6 November 2026, 18:00 UTC

FC Viktoria Köln vs FC Saarbrücken 3. Liga prediction & result

Sportpark Hohenberg, Cologne
Referee: Ben Henry Uhrig
Full time5 – 3

Final score: FC Viktoria Köln 5-3 FC Saarbrücken.

Before kick-off the model made it 54% FC Viktoria Köln, 24% draw, 22% FC Saarbrücken — fair odds of 1.85, 4.17 and 4.55.

Most likely scoreline: 2-1.

The model called the result correctly.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

FC Viktoria Köln at 54%: of 1,648 settled 50–65% forecasts, 58.6% came in (average 55.4%). It can be read literally. The full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

FC Viktoria Köln99%Draw1%FC Saarbrücken0%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 8 goals, and a card each of the 1 sending-off. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

⚽Taylan Dumanassist: David Otto
15'
⚽Niklas Horst Castelleassist: David Otto
19'
⚽Lucas Wolfassist: Verthomy Schilo Boboy
35'
43'
Mladen Cvjetinovic
45'
Kai Brünker
Meiko Sponsel
45+2'
45'
🔁Siemen Voetout: Nikola Aracic
45'
🔁Kaan Caliskanerout: Gokdeniz Gurpuz
Marian Wilhelm
58'
🔁Lucas Wolfout: Niklas Jahn
60'
62'
⚽Florian Pickassist: Gokdeniz Gurpuz
65'
⚽Gokdeniz Gurpuzassist: Christian Kühlwetter
66'
Nikola Aracic
⚽David Otto
69'
72'
Kai Brünker
74'
🔁Niko Bretschneiderout: Calogero Rizzuto
74'
🔁Maurice Multhaupout: Seung-joon Lee
77'
Gokdeniz Gurpuz
83'
🔁Christian Kühlwetterout: Daniel Gleiber
🔁Niklas Horst Castelleout: Noah Maboulou
85'
🔁David Ottoout: Jakob Sachse
85'
⚽Niklas Swider
87'
🔁Meiko Sponselout: Jason Amann
90+2'
90+6'
⚽Mladen Cvjetinovicassist: Calogero Rizzuto

Match stats — FC Viktoria Köln vs FC Saarbrücken

54%Possession46%
20Shots10
9On target3
4Corners4

Line-ups

FC Viktoria Köln 3-4-3
  • 1A. SchulzG
  • 19M. SponselD
  • 6T. EisenhuthD
  • 18Tim KlossD
  • 8T. DumanM
  • 20Niklas SwiderM
  • 21L. WolfM
  • 22V. BoboyM
  • 28P. FallmannF
  • 10D. OttoF
  • 44N. CastelleF
Substitutes
  • 39F. AlbersD
  • 24J. AmannM
  • 15C. GregerD
  • 11E. GueyeM
  • 16N. JahnM
  • 37N. Le BretF
  • 17M. PledlM
  • 9J. SachseF
  • 12D. WyciokG
Coach: M. Wilhelm
FC Saarbrücken 4-4-2
  • 1M. BignettiG
  • 42P. FahrnerD
  • 21M. CvjetinovićD
  • 4S. VoetD
  • 28N. BretschneiderD
  • 11M. MulthaupM
  • 10C. KühlwetterM
  • 6P. SontheimerM
  • 20F. PickM
  • 9K. BrünkerF
  • 22K. CaliskanerF
Substitutes
  • 8Gökdeniz GürpüzF
  • 16Lee Seung-JoonM
  • 7C. RizzutoD
  • 26N. AracicD
  • 33K. BrollG
  • 3Anton BäuerleD
  • 14Z. ShuaibM
  • 5Daniel GleiberM
  • 31K. MeiselF
Coach: Argirios Giannikis

Form going into FC Viktoria Köln vs FC Saarbrücken

FC Viktoria Köln

3. Liga

  • W1-0away to Hoffenheim II31 October 2026
  • W3-1Verl24 October 2026
  • D1-1away to MSV Duisburg18 October 2026
  • D2-2SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach14 October 2026

FC Saarbrücken

3. Liga

  • W2-1Waldhof Mannheim1 November 2026
  • L2-3away to Havelse25 October 2026
  • W3-1away to Fortuna Düsseldorf17 October 2026
  • L2-4MSV Duisburg13 October 2026

What these results say

  • FC Viktoria Köln went unbeaten through these 4 matches.
  • FC Viktoria Köln scored in every one of these 4 matches.
  • FC Viktoria Köln conceded in 3 of these 4 matches.
  • FC Saarbrücken scored in every one of these 4 matches.
  • FC Saarbrücken conceded in every one of these 4 matches.
  • Every one of these 4 matches for FC Saarbrücken had three goals or more.

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

3. Liga table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
1FC Viktoria Köln139223618+1829
6FC Saarbrücken136253126+520

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: FC Viktoria Köln vs FC Saarbrücken

  • 23 January 2026FC Viktoria Köln 2–0 FC Saarbrücken3. Liga
  • 9 August 2025FC Saarbrücken 2–1 FC Viktoria Köln3. Liga
  • 28 February 2025FC Viktoria Köln 1–2 FC Saarbrücken3. Liga
  • 25 September 2024FC Saarbrücken 1–0 FC Viktoria Köln3. Liga
  • 21 February 2024FC Viktoria Köln 2–5 FC Saarbrücken3. Liga
  • 19 August 2023FC Saarbrücken 1–2 FC Viktoria Köln3. Liga

Leading scorers: FC Viktoria Köln and FC Saarbrücken

FC Viktoria Köln

GoalsAssists

  • D. Otto55
  • N. Castelle52

FC Saarbrücken

GoalsAssists

  • K. Brünker51
  • F. Pick34

Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.

The result against the call

FC Viktoria Köln beat FC Saarbrücken 5–3. The model had made a win for FC Viktoria Köln its most likely outcome, at 54%, so the call held; the score it named was 2–1. The goals: Taylan Duman 15' for FC Viktoria Köln, Niklas Horst Castelle 19' for FC Viktoria Köln, Lucas Wolf 35' for FC Viktoria Köln, Florian Pick 62' for FC Saarbrücken, Gokdeniz Gurpuz 65' for FC Saarbrücken, David Otto 69' for FC Viktoria Köln, Niklas Swider 87' for FC Viktoria Köln, Mladen Cvjetinovic 90+6' for FC Saarbrücken. Sent off: Kai Brünker (FC Saarbrücken) 72'.

What this result changed

Before kick-off the season simulation gave FC Viktoria Köln a 36.8% chance to win the league: 40.5% after a win, 32.1% after a draw, 27.0% after a defeat. The win was the best of those results for them, and left the figure at 40.5%, 3.7 points higher than before the match.

For FC Saarbrücken the question was the chance to finish in the top three, 10.6% going in: 16.5% after a win, 10.4% after a draw, 8.4% after a defeat. The defeat was the worst of those results for them, and left the figure at 8.4%, 2.2 points lower than before the match.

Read from our 3. Liga season simulation as it stood before this match (10,000 runs), counting this result alone. Every result since then has moved the table again, so today's figure is on the competition page.

How the call on FC Viktoria Köln v FC Saarbrücken has moved

First published on 23 Oct at 51% / 25% / 24% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 5 updates, it read 54% / 24% / 22%: the biggest move is FC Viktoria Köln's chance of winning, up 3 points.

  1. FC Viktoria Köln win54%▲ +3
  2. Draw24%▼ −1
  3. FC Saarbrücken win22%▼ −2

Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.