Hansa Rostock vs SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach 3. Liga prediction & result
Final score: Hansa Rostock 3-0 SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach.
Before kick-off the model made it 63% Hansa Rostock, 21% draw, 16% SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach — fair odds of 1.59, 4.76 and 6.25.
Most likely scoreline: 2-0.
The model called the result correctly.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
Hansa Rostock at 63%: of 1,648 settled 50–65% forecasts, 58.6% came in (average 55.4%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 3 goals, and a card each of the 1 sending-off. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Hansa Rostock vs SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach
Line-ups
- 25P. KlewinG
- 16L. WallnerD
- 23F. PfanneD
- 17F. CarstensD
- 8Ouassim KaradaM
- 5M. SchusterM
- 6J. DirknerM
- 32N. KölleM
- 27D. KopaczM
- 4K. FatkićM
- 9A. VoglsammerF
- 35M. KraußM
- 21D. HummelF
- 15A. GürleyenD
- 37M. BrzozowskiM
- 3F. BohnertD
- 7B. LennemannF
- 41Y. MichaelisF
- 31J. JantunenG
- 22L. ReichardtD
- 1M. ReuleG
- 8Jan Elias RahnD
- 20Leon MaierD
- 19M. UhlD
- 21L. MolinariD
- 5Volkan CeliktasM
- 16M. KundeM
- 27Loris MaierM
- 18N. PollexM
- 10L. StoppelM
- 11T. RossmannF
- 15A. AidonisD
- 4F. BleicherM
- 24R. DittrichG
- 23F. EiseleF
- 9Marlon Freddy FaßF
- 36M. GashiD
- 28Noah Santiago LorchM
- 25A. NurajD
- 13N. ZografakisF
Form going into Hansa Rostock vs SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach
Hansa Rostock
3. Liga
- L1-2away to SSV Jahn Regensburg31 October 2026
- D1-1Fortuna Düsseldorf24 October 2026
- L0-2away to Alemannia Aachen17 October 2026
- L0-2SV Meppen13 October 2026
SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach
3. Liga
- L0-1Rot-Weiß Essen1 November 2026
- L1-7away to SV Wehen24 October 2026
- W3-2Preußen Münster17 October 2026
- D2-2away to FC Viktoria Köln14 October 2026
What these results say
- Hansa Rostock did not win any of these 4 matches.
- Hansa Rostock conceded in every one of these 4 matches.
- 3 of these 4 matches for Hansa Rostock had two goals or fewer.
- SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach conceded in every one of these 4 matches.
- SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach failed to win 3 of these 4 matches.
- SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach scored in 3 of these 4 matches.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
3. Liga table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Hansa Rostock | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 22 | 22 | 0 | 19 |
| 18 | SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 13 | 29 | -16 | 12 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Hansa Rostock vs SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach
- 15 February 2020SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach 0–1 Hansa Rostock3. Liga
- 17 August 2019Hansa Rostock 0–1 SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach3. Liga
- 9 March 2019Hansa Rostock 0–0 SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach3. Liga
- 22 September 2018SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach 0–0 Hansa Rostock3. Liga
- 20 March 2018SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach 0–0 Hansa Rostock3. Liga
- 29 July 2017Hansa Rostock 0–0 SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach3. Liga
Leading scorers: Hansa Rostock and SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach
Hansa Rostock
GoalsAssists
- A. Voglsammer41
SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach
No player in 3. Liga's leading scorers — 13 league goals as a side.
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Hansa Rostock beat SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach 3–0. The model had made a win for Hansa Rostock its most likely outcome, at 63%, so the call held; the score it named was 2–0. The goals: Kenan Fatkic (penalty) 63' for Hansa Rostock, Andreas Voglsammer 79' for Hansa Rostock, Maximilian Krauss 90+4' for Hansa Rostock. Sent off: V. Celiktas (SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach) 62'.
What this result changed
Before kick-off the season simulation gave Hansa Rostock a 11.6% chance to finish in the top three: 12.5% after a win, 7.6% after a draw, 7.1% after a defeat. The win was the best of those results for them, and left the figure at 12.5%, 0.9 points higher than before the match.
For SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach the question was the chance to finish in the bottom four, 82.7% going in: 74.4% after a win, 81.9% after a draw, 84.6% after a defeat. The defeat was the worst of those results for them, and left the figure at 84.6%, 1.9 points higher than before the match.
Read from our 3. Liga season simulation as it stood before this match (10,000 runs), counting this result alone. Every result since then has moved the table again, so today's figure is on the competition page.
How the call on Hansa Rostock v SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach has moved
First published on 24 Oct at 58% / 23% / 19% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 6 updates, it read 63% / 21% / 16%: the biggest move is Hansa Rostock's chance of winning, up 5 points.
- Hansa Rostock win63%▲ +5
- Draw21%▼ −2
- SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach win16%▼ −3
Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line; middle ring: the model's probability for this match. Not betting advice. How to read this.