16 October 2026, 17:00 UTC

Kolding IF vs Vendsyssel FF 1. Division prediction & result

Autocentralen Park, Kolding
Referee: J. Tornberg Rasmussen
Full time2 – 1

Final score: Kolding IF 2-1 Vendsyssel FF.

Before kick-off the model made it 46% Kolding IF, 29% draw, 25% Vendsyssel FF — fair odds of 2.17, 3.45 and 4.00.

Most likely scoreline: 1-0.

The model called the result correctly.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

Kolding IF at 46%: of 2,957 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Kolding IF99%Draw1%Vendsyssel FF0%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 3 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

M. Doj
41'
⚽M. Lynge
52'
🔁A. Mannehout: F. Lesniak
59'
65'
🔁M. Hannesboout: J. Sommer
🔁T. Augustinus-Jensenout: V. Morozov
69'
🔁M. Lyngeout: A. Arshad
69'
77'
🔁S. Lodbergout: A. Rise
77'
🔁S. Michaelout: A. N. Atlason
⚽V. Morozov
85'
88'
🔁M. Holtout: S. Simpson
🔁M. Dojout: J. Hansen
88'
88'
🔁E. Pedersenout: P. Williams
🔁D. Johannessonout: M. Nyassi
89'
90+2'
⚽A. Riseassist: A. C. Vendelbo

Form going into Kolding IF vs Vendsyssel FF

Kolding IF

1. Division

  • D1-1away to Hobro10 October 2026

Vendsyssel FF

1. Division

  • L0-2HB Koge11 October 2026

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

Denmark 1. Division table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
9Kolding IF143651720-315
12Vendsyssel FF142661424-1012

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Kolding IF vs Vendsyssel FF

  • 8 July 2026Kolding IF 1–0 Vendsyssel FFFriendlies Clubs
  • 14 February 2025Kolding IF 2–0 Vendsyssel FFFriendlies Clubs
  • 8 November 2024Kolding IF 0–0 Vendsyssel FF1. Division
  • 10 August 2024Vendsyssel FF 2–1 Kolding IF1. Division
  • 3 May 2024Vendsyssel FF 2–4 Kolding IF1. Division

The result against the call

Kolding IF beat Vendsyssel FF 2–1. The model had made a win for Kolding IF its most likely outcome, at 46%, so the call held; the score it named was 1–0. The goals: M. Lynge 52' for Kolding IF, V. Morozov 85' for Kolding IF, A. Rise 90+2' for Vendsyssel FF.

What this result changed

Before kick-off the season simulation gave Kolding IF a 35.6% chance to finish in the bottom three: 26.6% after a win, 40.4% after a draw, 50.9% after a defeat. The win was the best of those results for them, and left the figure at 26.6%, 9 points lower than before the match.

For Vendsyssel FF the question was the chance to finish in the bottom three, 58.8% going in: 41.8% after a win, 56.9% after a draw, 66.2% after a defeat. The defeat was the worst of those results for them, and left the figure at 66.2%, 7.4 points higher than before the match.

Read from our 1. Division season simulation as it stood before this match (10,000 runs), counting this result alone. Every result since then has moved the table again, so today's figure is on the competition page.

How the call on Kolding IF v Vendsyssel FF has moved

First published on 6 Oct at 41% / 30% / 29% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 3 updates, it read 46% / 29% / 25%: the biggest move is Kolding IF's chance of winning, up 5 points.

  1. Kolding IF win46%▲ +5
  2. Draw29%▼ −1
  3. Vendsyssel FF win25%▼ −4

Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.