16 August 2026, 12:30 UTC

Feyenoord vs GO Ahead Eagles Eredivisie prediction & result

De Kuip, Rotterdam
Full time2 2

Final score: Feyenoord 2-2 GO Ahead Eagles.

Before kick-off the model made it 73% Feyenoord, 16% draw, 11% GO Ahead Eagles — fair odds of 1.37, 6.25 and 9.09. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.

Most likely scoreline: 2-0.

The model got this one wrong.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

It puts Feyenoord at 73% here. Across 2485 settled matches, 276 forecasts have landed in the 65–100% band; those outcomes actually happened 60.1% of the time, against an average forecast of 74.5%. In this range the model is over-confident, so read the figure above as optimistic rather than literal.

Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Feyenoord7%Draw90%GO Ahead Eagles3%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 4 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

G. Zechielassist: A. Ueda
32'
A. Uedaassist: A. Hadj Moussa
38'
63'
S. Tengstedtassist: E. Linthorst
🔁G. Diarraout: G. Borges
64'
🔁T. Watanabeout: T. Kraaijeveld
64'
🔁G. Readout: J. Lotomba
65'
68'
🔁Y. Salah Rahmouniout: T. Baeten
🔁C. Vanhoutteout: S. Steijn
72'
73'
🔁E. Flatakerout: O. Sivertsen
80'
🔁S. Tengstedtout: S. I. Sigurdarson
80'
🔁E. Linthorstout: C. Twigt
80'
🔁D. Jamesout: R. Margaret
80'
S. I. Sigurdarson
🔁L. Valenteout: S. van Persie
87'

Match stats — Feyenoord vs GO Ahead Eagles

53%Possession47%
28Shots14
6On target6
6Corners6
2.85xG1.51

Goals against chances

Feyenoord2 from 2.85 xGless than the chances were worth
GO Ahead Eagles2 from 1.51 xGabout what the chances were worth

Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.

Line-ups

Feyenoord 4-3-3
  • 1Tjark ErnstG
  • 26Givairo ReadD
  • 4Tsuyoshi WatanabeD
  • 6Jeremiah St JusteD
  • 35Mika MármolD
  • 8Gjivai ZechiëlM
  • 34Charles VanhoutteM
  • 10Luciano ValenteM
  • 23Anis Hadj MoussaF
  • 9Ayase UedaF
  • 27Gaoussou DiarraF
Substitutes
  • 24Thijs KraaijeveldM
  • 11Gonçalo BorgesF
  • 30Jordan LotombaD
  • 14Sem SteijnM
  • 49Shaqueel van PersieF
  • 39Liam BossinG
  • 32Tijme WesselsD
  • 20Mats DeijlD
  • 22Tobias van den ElshoutM
Coach: Giovanni van Bronckhorst
GO Ahead Eagles 4-2-3-1
  • 1Kjetil HaugG
  • 2Alfons SampstedD
  • 25Giovanni van ZwamD
  • 4Joris KramerD
  • 5Dean JamesD
  • 8Evert LinthorstM
  • 34Yassir RahmouniM
  • 10Søren TengstedtM
  • 16Victor EdvardsenM
  • 17Mathis SurayM
  • 29Erik FlatakerF
Substitutes
  • 23Thibo BaetenF
  • 11Oskar Siira SivertsenF
  • 6Calvin TwigtM
  • 9Stefán Ingi SigurðarsonF
  • 18Richonell MargaretF
  • 33Nando VerdoniG
  • 22Nick MarsmanG
  • 31Dani TijmanF
  • 20Eus WaayersD
Coach: Joseph Oosting

Form going into Feyenoord vs GO Ahead Eagles

Feyenoord

  • W1-0away to Sparta Rotterdam9 August 2026

GO Ahead Eagles

  • W4-1Willem II8 August 2026

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.

Eredivisie table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
3Feyenoord6420207+1314
8GO Ahead Eagles62311513+29

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Feyenoord vs GO Ahead Eagles

  • 16 August 2026Feyenoord 2–2 GO Ahead EaglesEredivisie
  • 15 February 2026Feyenoord 1–0 GO Ahead EaglesEredivisie
  • 9 November 2025GO Ahead Eagles 2–1 FeyenoordEredivisie
  • 30 March 2025Feyenoord 3–2 GO Ahead EaglesEredivisie
  • 19 October 2024GO Ahead Eagles 1–5 FeyenoordEredivisie
  • 25 April 2024GO Ahead Eagles 1–3 FeyenoordEredivisie

Leading scorers: Feyenoord and GO Ahead Eagles

Feyenoord

  • G. Zechiël5 goals3 assists
  • L. Valente3 goals1 assists
  • Nacho Ferri3 goals1 assists

GO Ahead Eagles

  • S. Tengstedt5 goals2 assists
  • V. Edvardsen3 goals2 assists

Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.