Havelse vs Würzburger Kickers 3. Liga prediction & result
Final score: Havelse 2-2 Würzburger Kickers.
Before kick-off the model made it 40% Havelse, 26% draw, 34% Würzburger Kickers — fair odds of 2.50, 3.85 and 2.94.
Most likely scoreline: 2-1.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
Havelse at 40%: of 2,957 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Havelse vs Würzburger Kickers
Line-ups
- 1T. OpitzG
- 22L. SommerD
- 15D. DuahD
- 8J. BergerD
- 24Y. MausehundD
- 10K. SchumacherD
- 28R. VelascoM
- 14Y. WardakM
- 33J. TugbenyoM
- 12Eryk Artur GrzywaczF
- 11K. Okyere WriedtF
- 23R. MüllerM
- 21Irichad BehrensD
- 30T. FriedrichD
- 20Alexander GuiddirF
- 3M. LambyD
- 9L. PaldinoF
- 7M. RichterM
- 19E. VoufackD
- 25Fynn Ole WolterG
- 33M. RajkovačićG
- 21L. HemmerichD
- 16L. BreunigD
- 28E. FarahnakD
- 4N. De MedinaD
- 37I. FranjićM
- 27Xaver KiefersauerM
- 8D. KinsombiM
- 18F. EvinaM
- 30T. BongaF
- 19T. KastanarasF
- 17L. OmoreF
- 13P. OchsM
- 9Jermain NischalkeF
- 7E. MutebaF
- 31T. KrausM
- 34Burak KarakayaD
- 1Johann HipperG
- 6Namrud EmbayeM
- 5L. EberleD
Form going into Havelse vs Würzburger Kickers
Havelse
All competitions we cover
- L0-5away to SSV Jahn Regensburg10 October 2026
Würzburger Kickers
All competitions we cover
- L0-2Hansa Rostock10 October 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
3. Liga table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Havelse | 13 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 17 | 29 | -12 | 10 |
| 15 | Würzburger Kickers | 13 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 17 | 25 | -8 | 14 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Havelse vs Würzburger Kickers
- 20 February 2022Havelse 1–3 FC Wurzburger Kickers3. Liga
- 11 September 2021FC Wurzburger Kickers 0–0 Havelse3. Liga
Leading scorers: Havelse and Würzburger Kickers
Havelse
GoalsAssists
- K. Okyere Wriedt32
Würzburger Kickers
GoalsAssists
- T. Bonga41
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Havelse and Würzburger Kickers drew 2–2. The model had leaned towards a win for Havelse at 40% and given a draw 26%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 4 matches like this one. The goals: Kwasi Okyere Wriedt 24' for Havelse, Nathan De Medina (own goal) 35' for Havelse, Tarsis Bonga (penalty) 70' for Würzburger Kickers, Jermain Nischalke (penalty) 90+2' for Würzburger Kickers. Sent off: Ebrahim Farahnak (Würzburger Kickers) 27'.
What this result changed
Before kick-off the season simulation gave Havelse a 77.4% chance to finish in the bottom three: 73.3% after a win, 79.2% after a draw, 82.2% after a defeat. The draw was the middle one of the three, and left the figure at 79.2%, 1.8 points higher than before the match.
For Würzburger Kickers the question was the chance to finish in the bottom three, 32.7% going in: 26.1% after a win, 34.5% after a draw, 36.4% after a defeat. The draw was the middle one of the three, and left the figure at 34.5%, 1.8 points higher than before the match.
Read from our 3. Liga season simulation as it stood before this match (10,000 runs), counting this result alone. Every result since then has moved the table again, so today's figure is on the competition page.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line; middle ring: the model's probability for this match. Not betting advice. How to read this.