25 October 2026, 18:30 UTC

Waldhof Mannheim vs Hoffenheim II 3. Liga prediction & result

Carl-Benz Stadion, Mannheim
Referee: Kevin Behrens
Full time4 – 1

Final score: Waldhof Mannheim 4-1 Hoffenheim II.

Before kick-off the model made it 40% Waldhof Mannheim, 26% draw, 34% Hoffenheim II — fair odds of 2.50, 3.85 and 2.94.

Most likely scoreline: 2-1.

The model called the result correctly.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

Waldhof Mannheim at 40%: of 2,957 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Waldhof Mannheim99%Draw1%Hoffenheim II0%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 5 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

3'
⚽Jakov Dedicassist: Yasin Zor
Gonçalo Gregório
32'
32'
Klaus Gjasula
33'
Luis Engelns
35'
Tiago Poller
Julian Rieckmann
40'
Vincent Thill
50'
⚽Gonçalo Gregórioassist: Julian Ulbricht
57'
58'
🔁Luis Engelnsout: Diren Dağdeviren
66'
🔁Jakov Dedicout: Oskar Hencke
🔁Julian Ulbrichtout: Terrence Boyd
72'
🔁Lovis Frederik Bierschenkout: Noah Joel Sarenren Bazee
72'
⚽Terrence Boydassist: Noah Joel Sarenren Bazee
78'
80'
🔁Matthew Mooreout: Timo Hildmann
80'
🔁Blessing Makanda Malekoout: Ben Opoku Labes
80'
🔁Tiago Pollerout: K. Čížek
🔁Diego Michelout: Jid Okeke
86'
🔁Vincent Thillout: Francisco Fumaça de Mascarenhas da Costa Pessoa
86'
🔁Gonçalo Gregórioout: Denis Kryeziu
87'
⚽Terrence Boydassist: Francisco Fumaça de Mascarenhas da Costa Pessoa
88'
Francisco Fumaça de Mascarenhas da Costa Pessoa
90'
⚽Terrence Boydassist: Jid Okeke
90+5'

Match stats — Waldhof Mannheim vs Hoffenheim II

51%Possession49%
21Shots12
5On target8
5Corners6

Line-ups

Waldhof Mannheim 4-3-3
  • 1T. NijhuisG
  • 24L. KlünterD
  • 15C. KammerknechtD
  • 14Oluwaseun God Power Osaro OgbemudiaD
  • 17Owono Darnell KeumoD
  • 12V. ThillM
  • 21J. RieckmannM
  • 28D. MichelM
  • 10J. UlbrichtF
  • 9Gonçalo GregórioF
  • 7L. BierschenkF
Substitutes
  • 37N. Sarenren BazeeF
  • 11Francisco Fumaça de Mascarenhas da Costa PessoaF
  • 35Djayson CardosoM
  • 13T. BoydF
  • 22D. KryeziuM
  • 29N. X. Muteba NTumbaF
  • 16J. NiemannG
  • 25Jid OkekeD
  • 3Moritz PolteD
Coach: Rui Mota
Hoffenheim II 3-4-2-1
  • 1L. PeterssonG
  • 3Sean DulicD
  • 6V. LässigD
  • 47Maximilian TheuerD
  • 15Matthew MooreM
  • 16L. EngelnsM
  • 5K. GjasulaM
  • 10Y. B. Zor MuhammedM
  • 17B. MakandaM
  • 20Juan Tiago Esteban PollerM
  • 36J. DedicF
Substitutes
  • 8Diren DağdevirenM
  • 7O. HenckeM
  • 21T. HildmannD
  • 22T. MüllerD
  • 44Maxime Ndong PendaD
  • 9B. O. LabesF
  • 32Tim PhilippG
  • 25Konstantin AleksaF
  • 26K. ČížekM
Coach: Stefan Kleineheismann

Form going into Waldhof Mannheim vs Hoffenheim II

Waldhof Mannheim

3. Liga

  • L0-2away to Würzburger Kickers17 October 2026
  • L0-3FC Ingolstadt 0414 October 2026

Hoffenheim II

3. Liga

  • W2-1Verl18 October 2026
  • L2-3away to Stuttgart II13 October 2026

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

3. Liga table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
8Waldhof Mannheim136162320+319
9Hoffenheim II136162220+219

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Waldhof Mannheim vs Hoffenheim II

  • 7 April 2026Waldhof Mannheim 1–1 Hoffenheim II3. Liga
  • 2 November 2025Hoffenheim II 2–0 Waldhof Mannheim3. Liga
  • 20 July 2024Waldhof Mannheim 1–4 Hoffenheim IIFriendlies Clubs
  • 16 January 2023Waldhof Mannheim 1–4 Hoffenheim IIFriendlies Clubs

Leading scorers: Waldhof Mannheim and Hoffenheim II

Waldhof Mannheim

GoalsAssists

  • J. Ulbricht42
  • T. Boyd41

Hoffenheim II

GoalsAssists

  • Y. B. Zor Muhammed83

Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.

The result against the call

Waldhof Mannheim beat Hoffenheim II 4–1. The model had made a win for Waldhof Mannheim its most likely outcome, at 40%, so the call held; the score it named was 2–1. The goals: Jakov Dedic 3' for Hoffenheim II, Gonçalo Gregório 57' for Waldhof Mannheim, Terrence Boyd 78' for Waldhof Mannheim, Terrence Boyd 88' for Waldhof Mannheim, Terrence Boyd 90+5' for Waldhof Mannheim.

What this result changed

Before kick-off the season simulation gave Waldhof Mannheim a 24.8% chance to finish in the bottom four: 19.9% after a win, 26.7% after a draw, 28.7% after a defeat. The win was the best of those results for them, and left the figure at 19.9%, 4.9 points lower than before the match.

For Hoffenheim II the question was the chance to finish in the top three, 11.2% going in: 14.6% after a win, 9.9% after a draw, 8.2% after a defeat. The defeat was the worst of those results for them, and left the figure at 8.2%, 3 points lower than before the match.

Read from our 3. Liga season simulation as it stood before this match (10,000 runs), counting this result alone. Every result since then has moved the table again, so today's figure is on the competition page.

How the call on Waldhof Mannheim v Hoffenheim II has moved

First published on 11 Oct at 45% / 25% / 30% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 7 updates, it read 40% / 26% / 34%: the biggest move is Waldhof Mannheim's chance of winning, down 5 points.

  1. Waldhof Mannheim win40%▼ −5
  2. Draw26%▲ +1
  3. Hoffenheim II win34%▲ +4

Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.