7 November 2026, 15:30 UTC

Preußen Münster vs MSV Duisburg 3. Liga prediction & result

Preussenstadion, Munster
Referee: Marc Philip Eckermann
Full time1 – 2

Final score: Preußen Münster 1-2 MSV Duisburg.

Before kick-off the model made it 32% Preußen Münster, 25% draw, 43% MSV Duisburg — fair odds of 3.13, 4.00 and 2.33.

Most likely scoreline: 1-2.

The model called the exact scoreline.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

MSV Duisburg at 43%: of 2,957 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

3'
Rasim Bulic
12'
Ben Schlicke
Joshua Mees
38'
Lucas Christopher Zeller
56'
🔁Joshua Meesout: Montell Ndikom
57'
60'
⚽Niko Koulis (OG)
🔁Wesley Adehout: Marvin Schulz
68'
🔁Charalampos Makridisout: Mikail Demirhan
68'
69'
⚽Dominik Kotherassist: Lex-Tyger Lobinger
74'
🔁Conor Nossout: Peter Remmert
⚽Antonio Tikvićassist: Marvin Schulz
77'
79'
Dominik Kother
85'
🔁Dominik Kotherout: Florian Krüger
🔁Felix Higlout: Malik Batmaz
85'
🔁Niklas Varelmannout: Rico Preißinger
85'
90'
Lex-Tyger Lobinger
90+1'
🔁Lex-Tyger Lobingerout: Max Besuschkow

Match stats — Preußen Münster vs MSV Duisburg

53%Possession47%
12Shots6
5On target3
2Corners0

Line-ups

Preußen Münster 3-4-3
  • 38M. HarsmanG
  • 24N. KoulisD
  • 5L. ZellerD
  • 4A. TikvićD
  • 2L. KolbeM
  • 6Wesley AdehM
  • 26P. MaierM
  • 36N. VarelmannM
  • 33F. HiglF
  • 8J. MeesF
  • 14C. MakridisF
Substitutes
  • 10M. SchulzM
  • 43R. RöschM
  • 16T. PaetowD
  • 21R. PreißingerM
  • 44Samuel Moïse AlthausM
  • 23M. BatmazF
  • 1M. BehrensG
  • 19M. DemirhanM
  • 28Montell NdikomF
Coach: Thomas Wörle
MSV Duisburg 3-4-3
  • 1M. BrauneG
  • 29J. BitterD
  • 40B. SchlickeD
  • 4Martin EnsD
  • 20N. JessenM
  • 8A. CasarM
  • 6R. BulićM
  • 27C. CoşkunM
  • 14C. NoßF
  • 9L. LobingerF
  • 11D. KotherF
Substitutes
  • 17M. BesuschkowM
  • 26F. KrügerF
  • 39P. RemmertF
  • 19Ramien SafiF
  • 33T. StahlG
  • 37P. SussekM
  • 10C. VietM
  • 3F. ChristensenD
Coach: D. Hirsch

Form going into Preußen Münster vs MSV Duisburg

Preußen Münster

3. Liga

  • L1-2away to Alemannia Aachen1 November 2026
  • W1-0Fortuna Köln25 October 2026
  • L2-3away to SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach17 October 2026
  • L1-2Fortuna Düsseldorf14 October 2026

MSV Duisburg

3. Liga

  • D3-3Stuttgart II31 October 2026
  • L1-2away to FC Ingolstadt 0424 October 2026
  • D1-1FC Viktoria Köln18 October 2026
  • W4-2away to FC Saarbrücken13 October 2026

What these results say

  • Preußen Münster scored in every one of these 4 matches.
  • Preußen Münster failed to win 3 of these 4 matches.
  • Preußen Münster conceded in 3 of these 4 matches.
  • MSV Duisburg scored in every one of these 4 matches.
  • MSV Duisburg conceded in every one of these 4 matches.
  • Both sides scored in every one of these 4 matches for MSV Duisburg.

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

3. Liga table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
14Preußen Münster134362125-415
2MSV Duisburg139223318+1529

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Preußen Münster vs MSV Duisburg

  • 23 February 2024Preussen Munster 3–1 MSV Duisburg3. Liga
  • 30 September 2023MSV Duisburg 0–0 Preussen Munster3. Liga
  • 13 July 2021MSV Duisburg 2–3 Preussen MunsterFriendlies Clubs

Leading scorers: Preußen Münster and MSV Duisburg

Preußen Münster

GoalsAssists

  • F. Higl41
  • Montell Ndikom40

MSV Duisburg

GoalsAssists

  • L. Lobinger44
  • P. Remmert40

Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.

The result against the call

MSV Duisburg won 2–1 at Preußen Münster. That was the exact score the model named before kick-off, with a win for MSV Duisburg at 43%. The goals: Niko Koulis (own goal) 60' for MSV Duisburg, Dominik Kother 69' for MSV Duisburg, Antonio Tikvić 77' for Preußen Münster.

What this result changed

Before kick-off the season simulation gave Preußen Münster a 19.6% chance to finish in the bottom four: 14.1% after a win, 20.3% after a draw, 23.0% after a defeat. The defeat was the worst of those results for them, and left the figure at 23.0%, 3.4 points higher than before the match.

For MSV Duisburg the question was the chance to finish in the top three, 69.7% going in: 75.3% after a win, 68.3% after a draw, 63.8% after a defeat. The win was the best of those results for them, and left the figure at 75.3%, 5.6 points higher than before the match.

Read from our 3. Liga season simulation as it stood before this match (10,000 runs), counting this result alone. Every result since then has moved the table again, so today's figure is on the competition page.

How the call on Preußen Münster v MSV Duisburg has moved

First published on 24 Oct at 29% / 24% / 47% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 5 updates, it read 32% / 25% / 43%: the biggest move is MSV Duisburg's chance of winning, down 4 points.

  1. Preußen Münster win32%▲ +3
  2. Draw25%▲ +1
  3. MSV Duisburg win43%▼ −4

Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.