13 August 2026, 18:30 UTC

Rangers vs Jagiellonia UEFA Europa League prediction & result

Ibrox Stadium, Glasgow
Full time1 – 1

Final score: Rangers 1-1 Jagiellonia.

Before kick-off the model made it 33% Rangers, 21% draw, 46% Jagiellonia — fair odds of 3.03, 4.76 and 2.17. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.

Most likely scoreline: 1-2.

The model got this one wrong.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

It puts Jagiellonia at 46% here. Across 2488 settled matches, 1123 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 44.4% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.8%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.

Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Rangers5%Draw89%Jagiellonia6%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 2 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

⚽L. Shankland (pen)
19'
46'
T. Romanczuk
🔁T. Aasgaardout: R. McCrorie
46'
63'
B. Vital
65'
⚽N. Prelecassist: A. Klynge
🔁D. Neilout: C. Devlin
66'
🔁N. Raskinout: V. Dragojevic
66'
70'
A. Klynge
V. Dragojevic
73'
D. McInnes
73'
🔁R. Naderiout: B. Miovski
75'
🔁D. Gassamaout: F. Curtis
75'
79'
🔁A. Klyngeout: E. Kozlowski
83'
🔁R. Conceicaoout: J. Agbonifo
83'
🔁N. Prelecout: Y. Sylla
90+4'
🔁J. Imazout: A. Konstantopoulos

Line-ups

Rangers
  • 1I. Pandur
  • 21D. Sterling
  • 37E. Fernandez
  • 24O. Makhanya
  • 17D. Yokota
  • 43N. Raskin
  • 6D. Neil
  • 11T. Aasgaard
  • 23D. Gassama
  • 7L. Shankland
  • 20R. Naderi
Substitutes
  • 31L. Kelly
  • 2R. McCrorie
  • 8C. Barron
  • 14C. Devlin
  • 16L. Cameron
  • 22V. Dragojevic
  • 28B. Miovski
  • 41Z. Hutton
  • 42T. Chukwuani
Coach: Derek McInnes
Jagiellonia
  • 50S. Abramowicz
  • 15N. Wojtuszek
  • 5B. Vital
  • 4Y. Kobayashi
  • 23G. Montoia
  • 11J. Imaz
  • 6T. Romanczuk
  • 19A. Klynge
  • 27R. Conceicao
  • 99N. Prelec
  • 7K. Szmyt
Substitutes
  • 1M. Perchel
  • 2C. Polak
  • 8D. Drachal
  • 9D. Rallis
  • 10J. Agbonifo
  • 17Y. Sylla
  • 21S. Lozano
  • 44A. Konstantopoulos
  • 61B. Krasiewicz
Coach: Adrian Siemieniec

Form going into Rangers vs Jagiellonia

Rangers

  • L1-2Hibernian9 August 2026

Jagiellonia

  • W2-1Rangers6 August 2026

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.

Rangers and Jagiellonia in their domestic leagues

#TeamLeaguePWDLGFGAGDPts
2RangersPremiership641174+313
28JagielloniaUEFA Europa League100112-10

Each side's position in its own domestic league today, not on the day of this match — they meet here from different competitions. Full tables: Premiership · UEFA Europa League

Head-to-head: Rangers vs Jagiellonia

  • 13 August 2026Rangers 1–1 JagielloniaUEFA Europa League
  • 6 August 2026Jagiellonia 2–1 RangersUEFA Europa League

Leading scorers: Rangers and Jagiellonia

Rangers

  • L. Shankland3 goals

Jagiellonia

  • K. Szmyt1 goals

Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.