25 October 2026, 16:00 UTC

Göztepe vs Çorum FK Süper Lig prediction & result

Izmir
Referee: Mehmet Türkmen, Türkiye
Full time2 – 0

Final score: Göztepe 2-0 Çorum FK.

Before kick-off the model made it 40% Göztepe, 23% draw, 37% Çorum FK — fair odds of 2.50, 4.35 and 2.70.

Most likely scoreline: 2-1.

The model called the result correctly.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

Göztepe at 40%: of 2,957 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Göztepe99%Draw1%Çorum FK0%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 2 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

⚽A. Antunes
3'
🔁Rhaldneyout: F. Anjorin
23'
33'
C. Soyuncu
F. Anjorin
34'
35'
🔁C. Soyuncuout: M. Karlsbakk
⚽Juanassist: A. Antunes
38'
46'
🔁B. Ozdemirout: M. Thiam
46'
🔁A. Kyziridisout: E. Mahmic
🔁Juanout: Janderson
58'
63'
🔁J. Ramirezout: Y. Moukoko
🔁A. Antunesout: E. Bekiroglu
83'
🔁Andre Henriqueout: B. Boke
83'
🔁F. Anjorinout: A. Matos
83'
89'
🔁C. Underout: G. Gurpuz

Match stats — Göztepe vs Çorum FK

37%Possession63%
15Shots13
7On target5
2Corners3
1.91xG0.74

Goals against chances

Göztepe2 from 1.91 xGabout what the chances were worth
Çorum FK0 from 0.74 xGless than the chances were worth

Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.

Line-ups

Göztepe 3-4-1-2
  • 1Arda ÖzçimenG
  • 4Taha AltıkardeşD
  • 19Noah Sonko SundbergD
  • 26Malcom BokeleD
  • 2Arda KurtulanM
  • 5RhaldneyM
  • 20Novatus MiroshiM
  • 12Richard AkonnorM
  • 8Alexis AntunesF
  • 7André HenriqueF
  • 9Juan Santos da SilvaF
Substitutes
  • 18Tino AnjorinM
  • 39JandersonF
  • 6Alex MatosM
  • 10Efkan BekiroğluM
  • 14Bekir Turaç BökeF
  • 71Nevzat ÜzelG
  • 33Mehmet Şamil ÖztürkG
  • 13Ege YildirimD
  • 22Sinclair ArmstrongF
Çorum FK 3-4-3
  • 1Marcos FelipeG
  • 5Alexandre PenetraD
  • 2Çağlar SöyüncüD
  • 6Hrvoje SmolčićD
  • 11Gökhan SazdağıM
  • 3Berat ÖzdemirM
  • 20Ylber RamadaniM
  • 10Mohammed DiomandeM
  • 7Cengiz ÜnderF
  • 19Jesús RamírezF
  • 89Alexandros KyziridisF
Substitutes
  • 8Markus KarlsbakkM
  • 26Ermin MahmićM
  • 9Mame ThiamF
  • 14Youssoufa MoukokoF
  • 21Göktan GürpüzM
  • 18Erhan ErentürkG
  • 15Arda ŞengülD
  • 88Cemali SertelD
  • 24Andrei BorzaD

Form going into Göztepe vs Çorum FK

Göztepe

Süper Lig

  • W2-1away to Kocaelispor18 October 2026
  • W4-0away to Eyüpspor12 October 2026

Çorum FK

Süper Lig

  • W2-1Rizespor16 October 2026
  • W3-0away to Gaziantep FK11 October 2026

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

Süper Lig table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
10Göztepe114342219+315
9Çorum FK115152121016

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Göztepe vs Çorum FK

  • 27 January 2024Çorum FK 1–1 Göztepe1. Lig
  • 26 August 2023Göztepe 1–2 Çorum FK1. Lig

Leading scorers: Göztepe and Çorum FK

Göztepe

GoalsAssists

  • Juan71
  • André Henrique41

Çorum FK

GoalsAssists

  • C. Ramírez61
  • A. Kyziridis44
  • C. Ünder42

Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.

The result against the call

Göztepe beat Çorum FK 2–0. The model had made a win for Göztepe its most likely outcome, at 40%, so the call held; the score it named was 2–1. The goals: A. Antunes 3' for Göztepe, Juan 38' for Göztepe. On expected goals it finished 1.91–0.74.

What this result changed

Before kick-off the season simulation gave Göztepe a 8.0% chance to finish in the bottom three: 4.9% after a win, 8.8% after a draw, 10.0% after a defeat. The win was the best of those results for them, and left the figure at 4.9%, 3.1 points lower than before the match.

For Çorum FK the question was the chance to finish in the top four, 16.1% going in: 18.6% after a win, 14.6% after a draw, 14.0% after a defeat. The defeat was the worst of those results for them, and left the figure at 14.0%, 2.1 points lower than before the match.

Read from our Süper Lig season simulation as it stood before this match (10,000 runs), counting this result alone. Every result since then has moved the table again, so today's figure is on the competition page.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.