31 October 2026, 13:00 UTC

SSV Jahn Regensburg vs Hansa Rostock 3. Liga prediction & result

Jahnstadion Regensburg, Regensburg
Referee: Timon Oliver Schulz
Full time2 – 1

Final score: SSV Jahn Regensburg 2-1 Hansa Rostock.

Before kick-off the model made it 43% SSV Jahn Regensburg, 27% draw, 30% Hansa Rostock — fair odds of 2.33, 3.70 and 3.33.

Most likely scoreline: 2-1.

The model called the exact scoreline.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

SSV Jahn Regensburg at 43%: of 2,957 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

SSV Jahn Regensburg97%Draw3%Hansa Rostock0%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 3 goals, and a card each of the 1 sending-off. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

11'
⚽Leon Dajakuassist: Andreas Voglsammer
24'
Niklas Kolle
Leopold Wurm
27'
37'
Leon Dajaku
Oscar Schoenfelder
40'
45'
Leon Dajaku
🔁Oscar Schoenfelderout: Benedikt Bauer
45'
🔁Leopold Wurmout: David Lennart Philipp
45'
⚽Lucas Hermesassist: Nicolas Kisilowski
49'
⚽Benedikt Bauerassist: Nassim Boujellab
52'
60'
🔁Yannick Michaelisout: David Kopacz
60'
🔁Leon Reichardtout: Maximilian Krauss
Nicolas Kisilowski
65'
66'
Florian-Horst Carstens
🔁Lucas Hermesout: John Xaver Posselt
73'
🔁Patrick Hobschout: Erik Majetschak
73'
77'
🔁Andreas Voglsammerout: Peter Kiedl
77'
🔁Niklas Kolleout: Milosz Brzozowski
David Lennart Philipp
89'
Erik Majetschak
90+1'
90+1'
🔁Marco Schusterout: Ahmet Gurleyen
🔁Nassim Boujellabout: Sebastian Stolze
90+2'
90+5'
Maximilian Krauss
90+5'
Milosz Brzozowski

Match stats — SSV Jahn Regensburg vs Hansa Rostock

47%Possession53%
11Shots10
5On target5
3Corners12

Line-ups

SSV Jahn Regensburg 3-4-2-1
  • 1H. HermannG
  • 37Leopold WurmD
  • 5L. MühlD
  • 44M. KarbsteinD
  • 25N. OliveiraM
  • 31L. MätzlerM
  • 35S. HingerlM
  • 7O. SchönfelderM
  • 27L. HermesM
  • 10N. BoujellabM
  • 34P. HobschF
Substitutes
  • 20J. PosseltF
  • 23M. SchmittG
  • 22S. StolzeD
  • 11M. WörnerF
  • 8D. PhilippF
  • 13E. MajetschakM
  • 21Z. JánóM
  • 29A. FeinM
  • 26B. BauerD
Coach: S. Hildmann
Hansa Rostock 3-4-2-1
  • 25P. KlewinG
  • 17F. CarstensD
  • 23F. PfanneD
  • 22L. ReichardtD
  • 8Ouassim KaradaM
  • 5M. SchusterM
  • 4K. FatkićM
  • 32N. KölleM
  • 41Y. MichaelisM
  • 43L. DajakuM
  • 9A. VoglsammerF
Substitutes
  • 36F. BockM
  • 3F. BohnertD
  • 37M. BrzozowskiM
  • 42B. DietzeM
  • 15A. GürleyenD
  • 29P. KiedlF
  • 27D. KopaczM
  • 35M. KraußM
  • 31J. JantunenG
Coach: A. Breitenreiter

Form going into SSV Jahn Regensburg vs Hansa Rostock

SSV Jahn Regensburg

3. Liga

  • L0-1away to Rot-Weiß Essen23 October 2026
  • D0-0SV Wehen17 October 2026
  • D2-2away to Verl14 October 2026

Hansa Rostock

3. Liga

  • D1-1Fortuna Düsseldorf24 October 2026
  • L0-2away to Alemannia Aachen17 October 2026
  • L0-2SV Meppen13 October 2026

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

3. Liga table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
16SSV Jahn Regensburg133462323013
10Hansa Rostock135442222019

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: SSV Jahn Regensburg vs Hansa Rostock

  • 25 April 2026Hansa Rostock 2–5 SSV Jahn Regensburg3. Liga
  • 30 November 2025SSV Jahn Regensburg 0–3 Hansa Rostock3. Liga
  • 6 May 2023Hansa Rostock 2–0 Jahn Regensburg2. Bundesliga
  • 29 October 2022Jahn Regensburg 0–3 Hansa Rostock2. Bundesliga
  • 17 April 2022Hansa Rostock 1–1 Jahn Regensburg2. Bundesliga
  • 6 November 2021Jahn Regensburg 2–3 Hansa Rostock2. Bundesliga

Leading scorers: SSV Jahn Regensburg and Hansa Rostock

SSV Jahn Regensburg

GoalsAssists

  • L. Hermes62
  • N. Boujellab34

Hansa Rostock

GoalsAssists

  • A. Voglsammer41

Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.

The result against the call

SSV Jahn Regensburg beat Hansa Rostock 2–1. That was the exact score the model named before kick-off, with a win for SSV Jahn Regensburg at 43%. The goals: Leon Dajaku 11' for Hansa Rostock, Lucas Hermes 49' for SSV Jahn Regensburg, Benedikt Bauer 52' for SSV Jahn Regensburg. Sent off: Leon Dajaku (Hansa Rostock) 45'.

What this result changed

Before kick-off the season simulation gave SSV Jahn Regensburg a 13.3% chance to finish in the bottom four: 10.3% after a win, 14.0% after a draw, 16.7% after a defeat. The win was the best of those results for them, and left the figure at 10.3%, 3 points lower than before the match.

For Hansa Rostock the question was the chance to finish in the top three, 12.5% going in: 16.4% after a win, 12.1% after a draw, 9.7% after a defeat. The defeat was the worst of those results for them, and left the figure at 9.7%, 2.8 points lower than before the match.

Read from our 3. Liga season simulation as it stood before this match (10,000 runs), counting this result alone. Every result since then has moved the table again, so today's figure is on the competition page.

How the call on SSV Jahn Regensburg v Hansa Rostock has moved

First published on 17 Oct at 42% / 26% / 32% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 4 updates, it read 43% / 27% / 30%: the biggest move is Hansa Rostock's chance of winning, down 2 points.

  1. SSV Jahn Regensburg win43%▲ +1
  2. Draw27%▲ +1
  3. Hansa Rostock win30%▼ −2

Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.