- 10 August 2025Silkeborg 4–2 FC NordsjaellandSuperliga
- 20 October 2024FC Nordsjaelland 1–1 SilkeborgSuperliga
- 18 August 2024Silkeborg 4–1 FC NordsjaellandSuperliga
- 12 May 2024FC Nordsjaelland 4–1 SilkeborgSuperliga
Leading scorers: FC Nordsjaelland and Silkeborg
FC Nordsjaelland
- H. Boe Rasmussen3 goals1 assists
Silkeborg
- C. McCowatt2 goals2 assists
- O. Ross2 goals1 assists
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.