13 October 2026, 17:00 UTC

Stuttgart II vs Hoffenheim II 3. Liga prediction & result

WIRmachenDRUCK Arena, Aspach
Referee: Max Kluge
Full time3 – 2

Final score: Stuttgart II 3-2 Hoffenheim II.

Before kick-off the model made it 41% Stuttgart II, 26% draw, 33% Hoffenheim II — fair odds of 2.44, 3.85 and 3.03.

Most likely scoreline: 2-1.

The model called the result correctly.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

Stuttgart II at 41%: of 2,957 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

⚽Lauri Lukas Pennaassist: Enis Redzepi
7'
⚽Enis Redzepi
9'
36'
⚽Leonidas Stergiou (OG)
42'
Blessing Makanda Maleko
🔁Enis Redzepiout: David Preu
45'
🔁Julian Lüersout: Nicolás Sessa
58'
🔁Oliver Rölkeout: Tim van der Leij
58'
66'
Tristan Spranger
68'
⚽Tristan Spranger
Lauri Lukas Penna
68'
68'
Luis Engelns
72'
🔁Jykese Fieldsout: jakov dedic
72'
🔁Tristan Sprangerout: Maximilian Theuer
⚽Tim van der Leijassist: Lauri Lukas Penna
73'
🔁Lauri Lukas Pennaout: Jordan Majchrzak
74'
78'
Maximilian Theuer
85'
Diren Dağdeviren
86'
🔁Luis Engelnsout: Alex honajzer
89'
Tiago Poller

Match stats — Stuttgart II vs Hoffenheim II

35%Possession65%
9Shots12
5On target6
2Corners5

Line-ups

Stuttgart II 4-2-3-1
  • 1Jerik von der FelsenG
  • 45L. StergiouD
  • 29D. NothnagelD
  • 13Tim KöhlerD
  • 24Joyeux Masanka BungiD
  • 18J. LuersM
  • 31V. StangeM
  • 7L. PennaM
  • 27Jarzinho Ataide Adriano de Nascimento MalangaM
  • 11Oliver RölkeM
  • 39E. RedzepiF
Substitutes
  • 40P. ReinhardtD
  • 37David PreuD
  • 30J. MajchrzakF
  • 9T. van der LeijF
  • 10N. SessaM
  • 22J. BockG
  • 6A. GroißD
  • 4Maximilian Tobias HerwerthD
  • 17A. JanjicD
Coach: N. Willig
Hoffenheim II 4-2-3-1
  • 34N. BiedermannG
  • 15Matthew mooreD
  • 3Sean DulicD
  • 6V. LässigD
  • 13Tristan SprangerD
  • 16L. EngelnsM
  • 8Diren DağdevirenM
  • 17B. MakandaM
  • 10Y. B. Zor MuhammedM
  • 20Juan Tiago Esteban PollerM
  • 11J. FieldsF
Substitutes
  • 21T. HildmannD
  • 36J. DedicF
  • 26K. ČížekM
  • 23Alex HonajzerM
  • 44Maxime Ndong PendaD
  • 40Pistrol SantinoD
  • 47Maximilian TheuerM
  • 27T. TrautnerG
  • 18L. WagenbachF
Coach: Stefan Kleineheismann

Form going into Stuttgart II vs Hoffenheim II

Stuttgart II

All competitions we cover

  • D1-1away to SV Meppen10 October 2026

Hoffenheim II

All competitions we cover

  • L2-3away to MSV Duisburg10 October 2026

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

3. Liga table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
12Stuttgart II135352223-118
9Hoffenheim II136162220+219

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Stuttgart II vs Hoffenheim II

  • 15 March 2026Stuttgart II 1–0 Hoffenheim II3. Liga
  • 5 October 2025Hoffenheim II 1–3 Stuttgart II3. Liga
  • 18 May 2024Stuttgart II 2–0 Hoffenheim IIRegionalliga - SudWest
  • 12 November 2023Hoffenheim II 1–1 Stuttgart IIRegionalliga - SudWest
  • 3 March 2023Hoffenheim II 2–2 Stuttgart IIRegionalliga - SudWest

Leading scorers: Stuttgart II and Hoffenheim II

Stuttgart II

GoalsAssists

  • T. van der Leij40

Hoffenheim II

GoalsAssists

  • Y. B. Zor Muhammed83

Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.

The result against the call

Stuttgart II beat Hoffenheim II 3–2. The model had made a win for Stuttgart II its most likely outcome, at 41%, so the call held; the score it named was 2–1. The goals: Lauri Lukas Penna 7' for Stuttgart II, Enis Redzepi 9' for Stuttgart II, Leonidas Stergiou (own goal) 36' for Hoffenheim II, Tristan Spranger 68' for Hoffenheim II, Tim van der Leij 73' for Stuttgart II.

What this result changed

Before kick-off the season simulation gave Stuttgart II a 19.6% chance to finish in the bottom three: 14.6% after a win, 22.3% after a draw, 23.8% after a defeat. The win was the best of those results for them, and left the figure at 14.6%, 5 points lower than before the match.

For Hoffenheim II the question was the chance to finish in the top four, 8.5% going in: 10.6% after a win, 8.2% after a draw, 6.6% after a defeat. The defeat was the worst of those results for them, and left the figure at 6.6%, 1.9 points lower than before the match.

Read from our 3. Liga season simulation as it stood before this match (10,000 runs), counting this result alone. Every result since then has moved the table again, so today's figure is on the competition page.

How the call on Stuttgart II v Hoffenheim II has moved

First published on 2 Oct at 39% / 27% / 34% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 4 updates, it read 41% / 26% / 33%: the biggest move is Stuttgart II's chance of winning, up 2 points.

  1. Stuttgart II win41%▲ +2
  2. Draw26%▼ −1
  3. Hoffenheim II win33%▼ −1

Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.