Konyaspor vs Galatasaray Süper Lig prediction & result
Final score: Konyaspor 0-4 Galatasaray.
Before kick-off the model made it 24% Konyaspor, 27% draw, 49% Galatasaray — fair odds of 4.17, 3.70 and 2.04.
Most likely scoreline: 0-1.
The model called the result correctly.
Published
Has the model earned this number?
Galatasaray at 49%: of 2,957 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 4 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Konyaspor vs Galatasaray
Goals against chances
Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.
Line-ups
- 13Bahadır Han GüngördüG
- 17Yhoan AndzouanaD
- 22Rayyan BaniyaD
- 15Chidozie AwaziemD
- 26Arthur MasuakuD
- 8Marko JevtovićM
- 77Melih İbrahimoğluM
- 9Deniz TürüçM
- 66Rajmund TóthM
- 91Jean-Luc DompéM
- 11Jackson MulekaF
- 1Deniz ErtaşG
- 10Enis BardhiM
- 42Mostafa MohamedF
- 5Uğurcan YazğılıD
- 19Ebrima ColleyF
- 94Enis DestanF
- 2Ahmet OğuzD
- 3Arif BoşlukD
- 7Diogo GonçalvesM
- 1Uğurcan ÇakırG
- 7Roland SallaiD
- 6Davinson SánchezD
- 90Wilfried SingoD
- 17Eren ElmalıD
- 34Lucas TorreiraM
- 8Gabriel SaraM
- 11Yunus AkgünM
- 83Aleksey BatrakovM
- 27Rafael LeãoM
- 45Victor OsimhenF
- 74Renato NhagaM
- 20İlkay GündoğanM
- 18Lesley UgochukwuM
- 10Leroy SanéF
- 21Deniz GülF
- 3El Chadaille BitshiabuD
- 19Günay GüvençG
- 4Ismail JakobsD
- 53Barış Alper YılmazF
Form going into Konyaspor vs Galatasaray
Konyaspor
Süper Lig
- W2-0Gençlerbirliği S.K.25 October 2026
- L0-1away to Amed17 October 2026
- D0-0Başakşehir11 October 2026
Galatasaray
Süper Lig
- W2-1Fenerbahçe26 October 2026
- W1-0away to Gençlerbirliği S.K.17 October 2026
- W3-1Kasımpaşa9 October 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Süper Lig table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Konyaspor | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 14 | -8 | 8 |
| 1 | Galatasaray | 11 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 27 | 15 | +12 | 28 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Galatasaray vs Konyaspor
Galatasaray and Konyaspor have met 7 times in the records we hold, Galatasaray has won 5 of them to Konyaspor's 1, with 1 drawn.
The record
Galatasaray won the last one 4–0 on 30 Oct 2026.
| Club | W | D | L | GF | GA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Galatasaray | 5 | 1 | 1 | 15 | 5 |
| Konyaspor | 1 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 15 |
Between them these 7 meetings produced 20 goals, an average of 2.86 a game.
Every meeting
Every recorded meeting, newest first.
- 30 Oct 2026
Süper LigKonyaspor 0–4 Galatasaray - 21 Feb 2026
Süper LigKonyaspor 2–0 Galatasaray - 22 Sep 2025
Süper LigGalatasaray 3–1 Konyaspor - 22 Apr 2025
Türkiye KupasıKonyaspor 1–5 Galatasaray - 27 Feb 2025
Türkiye KupasıGalatasaray 0–0 Konyaspor - 25 Jan 2025
Süper LigGalatasaray 1–0 Konyaspor - 16 Aug 2024
Süper LigKonyaspor 1–2 Galatasaray
How the model rates them now
On the current ratings, Galatasaray's attack rates 146% above Konyaspor's, and Galatasaray concede 9% fewer than Konyaspor. That gives Galatasaray the edge at both ends. How the ratings are derived.
| Club | Attack | Defence |
|---|---|---|
| Galatasaray | 1.38 | 0.98 |
| Konyaspor | 0.56 | 1.08 |
Leading scorers: Konyaspor and Galatasaray
Konyaspor
No player in Süper Lig's leading scorers — 6 league goals as a side.
Galatasaray
GoalsAssists
- V. Osimhen93
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Galatasaray won 4–0 at Konyaspor. The model had made a win for Galatasaray its most likely outcome, at 49%, so the call held; the score it named was 1–0. The goals: V. Osimhen 12' for Galatasaray, Y. Akgun 28' for Galatasaray, A. Batrakov 49' for Galatasaray, R. Leao (penalty) 55' for Galatasaray. On expected goals it finished 1.31–2.66.
What this result changed
Before kick-off the season simulation gave Konyaspor a 13.5% chance to finish in the bottom three: 8.1% after a win, 13.1% after a draw, 15.4% after a defeat. The defeat was the worst of those results for them, and left the figure at 15.4%, 1.9 points higher than before the match.
For Galatasaray the question was the chance to win the league, 39.9% going in: 43.8% after a win, 36.3% after a draw, 34.1% after a defeat. The win was the best of those results for them, and left the figure at 43.8%, 3.9 points higher than before the match.
Read from our Süper Lig season simulation as it stood before this match (10,000 runs), counting this result alone. Every result since then has moved the table again, so today's figure is on the competition page.
How the call on Konyaspor v Galatasaray has moved
First published on 16 Oct at 23% / 25% / 52% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 3 updates, it read 24% / 27% / 49%: the biggest move is Galatasaray's chance of winning, down 3 points.
- Konyaspor win24%▲ +1
- Draw27%▲ +2
- Galatasaray win49%▼ −3
Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line; middle ring: the model's probability for this match. Not betting advice. How to read this.