16 August 2026, 12:00 UTC

Odense vs AC Horsens Superliga prediction & result

Nature Energy Park, Odense
Full time1 2

Final score: Odense 1-2 AC Horsens.

Before kick-off the model made it 56% Odense, 24% draw, 20% AC Horsens — fair odds of 1.79, 4.17 and 5.00. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.

Most likely scoreline: 1-0.

The model got this one wrong.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

It puts Odense at 56% here. Across 2485 settled matches, 635 forecasts have landed in the 50–65% band; those outcomes actually happened 52.3% of the time, against an average forecast of 55.7%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.

Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

A. Moro (OG)
3'
38'
Y. Ouorouassist: J. Madsen
M. McCoy
45'
🔁A. Sorensenout: U. Jenssen
46'
65'
K. Kirkegaardassist: Y. Ouorou
69'
🔁K. Kirkegaardout: A. Justinussen
69'
🔁A. Moroout: A. Herdonsson
69'
🔁Y. Ouorouout: J. Tauriainen
🔁M. Andersenout: J. Grot
70'
🔁T. Keskinenout: P. Therkildsen
81'
88'
🔁K. Ehibhatiomhanout: I. Milicevic

Match stats — Odense vs AC Horsens

59%Possession41%
16Shots13
1On target6
9Corners3
1.32xG1.51

Goals against chances

Odense1 from 1.32 xGabout what the chances were worth
AC Horsens2 from 1.51 xGabout what the chances were worth

Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.

Line-ups

Odense 4-4-2
  • 16Viljar MyhraG
  • 15Marcus McCoyD
  • 13Julius Berthel AskouD
  • 29James GomezD
  • 3Adam SørensenD
  • 28Magnus AndersenM
  • 22Ismahila OuédraogoM
  • 8Rasmus FalkM
  • 9Topi KeskinenM
  • 6Jacob BondeF
  • 17Noah GanausF
Substitutes
  • 5Ulrik JenssenD
  • 31Jay-Roy GrotF
  • 2Peter TherkildsenD
  • 1Martin HansenG
  • 25Adam AmraniD
  • 19Nikolaj Juul-SandbergM
  • 40Noah LassenM
  • 21Vitus FriisM
  • 26Lasse LegolasF
Coach: Alexander Zorniger
AC Horsens 4-2-3-1
  • 1Matej DelačG
  • 26Victor PálssonD
  • 35Mikkel KupijbidaD
  • 24Ole KolskogenD
  • 28Alagie SaineD
  • 16Abdul MoroM
  • 20Karlo LusavecM
  • 27Yamirou OuorouM
  • 14Julius MadsenM
  • 10Kristian KirkegaardM
  • 11Kelvin EhibhatiomhanF
Substitutes
  • 19Jimi TauriainenM
  • 17Adam HerdonssonM
  • 15Adrian JustinussenF
  • 7Ivan MiličevićD
  • 31Anders HoffG
  • 4Sebastian HausnerD
  • 29Frederik BrandhofM
  • 30Seniko DouaD
  • 18Julius KörkköF

Form going into Odense vs AC Horsens

Odense

  • L0-1away to Silkeborg10 August 2026
  • W1-0Sonderjyske3 August 2026
  • L0-1away to Viborg24 July 2026

AC Horsens

  • L0-2Brondby9 August 2026
  • L1-2away to FC Midtjylland2 August 2026
  • D1-1FC Nordsjaelland26 July 2026

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.

Superliga table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
8Odense8224713-68
6AC Horsens83141314-110

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Odense vs AC Horsens

  • 16 August 2026Odense 1–2 AC HorsensSuperliga
  • 9 May 2025AC Horsens 2–2 Odense1. Division
  • 30 March 2025Odense 1–0 AC Horsens1. Division
  • 9 November 2024Odense 3–2 AC Horsens1. Division
  • 14 September 2024AC Horsens 2–2 Odense1. Division
  • 26 May 2023Odense 2–1 AC HorsensSuperliga

Leading scorers: Odense and AC Horsens

Odense

No player in Superliga's leading scorers — 7 league goals as a side.

AC Horsens

  • K. Ehibhatiomhan4 goals
  • Y. Ouorou2 goals1 assists

Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.