16 October 2026, 17:00 UTC

HB Koge vs AB Copenhagen 1. Division prediction & result

Capelli Sport Stadion, Koge
Referee: O. A. Stegemuller Fogh Simbold
Full time2 – 3

Final score: HB Koge 2-3 AB Copenhagen.

Before kick-off the model made it 36% HB Koge, 30% draw, 34% AB Copenhagen — fair odds of 2.78, 3.33 and 2.94.

Most likely scoreline: 1-0.

The model got this one wrong.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

HB Koge at 36%: of 4,828 settled 30–40% forecasts, 33.4% came in (average 33.7%). It can be read literally. The full record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

R. Brodersen
25'
M. Jakobsen
44'
45+3'
⚽M. Rasmussen
🔁G. Culhaciout: M. Warming
46'
⚽M. Warmingassist: R. Brodersen
47'
59'
⚽O. Mullingsassist: M. Rasmussen
60'
M. Rasmussen
65'
🔁M. Rasmussenout: N. Engell
68'
⚽N. Engellassist: M. Stenner
68'
🔁M. Vesterholmout: M. Clement
69'
🔁M. Stennerout: T. Damtoft
🔁R. Brodersenout: N. Jakobsen
69'
🔁G. Larsenout: C. Jensen Tue
69'
🔁S. Haldout: L. Achton
69'
73'
M. Clement
73'
🔁A. Liuout: M. Ramkilde
73'
🔁O. Mullingsout: F. Lindgaard
75'
S. Diop
C. Jensen Tue
78'
T. Thomsen
84'
🔁T. Thomsenout: E. Semovski
84'
⚽A. Benediktsson (OG)
89'

Form going into HB Koge vs AB Copenhagen

HB Koge

1. Division

  • W2-0away to Vendsyssel FF11 October 2026

AB Copenhagen

1. Division

  • W2-0Aarhus Fremad9 October 2026

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

Denmark 1. Division table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
11HB Koge142662026-612
4AB Copenhagen146352115+621

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: HB Koge vs AB Copenhagen

  • 24 January 2026HB Koge 3–3 AB CopenhagenFriendlies Clubs
  • 17 January 2025HB Koge 0–0 AB CopenhagenFriendlies Clubs
  • 9 February 2023HB Koge 5–0 AB CopenhagenFriendlies Clubs
  • 5 April 2017HB Koge 0–0 AB Copenhagen1. Division
  • 23 October 2016AB Copenhagen 2–1 HB Koge1. Division

The result against the call

AB Copenhagen won 3–2 at HB Koge. The model had leaned towards a win for HB Koge at 36% and given a win for AB Copenhagen 34%. The goals: M. Rasmussen 45+3' for AB Copenhagen, M. Warming 47' for HB Koge, O. Mullings 59' for AB Copenhagen, N. Engell 68' for AB Copenhagen, A. Benediktsson (own goal) 89' for HB Koge.

What this result changed

Before kick-off the season simulation gave HB Koge a 33.5% chance to finish in the bottom three: 23.2% after a win, 35.0% after a draw, 43.4% after a defeat. The defeat was the worst of those results for them, and left the figure at 43.4%, 9.9 points higher than before the match.

For AB Copenhagen the question was the chance to finish in the top four, 35.4% going in: 47.2% after a win, 33.7% after a draw, 25.2% after a defeat. The win was the best of those results for them, and left the figure at 47.2%, 11.8 points higher than before the match.

Read from our 1. Division season simulation as it stood before this match (10,000 runs), counting this result alone. Every result since then has moved the table again, so today's figure is on the competition page.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.