25 October 2026, 12:30 UTC

Havelse vs FC Saarbrücken 3. Liga prediction & result

Heinz-von-Heiden-Arena , Hannover
Referee: Maximilian Lotz
Full time3 – 2

Final score: Havelse 3-2 FC Saarbrücken.

Before kick-off the model made it 30% Havelse, 25% draw, 45% FC Saarbrücken — fair odds of 3.33, 4.00 and 2.22.

Most likely scoreline: 1-2.

The model got this one wrong.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

FC Saarbrücken at 45%: of 2,957 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Havelse99%Draw1%FC Saarbrücken0%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 5 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

14'
⚽Alexander Staffassist: Florian Pick
34'
Florian Pick
36'
Kai Brünker
⚽Johann Berger (pen)
37'
🔁Yusuf Wardakout: Alexander Guiddir
45'
⚽Johann Berger (pen)
47'
47'
Daniel Gleiber
Johann Berger
48'
60'
🔁Alexander Staffout: Gokdeniz Gurpuz
60'
🔁Daniel Gleiberout: Zac Shuaib
65'
Kelsey Owusu
🔁Kevin Schumacherout: Eric Voufack
68'
70'
🔁Kelsey Owusuout: Maurice Multhaup
81'
🔁Christian Kühlwetterout: Kaan Caliskaner
81'
🔁Niko Bretschneiderout: Anton Bäuerle
⚽Eric Voufackassist: Dennis Duah
88'
🔁Eryk Artur Grzywaczout: Niklas Tauer
89'
90+1'
⚽Kai Brünkerassist: Anton Bäuerle
⚽Alexander Guiddir (pen)
90+3'
90+3'
Matteo Bignetti

Match stats — Havelse vs FC Saarbrücken

48%Possession52%
10Shots13
6On target7
4Corners2

Line-ups

Havelse 3-5-2
  • 1T. OpitzG
  • 15D. DuahD
  • 8J. BergerD
  • 4S. BelkahiaD
  • 22L. SommerM
  • 12Eryk Artur GrzywaczM
  • 27I. NdukaM
  • 33J. TugbenyoM
  • 10K. SchumacherM
  • 14Y. WardakF
  • 11K. Okyere WriedtF
Substitutes
  • 24Y. MausehundD
  • 9L. PaldinoF
  • 7M. RichterM
  • 5N. TauerM
  • 28R. VelascoF
  • 19E. VoufackD
  • 3M. LambyD
  • 20Alexander GuiddirF
  • 25Fynn Ole WolterG
Coach: S. Ferchichi
FC Saarbrücken 4-4-2
  • 1M. BignettiG
  • 42P. FahrnerD
  • 21M. CvjetinovićD
  • 4S. VoetD
  • 28N. BretschneiderD
  • 20F. PickM
  • 5Daniel GleiberM
  • 10C. KühlwetterM
  • 31K. MeiselM
  • 9K. BrünkerF
  • 29A. StaffF
Substitutes
  • 26N. AracicD
  • 33K. BrollG
  • 3Anton BäuerleD
  • 14Z. ShuaibM
  • 8Gökdeniz GürpüzF
  • 34Nils KrämerM
  • 16Lee Seung-JoonM
  • 11M. MulthaupM
  • 22K. CaliskanerM
Coach: Argirios Giannikis

Form going into Havelse vs FC Saarbrücken

Havelse

3. Liga

  • D1-1away to SV Meppen18 October 2026
  • D2-2Würzburger Kickers13 October 2026

FC Saarbrücken

3. Liga

  • W3-1away to Fortuna Düsseldorf17 October 2026
  • L2-4MSV Duisburg13 October 2026

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

3. Liga table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
20Havelse132471729-1210
6FC Saarbrücken136253126+520

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Havelse vs FC Saarbrücken

  • 11 April 2026Havelse 2–0 FC Saarbrücken3. Liga
  • 8 November 2025FC Saarbrücken 1–1 Havelse3. Liga
  • 18 December 2021FC Saarbrücken 2–2 Havelse3. Liga
  • 24 July 2021Havelse 0–1 FC Saarbrücken3. Liga

Leading scorers: Havelse and FC Saarbrücken

Havelse

GoalsAssists

  • K. Okyere Wriedt32

FC Saarbrücken

GoalsAssists

  • K. Brünker51
  • F. Pick34

Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.

The result against the call

Havelse beat FC Saarbrücken 3–2. The model had leaned towards a win for FC Saarbrücken at 45% and given a win for Havelse 30%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 3 matches like this one. The goals: Alexander Staff 14' for FC Saarbrücken, Johann Berger (penalty) 37' for Havelse, Johann Berger (penalty) 47' for Havelse, Eric Voufack 88' for Havelse, Kai Brünker 90+1' for FC Saarbrücken.

What this result changed

Before kick-off the season simulation gave Havelse a 84.9% chance to finish in the bottom four: 80.4% after a win, 86.4% after a draw, 88.5% after a defeat. The win was the best of those results for them, and left the figure at 80.4%, 4.5 points lower than before the match.

For FC Saarbrücken the question was the chance to finish in the top three, 14.3% going in: 17.4% after a win, 12.6% after a draw, 10.9% after a defeat. The defeat was the worst of those results for them, and left the figure at 10.9%, 3.4 points lower than before the match.

Read from our 3. Liga season simulation as it stood before this match (10,000 runs), counting this result alone. Every result since then has moved the table again, so today's figure is on the competition page.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.