25 October 2026, 15:30 UTC

Preußen Münster vs Fortuna Köln 3. Liga prediction & result

Preussenstadion, Munster
Referee: Michael Nather
Full time1 – 0

Final score: Preußen Münster 1-0 Fortuna Köln.

Before kick-off the model made it 43% Preußen Münster, 30% draw, 27% Fortuna Köln — fair odds of 2.33, 3.33 and 3.70.

Most likely scoreline: 1-0.

The model called the exact scoreline.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

Preußen Münster at 43%: of 2,957 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Preußen Münster97%Draw3%Fortuna Köln0%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 1 goal. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

Philipp Maier
11'
28'
Adrian Stanilewicz
Lucas Christopher Zeller
54'
🔁Wesley Adehout: Mikail Demirhan
64'
🔁Joshua Meesout: Samuel Moïse Althaus
65'
66'
🔁Enzo Wirtzout: Jannik Mause
66'
🔁Bennit Brögerout: Cedric Harenbrock
Felix Higl
72'
🔁Romario Roschout: Louis Philipp Kolbe
73'
⚽Charalampos Makridisassist: Lucas Christopher Zeller
78'
🔁Niko Koulisout: Torge Paetow
80'
82'
🔁Timo Bornemannout: Nico Thier
82'
🔁Romeo Aigbekaenout: Rafael Garcia
87'
🔁Kevin Krummeout: Hamadi Al Ghaddioui

Match stats — Preußen Münster vs Fortuna Köln

51%Possession49%
6Shots12
3On target5
5Corners2

Line-ups

Preußen Münster 3-4-3
  • 38M. HarsmanG
  • 5L. ZellerD
  • 24N. KoulisD
  • 3T. DietrichD
  • 43R. RöschM
  • 26P. MaierM
  • 6Wesley AdehM
  • 36N. VarelmannM
  • 14C. MakridisF
  • 33F. HiglF
  • 8J. MeesF
Substitutes
  • 4A. TikvićD
  • 1M. BehrensG
  • 44Samuel Moïse AlthausM
  • 19M. DemirhanM
  • 2L. KolbeD
  • 16T. PaetowD
  • 21R. PreißingerM
  • 30M. SchulzM
  • 17M. StuhlmacherM
Coach: Thomas Wörle
Fortuna Köln 4-3-3
  • 1L. WinklerG
  • 11G. StrauchD
  • 15David Haider Kamm Al-AzzaweD
  • 5Seymour FungerD
  • 3M. FischerD
  • 38Bennit BrögerM
  • 2Kevin KrummeM
  • 20A. StanilewiczM
  • 19T. BornemannF
  • 9E. WirtzF
  • 30Romeo AigbekaenF
Substitutes
  • 10R. GarcíaF
  • 14C. HarenbrockM
  • 37J. MauseF
  • 16J. MichelbrinkM
  • 23D. SavicM
  • 31Neo TelleD
  • 7N. ThierM
  • 18H. Al GhaddiouiF
  • 25B. ZichG
Coach: M. Mink

Form going into Preußen Münster vs Fortuna Köln

Preußen Münster

3. Liga

  • L2-3away to SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach17 October 2026
  • L1-2Fortuna Düsseldorf14 October 2026

Fortuna Köln

3. Liga

  • L0-1Stuttgart II16 October 2026
  • L0-2away to Rot-Weiß Essen13 October 2026

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

3. Liga table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
14Preußen Münster134362125-415
19Fortuna Köln132471016-610

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Preußen Münster vs Fortuna Köln

  • 28 April 2023Preussen Munster 1–3 Fortuna KölnRegionalliga - West
  • 6 November 2022Fortuna Köln 1–3 Preussen MunsterRegionalliga - West
  • 19 April 2022Preussen Munster 1–0 Fortuna KölnRegionalliga - West
  • 1 October 2021Fortuna Köln 3–2 Preussen MunsterRegionalliga - West
  • 8 May 2021Preussen Munster 3–1 Fortuna KölnRegionalliga - West
  • 25 November 2020Fortuna Köln 2–0 Preussen MunsterRegionalliga - West

Leading scorers: Preußen Münster and Fortuna Köln

Preußen Münster

GoalsAssists

  • F. Higl41
  • Montell Ndikom40

Fortuna Köln

No player in 3. Liga's leading scorers — 10 league goals as a side.

Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.

The result against the call

Preußen Münster beat Fortuna Köln 1–0. That was the exact score the model named before kick-off, with a win for Preußen Münster at 43%. The goal: Charalampos Makridis 78' for Preußen Münster.

What this result changed

Before kick-off the season simulation gave Preußen Münster a 28.9% chance to finish in the bottom four: 23.4% after a win, 30.5% after a draw, 35.0% after a defeat. The win was the best of those results for them, and left the figure at 23.4%, 5.5 points lower than before the match.

For Fortuna Köln the question was the chance to finish in the bottom four, 38.7% going in: 29.1% after a win, 39.0% after a draw, 43.3% after a defeat. The defeat was the worst of those results for them, and left the figure at 43.3%, 4.6 points higher than before the match.

Read from our 3. Liga season simulation as it stood before this match (10,000 runs), counting this result alone. Every result since then has moved the table again, so today's figure is on the competition page.

How the call on Preußen Münster v Fortuna Köln has moved

First published on 11 Oct at 48% / 29% / 23% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 7 updates, it read 43% / 30% / 27%: the biggest move is Preußen Münster's chance of winning, down 5 points.

  1. Preußen Münster win43%▼ −5
  2. Draw30%▲ +1
  3. Fortuna Köln win27%▲ +4

Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.