24 October 2026, 13:00 UTC

Feirense vs Benfica B Segunda Liga prediction & result

Estadio Marcolino de Castro, Santa Maria da Feira
Referee: David Rafael Oliveira da Silva, Portugal
Full time0 – 0

Final score: Feirense 0-0 Benfica B.

Before kick-off the model made it 26% Feirense, 29% draw, 45% Benfica B — fair odds of 3.85, 3.45 and 2.22.

Most likely scoreline: 0-1.

The model got this one wrong.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

Benfica B at 45%: of 2,957 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Feirense3%Draw93%Benfica B4%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

•Jair Monteiro
27'
34'
Rui silva
•Jair Monteiro
44'
Pedro Pinto
45+5'
52'
Francisco Silva
59'
🔁Olivio Toméout: Peter Edokpolor
59'
🔁Rui silvaout: Martim Ferreira
60'
🔁Francisco Silvaout: Stevan Pedro Dores Manuel
🔁Henrique Pereiraout: Pedro Henrique de Oliveira da Silva
63'
Luís Teixeira Pinto
64'
🔁Guilherme Meira Ferreira Alvesout: Adriel Moraes
71'
🔁Diogo Mendesout: Mohamed Diaby
71'
80'
🔁Bernardesout: Felipe de Almeida Lima
🔁Pedro Pintoout: Tiago Castro
82'
🔁Luís Teixeira Pintoout: Alexandre Guedes
82'
86'
🔁Nuno Miguel Madeira Fernandes Felixout: Tomás Soares
Antonio Leal Mateos
88'
Joao Oliveira
90+5'

Match stats — Feirense vs Benfica B

42%Possession58%
5Shots9
3On target3
7Corners8

Line-ups

Feirense 3-4-3
  • 26Diego AltubeG
  • 14Pedro PintoD
  • 4Antonio LealD
  • 40João QueirósD
  • 20João OliveiraD
  • 77Gui MeiraM
  • 6Diogo MendesM
  • 16André LopesD
  • 25Henrique PereiraF
  • 9J. MonteiroF
  • 90LuisinhoM
Substitutes
  • 80AdrielF
  • 30Peter Adejimi
  • 24M. DiabyM
  • 8Gui SantosM
  • 15Diego MorenoD
  • 1Francisco MeixedoG
  • 47PiriF
  • 3KaiquyD
  • 23Pedro HenriqueF
Coach: Rui Ferreira
Benfica B 4-3-3
  • 51A. VoitinovičiusG
  • 78D. SoaresD
  • 55João Carvalho FonsecaD
  • 94Rui SilvaD
  • 52João CapuchoD
  • 76R. QuintasM
  • 60Nuno FélixM
  • 91Francisco SilvaF
  • 77Gonçalo Carvalho MoreiraF
  • 74O. TomeF
  • 54Francisco NetoF
Substitutes
  • 87Peter EdokpolorF
  • 75L. MartinsD
  • 85Martim Maria FerreiraM
  • 81Stevan ManuelM
  • 53Tiago RodriguesF
  • 56Felipe LimaF
  • 79T. SoaresF
  • 80G. SobralG
  • 63Guilherme gasparD
Coach: Nelson Veríssimo

Form going into Feirense vs Benfica B

Feirense

Segunda Liga

  • L1-2away to Farense11 October 2026
  • L0-1away to Chaves13 September 2026

Benfica B

Segunda Liga

  • W1-0Felgueiras 193212 October 2026
  • W3-0away to Academica11 September 2026

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

Segunda Liga table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
18Feirense10127311-85
3Benfica B10622148+620

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Feirense vs Benfica B

  • 9 March 2026Benfica B 3–0 FeirenseSegunda Liga
  • 25 October 2025Feirense 0–2 Benfica BSegunda Liga
  • 26 July 2025Feirense 5–2 Benfica BFriendlies Clubs
  • 7 February 2025Benfica B 0–1 FeirenseSegunda Liga
  • 1 September 2024Feirense 2–3 Benfica BSegunda Liga
  • 2 March 2024Feirense 1–2 Benfica BSegunda Liga

Leading scorers: Feirense and Benfica B

Feirense

GoalsAssists

  • J. Monteiro10

Benfica B

No player in Segunda Liga's leading scorers — 14 league goals as a side.

Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.

The result against the call

Feirense and Benfica B drew 0–0. The model had leaned towards a win for Benfica B at 45% and given a draw 29%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 3 matches like this one.

What this result changed

Before kick-off the season simulation gave Feirense a 80.5% chance to finish in the bottom three: 76.0% after a win, 80.7% after a draw, 83.3% after a defeat. The draw was the middle one of the three, and left the figure about where it was, at 80.7%.

For Benfica B the question was the chance to finish in the top three, 44.5% going in: 49.0% after a win, 41.6% after a draw, 37.8% after a defeat. The draw was the middle one of the three, and left the figure at 41.6%, 2.9 points lower than before the match.

Read from our Segunda Liga season simulation as it stood before this match (10,000 runs), counting this result alone. Every result since then has moved the table again, so today's figure is on the competition page.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.