24 October 2026, 12:00 UTC

SV Wehen vs SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach 3. Liga prediction & result

BRITA-Arena, Wiesbaden
Referee: Max Kluge
Full time7 – 1

Final score: SV Wehen 7-1 SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach.

Before kick-off the model made it 51% SV Wehen, 27% draw, 22% SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach — fair odds of 1.96, 3.70 and 4.55.

Most likely scoreline: 1-0.

The model called the result correctly.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

SV Wehen at 51%: of 1,648 settled 50–65% forecasts, 58.6% came in (average 55.4%). It can be read literally. The full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

SV Wehen99%Draw1%SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach0%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 8 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

⚽Marcus Muller
16'
⚽Florian Hübnerassist: Lukas Schleimer
30'
31'
P. Reinhardt
31'
V. Celiktas
⚽Roberto Massimoassist: Raul Paula
35'
39'
⚽Luca Damiano Molinariassist: Niklas Pollex
⚽Fabian Greilingerassist: Raul Paula
50'
55'
🔁V. Celiktasout: Leon Maier
55'
🔁Antonis Aidonisout: Marius Uhl
64'
🔁Niklas Pollexout: Lukas Stoppel
⚽Raul Paula
66'
🔁Fabian Greilingerout: Niklas May
71'
🔁Marcus Mullerout: Moritz Flotho
71'
🔁Raul Paulaout: Robin Kalem
71'
⚽Gino Fechnerassist: Roberto Massimo
72'
74'
🔁Tim Rossmannout: Franz Bleicher
75'
🔁Loris Maierout: Marlon Freddy Faß
76'
Fabian Eisele
🔁Lukas Schleimerout: Tarik Gözüsirin
78'
🔁Florian Hübnerout: Michael Schultz
83'
⚽Robin Kalemassist: Niklas May
90+1'

Match stats — SV Wehen vs SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach

41%Possession59%
13Shots7
10On target1
3Corners3

Line-ups

SV Wehen 4-1-4-1
  • 16F. StritzelG
  • 17Ben NinkD
  • 19F. HübnerD
  • 15J. JanitzekD
  • 18F. GreilingerD
  • 37M. BrandtM
  • 22R. MassimoM
  • 7L. SchleimerM
  • 6G. FechnerM
  • 32R. PaulaM
  • 21M. MüllerF
Substitutes
  • 20Ayoub ChaikhounM
  • 31N. BrdarG
  • 45I. Ati AllahM
  • 28M. FlothoF
  • 11T. GözüsirinM
  • 29P. HercherD
  • 10R. KalemM
  • 5N. MayD
  • 14M. SchultzD
Coach: J. Seitz
SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach 4-1-3-2
  • 1M. ReuleG
  • 8Jan Elias RahnD
  • 15A. AidonisD
  • 25A. NurajD
  • 21L. MolinariD
  • 5Volkan CeliktasM
  • 27Loris MaierM
  • 16M. KundeM
  • 11T. RossmannM
  • 18N. PollexF
  • 23F. EiseleF
Substitutes
  • 13N. ZografakisF
  • 4F. BleicherM
  • 9Marlon Freddy FaßF
  • 36M. GashiD
  • 22B. LandwehrD
  • 20Leon MaierD
  • 33T. SchulzG
  • 10L. StoppelM
  • 19M. UhlD
Coach: Pascal Reinhardt

Form going into SV Wehen vs SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach

SV Wehen

3. Liga

  • D0-0away to SSV Jahn Regensburg17 October 2026
  • W3-0Alemannia Aachen14 October 2026

SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach

3. Liga

  • W3-2Preußen Münster17 October 2026
  • D2-2away to FC Viktoria Köln14 October 2026

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

3. Liga table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
4SV Wehen136342617+921
18SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach133371329-1612

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: SV Wehen vs SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach

  • 13 March 2019SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach 2–3 SV Wehen3. Liga
  • 25 September 2018SV Wehen 2–0 SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach3. Liga
  • 10 March 2018SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach 1–3 SV Wehen3. Liga
  • 23 September 2017SV Wehen 5–0 SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach3. Liga
  • 6 May 2017SV Wehen 0–0 SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach3. Liga
  • 2 December 2016SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach 2–1 SV Wehen3. Liga

Leading scorers: SV Wehen and SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach

SV Wehen

GoalsAssists

  • R. Massimo33
  • R. Kalem32

SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach

No player in 3. Liga's leading scorers — 13 league goals as a side.

Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.

The result against the call

SV Wehen beat SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach 7–1. The model had made a win for SV Wehen its most likely outcome, at 51%, so the call held; the score it named was 1–0. The goals: Marcus Muller 16' for SV Wehen, Florian Hübner 30' for SV Wehen, Roberto Massimo 35' for SV Wehen, Luca Damiano Molinari 39' for SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach, Fabian Greilinger 50' for SV Wehen, Raul Paula 66' for SV Wehen, Gino Fechner 72' for SV Wehen, Robin Kalem 90+1' for SV Wehen.

What this result changed

Before kick-off the season simulation gave SV Wehen a 13.6% chance to finish in the bottom four: 10.6% after a win, 16.1% after a draw, 17.9% after a defeat. The win was the best of those results for them, and left the figure at 10.6%, 3 points lower than before the match.

For SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach the question was the chance to finish in the bottom four, 57.5% going in: 48.6% after a win, 57.7% after a draw, 60.8% after a defeat. The defeat was the worst of those results for them, and left the figure at 60.8%, 3.3 points higher than before the match.

Read from our 3. Liga season simulation as it stood before this match (10,000 runs), counting this result alone. Every result since then has moved the table again, so today's figure is on the competition page.

How the call on SV Wehen v SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach has moved

First published on 10 Oct at 41% / 32% / 27% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 5 updates, it read 51% / 27% / 22%: the biggest move is SV Wehen's chance of winning, up 10 points.

  1. SV Wehen win51%▲ +10
  2. Draw27%▼ −5
  3. SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach win22%▼ −5

Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.