31 October 2026, 13:00 UTC

Hoffenheim II vs FC Viktoria Köln 3. Liga prediction & result

Dietmar-Hopp Stadion, Sinsheim
Referee: Henry Schroder
Full time0 – 1

Final score: Hoffenheim II 0-1 FC Viktoria Köln.

Before kick-off the model made it 34% Hoffenheim II, 26% draw, 40% FC Viktoria Köln — fair odds of 2.94, 3.85 and 2.50.

Most likely scoreline: 1-2.

The model called the result correctly.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

FC Viktoria Köln at 40%: of 2,957 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Hoffenheim II0%Draw4%FC Viktoria Köln96%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 1 goal. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

32'
⚽Kilian Jakobassist: David Otto
🔁Lion Wagenbachout: Konstantin Aleksa
56'
Matthew Moore
64'
64'
🔁Niklas Horst Castelleout: Noah Maboulou
64'
🔁Pascal Fallmannout: Verthomy Schilo Boboy
65'
Tim Kloss
76'
Noah Maboulou
🔁Diren Dağdevirenout: K. Čížek
76'
🔁Matthew Mooreout: Timo Hildmann
76'
🔁Maxime Ndong Pendaout: Santino Pistrol
76'
80'
🔁David Ottoout: Jakob Sachse
🔁Luis Engelnsout: Emil Kramer
88'
90'
Niklas Swider
90+1'
🔁Niklas Jahnout: Babacar Eric Gueye

Match stats — Hoffenheim II vs FC Viktoria Köln

52%Possession48%
5Shots8
2On target6
3Corners2

Line-ups

Hoffenheim II 4-3-3
  • 1L. PeterssonG
  • 15Matthew MooreD
  • 3Sean DulicD
  • 44Maxime Ndong PendaD
  • 47Maximilian TheuerD
  • 8Diren DağdevirenM
  • 20Juan Tiago Esteban PollerM
  • 16L. EngelnsM
  • 17B. MakandaF
  • 36J. DedicF
  • 18L. WagenbachF
Substitutes
  • 32Tim PhilippG
  • 9B. O. LabesF
  • 22T. MüllerD
  • 21T. HildmannD
  • 25Konstantin AleksaF
  • 40Pistrol SantinoD
  • 26K. ČížekM
  • 24Nevio OstheimerM
  • 45Emil KramerM
Coach: Stefan Kleineheismann
FC Viktoria Köln 3-4-2-1
  • 1A. SchulzG
  • 19M. SponselD
  • 6T. EisenhuthD
  • 18Tim KlossD
  • 28P. FallmannM
  • 16N. JahnM
  • 20Niklas SwiderM
  • 26K. JakobM
  • 44N. CastelleM
  • 8T. DumanM
  • 10D. OttoF
Substitutes
  • 22V. BoboyD
  • 12D. WyciokG
  • 39F. AlbersD
  • 24J. AmannM
  • 15C. GregerD
  • 11E. GueyeM
  • 37N. Le BretF
  • 17M. PledlM
  • 9J. SachseF
Coach: M. Wilhelm

Form going into Hoffenheim II vs FC Viktoria Köln

Hoffenheim II

3. Liga

  • L1-4away to Waldhof Mannheim25 October 2026
  • W2-1Verl18 October 2026
  • L2-3away to Stuttgart II13 October 2026

FC Viktoria Köln

3. Liga

  • W3-1Verl24 October 2026
  • D1-1away to MSV Duisburg18 October 2026
  • D2-2SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach14 October 2026

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

3. Liga table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
9Hoffenheim II136162220+219
1FC Viktoria Köln139223618+1829

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Hoffenheim II vs FC Viktoria Köln

  • 22 February 2026Hoffenheim II 1–3 FC Viktoria Köln3. Liga
  • 16 September 2025FC Viktoria Köln 2–1 Hoffenheim II3. Liga

Leading scorers: Hoffenheim II and FC Viktoria Köln

Hoffenheim II

GoalsAssists

  • Y. B. Zor Muhammed83

FC Viktoria Köln

GoalsAssists

  • D. Otto55
  • N. Castelle52

Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.

The result against the call

FC Viktoria Köln won 1–0 at Hoffenheim II. The model had made a win for FC Viktoria Köln its most likely outcome, at 40%, so the call held; the score it named was 2–1. The goal: Kilian Jakob 32' for FC Viktoria Köln.

What this result changed

Before kick-off the season simulation gave Hoffenheim II a 10.4% chance to finish in the bottom four: 7.0% after a win, 10.4% after a draw, 12.7% after a defeat. The defeat was the worst of those results for them, and left the figure at 12.7%, 2.3 points higher than before the match.

For FC Viktoria Köln the question was the chance to finish in the top three, 66.1% going in: 72.8% after a win, 63.1% after a draw, 60.5% after a defeat. The win was the best of those results for them, and left the figure at 72.8%, 6.7 points higher than before the match.

Read from our 3. Liga season simulation as it stood before this match (10,000 runs), counting this result alone. Every result since then has moved the table again, so today's figure is on the competition page.

How the call on Hoffenheim II v FC Viktoria Köln has moved

First published on 17 Oct at 37% / 26% / 37% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 2 updates, it read 34% / 26% / 40%: the biggest move is Hoffenheim II's chance of winning, down 3 points.

  1. Hoffenheim II win34%▼ −3
  2. Draw26%=
  3. FC Viktoria Köln win40%▲ +3

Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.