18 October 2026, 15:15 UTC

Uta Arad vs CFR 1907 Cluj Liga I prediction & result

Arena Francisc Neuman, Arad
Referee: Marcel Birsan
Full time1 – 0

Final score: Uta Arad 1-0 CFR 1907 Cluj.

Before kick-off the model made it 37% Uta Arad, 28% draw, 35% CFR 1907 Cluj — fair odds of 2.70, 3.57 and 2.86.

Most likely scoreline: 1-0.

The model called the exact scoreline.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

Uta Arad at 37%: of 4,828 settled 30–40% forecasts, 33.4% came in (average 33.7%). It can be read literally. The full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Uta Arad96%Draw4%CFR 1907 Cluj0%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 1 goal. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

25'
Renato Pantalon
42'
Adi Nalić
Dmitro Pospelov
53'
⚽omar sawy el
55'
58'
🔁Lorenzo Bilibocout: Andres Emil Sfait
58'
🔁Adi Nalićout: Ervin Omic
58'
🔁Anton Krešićout: Sergiu Buş
🔁omar sawy elout: Denis Alberto Taroi
79'
80'
🔁Ovidiu Perianuout: Alexandru Păun
🔁Marius Comanout: Ismet Sinani
86'
🔁Jayson Papeauout: Marinos Tzionis
86'
90+1'
🔁Andrei Cordeaout: Jelani Trevisan
Alexandru Benga
90+2'

Match stats — Uta Arad vs CFR 1907 Cluj

52%Possession48%
24Shots6
8On target1
8Corners3
2.32xG1.1

Goals against chances

Uta Arad1 from 2.32 xGless than the chances were worth
CFR 1907 Cluj0 from 1.10 xGless than the chances were worth

Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.

Line-ups

Uta Arad 4-2-3-1
  • 1Márcio RosaG
  • 15P. OuanehD
  • 4A. BengaD
  • 60D. PospelovD
  • 6A. IvanovD
  • 5S. MinoM
  • 8A. RomanM
  • 42O. El SawyM
  • 77J. PapeauM
  • 11H. AbdallahM
  • 9M. ComanF
Substitutes
  • 20Denis TaroiM
  • 10M. TzionisF
  • 7Ismet SinaniF
  • 17Roland Remus Patrik SabauD
  • 19Denis IleM
  • 33A. GorceaG
  • 22R. BădescuD
Coach: A. Mihalcea
CFR 1907 Cluj 3-4-3
  • 31O. VâlceanuG
  • 3I. GelashviliD
  • 41A. KrešićD
  • 42R. PantalonD
  • 47C. BraunM
  • 6O. PerianuM
  • 7A. NalićM
  • 45M. CamoraM
  • 11A. CordeaF
  • 9S. DražićF
  • 17L. BilibocF
Substitutes
  • 99J. DumasF
  • 21C. IgnatD
  • 86V. KunM
  • 19S. BușF
  • 23A. ZiblimM
  • 96Á. TordaiG
  • 77A. SfaitM
  • 40Leonard SacaD
  • 18E. OmićM
Coach: M. Şumudică

Form going into Uta Arad vs CFR 1907 Cluj

Uta Arad

Liga I

  • L0-2away to FC Botosani10 October 2026

CFR 1907 Cluj

Liga I

  • W1-0away to Arges Pitesti12 October 2026

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

Liga I table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
10Uta Arad155371620-418
9CFR 1907 Cluj155462021-119

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Uta Arad vs CFR 1907 Cluj

  • 4 February 2026Uta Arad 0–1 CFR 1907 ClujLiga I
  • 21 September 2025CFR 1907 Cluj 1–1 Uta AradLiga I
  • 10 February 2025Uta Arad 1–4 CFR 1907 ClujLiga I
  • 28 September 2024CFR 1907 Cluj 1–3 Uta AradLiga I
  • 25 November 2023CFR 1907 Cluj 0–0 Uta AradLiga I
  • 21 July 2023Uta Arad 1–3 CFR 1907 ClujLiga I

Leading scorers: Uta Arad and CFR 1907 Cluj

Uta Arad

GoalsAssists

  • M. Coman50

CFR 1907 Cluj

GoalsAssists

  • S. Dražić71
  • A. Cordea62

Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.

The result against the call

Uta Arad beat CFR 1907 Cluj 1–0. That was the exact score the model named before kick-off, with a win for Uta Arad at 37%. The goal: omar sawy el 55' for Uta Arad. On expected goals it finished 2.32–1.10.

What this result changed

Before kick-off the season simulation gave Uta Arad a 14.4% chance to finish in the bottom three: 9.8% after a win, 15.0% after a draw, 18.5% after a defeat. The win was the best of those results for them, and left the figure at 9.8%, 4.6 points lower than before the match.

For CFR 1907 Cluj the question was the chance to finish in the top four, 20.0% going in: 26.1% after a win, 18.6% after a draw, 14.4% after a defeat. The defeat was the worst of those results for them, and left the figure at 14.4%, 5.6 points lower than before the match.

Read from our Liga I season simulation as it stood before this match (10,000 runs), counting this result alone. Every result since then has moved the table again, so today's figure is on the competition page.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.