18 October 2026, 16:30 UTC

Girona vs FC Andorra Segunda División prediction & result

Estadio Municipal de Montilivi, Girona
Referee: D. Arcediano
Full time2 – 0

Final score: Girona 2-0 FC Andorra.

Before kick-off the model made it 54% Girona, 25% draw, 21% FC Andorra — fair odds of 1.85, 4.00 and 4.76.

Most likely scoreline: 1-0.

The model called the result correctly.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

Girona at 54%: of 1,648 settled 50–65% forecasts, 58.6% came in (average 55.4%). It can be read literally. The full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Girona99%Draw1%FC Andorra0%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 2 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

⚽Bryan Gil
5'
29'
Marc Doménech Costa
⚽Vladyslav Vanat
31'
45'
🔁Diego Díazout: Julian Rijkhoff
45'
🔁Sergio Molinaout: Hugo López
45'
🔁Jordi Canoout: Lautaro De León
49'
Diego Alende
🔁Bryan Gilout: Yaser Asprilla
63'
Alejandro Francés
65'
Oleksandr Pyshchur
67'
🔁Mateu Moreyout: Javier Boñar
71'
🔁Vladyslav Vanatout: Unai Hernández
71'
83'
🔁Lautaro Marco Spatzout: Randy Schneider
🔁Oleksandr Pyshchurout: Abel Ruíz
84'
🔁Carles Pérezout: Portu
84'
90'
🔁Efe Akmanout: Nacho Quintana

Match stats — Girona vs FC Andorra

33%Possession67%
11Shots6
4On target3
2Corners6
1.32xG0.37

Goals against chances

Girona2 from 1.32 xGmore than the chances were worth
FC Andorra0 from 0.37 xGabout what the chances were worth

Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.

Line-ups

Girona 4-4-2
  • 13P. GazzanigaG
  • 3Mateu MoreyD
  • 5David LópezD
  • 16Alejandro FrancésD
  • 11Álex MorenoD
  • 23Carles PérezM
  • 24I. GonzalezM
  • 8Fran BeltránM
  • 17Bryan GilM
  • 19V. VanatF
  • 15Oleksandr PishchurF
Substitutes
  • 30Unai HernándezM
  • 29L. KouroumaM
  • 25V. KrapyvtsovG
  • 33M. FurtadoD
  • 14Iván MoranteM
  • 2A. MuminD
  • 10PortuF
  • 9Abel RuizF
  • 38Holmes ZamoranoD
Coach: Quique Álvarez
FC Andorra 4-3-3
  • 25Jesús OwonoG
  • 17T. CarriqueD
  • 3L. SpatzD
  • 23Diego AlendeD
  • 20Martí VilàD
  • 10Marc DomènechM
  • 14Sergio MolinaM
  • 8E. AkmanM
  • 22D. DiazF
  • 15Jordi CanoF
  • 21Moró SidibeF
Substitutes
  • 12E. SaliF
  • 9Julian Dean RijkhoffF
  • 1N. RattiG
  • 19Nacho QuintanaM
  • 28T. OlmedoM
  • 29Hugo LópezF
  • 27S. GolubovicF
  • 16R. SchneiderM
  • 2Juan SerranoD
Coach: Carles Manso

Form going into Girona vs FC Andorra

Girona

All competitions we cover

  • D1-1away to Tenerife12 October 2026
  • D0-0Mallorca4 October 2026
  • W2-0Albacete25 September 2026
  • W2-1away to Cadiz19 September 2026
  • L1-2Castellón12 September 2026

FC Andorra

Segunda División

  • W1-0Castellón11 October 2026

What these results say

  • Girona scored in 4 of these 5 matches.

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

Segunda División table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
3Girona147342413+1124
19FC Andorra133281824-611

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Girona vs FC Andorra

  • 22 July 2023Girona 2–2 FC AndorraFriendlies Clubs
  • 27 July 2022Girona 2–0 FC AndorraFriendlies Clubs

Leading scorers: Girona and FC Andorra

Girona

GoalsAssists

  • V. Vanat52
  • Y. Asprilla51

FC Andorra

GoalsAssists

  • Jordi Cano52

Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.

The result against the call

Girona beat FC Andorra 2–0. The model had made a win for Girona its most likely outcome, at 54%, so the call held; the score it named was 1–0. The goals: Bryan Gil 5' for Girona, Vladyslav Vanat 31' for Girona. On expected goals it finished 1.32–0.37.

What this result changed

Before kick-off the season simulation gave Girona a 45.6% chance to finish in the top four: 49.0% after a win, 42.4% after a draw, 37.8% after a defeat. The win was the best of those results for them, and left the figure at 49.0%, 3.4 points higher than before the match.

Read from our Segunda División season simulation as it stood before this match (10,000 runs), counting this result alone. Every result since then has moved the table again, so today's figure is on the competition page.

How the call on Girona v FC Andorra has moved

First published on 4 Oct at 51% / 26% / 23% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 3 updates, it read 54% / 25% / 21%: the biggest move is Girona's chance of winning, up 3 points.

  1. Girona win54%▲ +3
  2. Draw25%▼ −1
  3. FC Andorra win21%▼ −2

Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.