17 October 2026, 12:00 UTC

Ham-Kam vs Bodo/Glimt Eliteserien prediction & result

Briskeby Arena, Hamar
Referee: Jorgen Haugen, Norway
Full time0 – 2

Final score: Ham-Kam 0-2 Bodo/Glimt.

Before kick-off the model made it 18% Ham-Kam, 20% draw, 62% Bodo/Glimt — fair odds of 5.56, 5.00 and 1.61.

Most likely scoreline: 1-2.

The model called the result correctly.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

Bodo/Glimt at 62%: of 1,648 settled 50–65% forecasts, 58.6% came in (average 55.4%). It can be read literally. The full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Ham-Kam0%Draw1%Bodo/Glimt99%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 2 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

3'
Odin Luras Bjortuft
19'
⚽Ole Didrik Blombergassist: Fredrik Sjovold
Aksel Baran Potur
29'
38'
⚽Joel Mvukaassist: Patrick Berg
45'
🔁Ole Didrik Blombergout: Fredrik Bjorkan
🔁David Benjaminout: Mohamed Ofkir
60'
61'
🔁Joel Mvukaout: Jens Petter Hauge
61'
🔁Odin Luras Bjortuftout: Haitam Aleesami
🔁João Paulo Rodrigues Barrosout: Ethan Amundsen-Day
70'
🔁Loris Mettlerout: Danilo Al-Saed
70'
78'
🔁Ola Brynhildsenout: Andreas Helmersen
78'
🔁Sondre Auklendout: Sondre Fet
🔁Aksel Baran Poturout: Duarte Moreira
82'
🔁Fredrik Sjolstadout: Anders Trondsen
82'

Match stats — Ham-Kam vs Bodo/Glimt

43%Possession57%
11Shots17
1On target3
1Corners5
0.48xG2.1

Goals against chances

Ham-Kam0 from 0.48 xGabout what the chances were worth
Bodo/Glimt2 from 2.10 xGabout what the chances were worth

Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.

Line-ups

Ham-Kam 5-3-2
  • 12M. SandbergG
  • 22S. NilsenD
  • 2M. GjoneD
  • 23F. SjølstadD
  • 27João BarrosD
  • 5A. AndresenD
  • 10L. MettlerM
  • 14L. MaresM
  • 26P. MetcalfeM
  • 17A. PoturF
  • 28David BenjaminF
Substitutes
  • 24D. Al-SaedF
  • 3E. Amundsen-DayD
  • 7V. JónssonM
  • 18Duarte MoreiraF
  • 11M. OfkirM
  • 6W. Osnes-RingenM
  • 13S. ØstraatG
  • 16A. TrondsenM
  • 19H. UdahlF
Coach: T. Myhre
Bodo/Glimt 4-4-2
  • 12N. HaikinG
  • 20F. SjøvoldD
  • 2V. NielsenD
  • 4O. BjørtuftD
  • 25I. MäättäD
  • 22J. MvukaM
  • 8S. AuklendM
  • 7P. BergM
  • 14U. SaltnesM
  • 17O. BrynhildsenF
  • 11O. Didrik BlombergF
Substitutes
  • 16J. KitolanoM
  • 21A. HelmersenF
  • 28Assan SanyangM
  • 10J. HaugeM
  • 6J. GundersenD
  • 19S. FetM
  • 15F. BjørkanD
  • 5H. AleesamiD
  • 1J. Faye LundG
Coach: K. Knutsen

Form going into Ham-Kam vs Bodo/Glimt

Ham-Kam

Eliteserien

  • W4-2away to Start11 October 2026

Bodo/Glimt

Eliteserien

  • W3-1Kristiansund BK10 October 2026

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

Eliteserien table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
11Ham-Kam2686123853-1530
2Bodo/Glimt2620246323+4062

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Ham-Kam vs Bodo/Glimt

  • 22 July 2026Bodo/Glimt 3–0 Ham-KamEliteserien
  • 3 August 2025Ham-Kam 1–3 Bodo/GlimtEliteserien
  • 5 April 2025Bodo/Glimt 3–0 Ham-KamEliteserien
  • 13 September 2024Bodo/Glimt 3–0 Ham-KamEliteserien
  • 20 May 2024Ham-Kam 1–0 Bodo/GlimtEliteserien
  • 3 September 2023Ham-Kam 4–4 Bodo/GlimtEliteserien

Leading scorers: Ham-Kam and Bodo/Glimt

Ham-Kam

No player in Eliteserien's leading scorers — 38 league goals as a side.

Bodo/Glimt

GoalsAssists

  • A. Helmersen132

Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.

The result against the call

Bodo/Glimt won 2–0 at Ham-Kam. The model had made a win for Bodo/Glimt its most likely outcome, at 62%, so the call held; the score it named was 2–1. The goals: Ole Didrik Blomberg 19' for Bodo/Glimt, Joel Mvuka 38' for Bodo/Glimt. On expected goals it finished 0.48–2.10.

What this result changed

Before kick-off the season simulation gave Ham-Kam a 14.6% chance to finish in the bottom three: 2.8% after a win, 11.0% after a draw, 17.9% after a defeat. The defeat was the worst of those results for them, and left the figure at 17.9%, 3.3 points higher than before the match.

For Bodo/Glimt the question was the chance to finish top of the regular season, 51.0% going in: 56.8% after a win, 42.4% after a draw, 34.9% after a defeat. The win was the best of those results for them, and left the figure at 56.8%, 5.8 points higher than before the match.

Read from our Eliteserien season simulation as it stood before this match (10,000 runs), counting this result alone. Every result since then has moved the table again, so today's figure is on the competition page.

How the call on Ham-Kam v Bodo/Glimt has moved

First published on 3 Oct at 20% / 24% / 56% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 3 updates, it read 18% / 20% / 62%: the biggest move is Bodo/Glimt's chance of winning, up 6 points.

  1. Ham-Kam win18%▼ −2
  2. Draw20%▼ −4
  3. Bodo/Glimt win62%▲ +6

Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.