24 October 2026, 10:00 UTC

Sporting CP B vs Portimonense Segunda Liga prediction & result

CGD Stadium Aurelio Pereira, Alcochete
Referee: Vitor Lopes, Portugal
Full time3 – 0

Final score: Sporting CP B 3-0 Portimonense.

Before kick-off the model made it 49% Sporting CP B, 27% draw, 24% Portimonense — fair odds of 2.04, 3.70 and 4.17.

Most likely scoreline: 1-0.

The model called the result correctly.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

Sporting CP B at 49%: of 2,957 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Sporting CP B99%Draw1%Portimonense0%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 3 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

Kauã Wellhington Oliveira Pinto
8'
⚽Ivanildo da Silva Mendesassist: Zaid Bafdili
15'
🔁Miguel Alvesout: Rafael Mota
34'
36'
Jarleysom Ferreira de Amurim
41'
Felipe Favero
🔁Atanasioout: Rodrigo Rodrigues
46'
🔁Biduout: Paulo Cardoso
46'
🔁Samuel Loureiro Carvalho Justoout: Mauro Couto
46'
46'
🔁Felipe Faveroout: Yanis da Rocha
⚽Mauro Couto
46'
52'
Samuel Neves Bengue
56'
🔁Dânio Djassiout: Samuel Yépié Yépié
56'
🔁Jarleysom Ferreira de Amurimout: Diogo Cabral
60'
•Welinton Junior
🔁Ivanildo da Silva Mendesout: Mateo Tanlongo
76'
79'
🔁João Reisout: Thauan Lara dos Santos
79'
🔁Tiago Filipe Prazeres Ferreiraout: Midana Bigna Soares Cassama
⚽Kauã Wellhington Oliveira Pinto
87'

Match stats — Sporting CP B vs Portimonense

41%Possession59%
12Shots18
4On target9
3Corners5

Line-ups

Sporting CP B 3-5-2
  • 99Francisco SilvaG
  • 84AtanasioD
  • 66Miguel Monteiro AlvesD
  • 45D. CoxiD
  • 59Kauã OliveiraM
  • 83Z. BafdiliM
  • 62I. da Silva MendesM
  • 96Samuel JustoM
  • 63Rafael CamachoF
  • 82Gabriel SilvaF
  • 88BiduF
Substitutes
  • 87Paulo CardosoM
  • 57C. GrombahiF
  • 78Mauro CoutoF
  • 76Rodrigo RodriguesM
  • 74Guilherme PiresG
  • 85Rafael MotaD
  • 86A. LeeD
  • 40M. TanlongoM
  • 91M. AlmeidaF
Coach: Tiago Fernandes
Portimonense 3-4-3
  • 1DuduG
  • 6S. NevesD
  • 4Italo CabelinhoD
  • 3Jarleysom AmurimD
  • 2EdneyF
  • 15XavierM
  • 80Felipe FaveroM
  • 17João ReisD
  • 18Tiago FerreiraF
  • 93Welinton JúniorF
  • 7Danio DjassiF
Substitutes
  • 65WellingtonG
  • 36Thauan LaraD
  • 73Marlon JúniorD
  • 8João CasimiroM
  • 9S. Yépié YépiéM
  • 21Yanis da RochaM
  • 11Diogo CabralF
  • 19Midana CassamaF
  • 38wermesonM
Coach: Alex

Form going into Sporting CP B vs Portimonense

Sporting CP B

Segunda Liga

  • W2-0away to Vizela10 October 2026
  • L1-2Lusitânia Lourosa14 September 2026

Portimonense

Segunda Liga

  • W2-1away to Amarante10 October 2026
  • L0-2Tondela12 September 2026

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

Segunda Liga table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
2Sporting CP B10712168+822
10Portimonense10424710-314

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Sporting CP B vs Portimonense

  • 15 February 2026Sporting CP B 4–3 PortimonenseSegunda Liga
  • 14 September 2025Portimonense 1–2 Sporting CP BSegunda Liga
  • 15 January 2017Portimonense 4–0 Sporting CP BSegunda Liga
  • 6 August 2016Sporting CP B 1–2 PortimonenseSegunda Liga

Leading scorers: Sporting CP B and Portimonense

Sporting CP B

GoalsAssists

  • Mauro Couto10
  • Paulo Cardoso10

Portimonense

GoalsAssists

  • Danio Djassi11
  • Welinton Júnior10

Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.

The result against the call

Sporting CP B beat Portimonense 3–0. The model had made a win for Sporting CP B its most likely outcome, at 49%, so the call held; the score it named was 1–0. The goals: Ivanildo da Silva Mendes 15' for Sporting CP B, Mauro Couto 46' for Sporting CP B, Kauã Wellhington Oliveira Pinto 87' for Sporting CP B.

What this result changed

Before kick-off the season simulation gave Sporting CP B a 33.6% chance to finish in the top three: 37.6% after a win, 30.8% after a draw, 26.6% after a defeat. The win was the best of those results for them, and left the figure at 37.6%, 4 points higher than before the match.

For Portimonense the question was the chance to finish in the bottom three, 16.7% going in: 11.7% after a win, 16.7% after a draw, 18.7% after a defeat. The defeat was the worst of those results for them, and left the figure at 18.7%, 2 points higher than before the match.

Read from our Segunda Liga season simulation as it stood before this match (10,000 runs), counting this result alone. Every result since then has moved the table again, so today's figure is on the competition page.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.