2 November 2026, 19:00 UTC

Heracles vs FC OSS Eerste Divisie prediction & result

Asito Stadium, Almelo
Referee: Ingmar Oostrom
Full time2 – 0

Final score: Heracles 2-0 FC OSS.

Before kick-off the model made it 68% Heracles, 19% draw, 13% FC OSS — fair odds of 1.47, 5.26 and 7.69.

Most likely scoreline: 2-0.

The model called the exact scoreline.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

Heracles at 68%: of 505 settled 65–100% forecasts, 68.3% came in (average 72.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

⚽Lars Mol (OG)
10'
26'
Marcelencio Esajas
40'
Richard van der Venne
47'
Delano Vianello
Sem Scheperman
56'
64'
🔁Franslyn Nsingiout: Andy Visser
64'
🔁K. Lubranoout: Maurilio de Lannoy
🔁Tristan Van Gilstout: Jeff Reine-Adélaïde
68'
74'
🔁Lars Molout: Siriné Doucouré
83'
🔁Julian Kuijpersout: Milo Horemans
83'
🔁Ilounga Pataout: Maxim Mariani
🔁Manny Rodriguez Balderaout: David Tomic
84'
⚽Sem Schepermanassist: David Tomic
90+2'

Match stats — Heracles vs FC OSS

66%Possession34%
31Shots7
9On target0
13Corners4
2.67xG0.5

Goals against chances

Heracles2 from 2.67 xGless than the chances were worth
FC OSS0 from 0.50 xGless than the chances were worth

Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.

Line-ups

Heracles 4-2-3-1
  • 1F. de KeijzerG
  • 15David VicenteD
  • 4D. MiraniD
  • 14M. WruschD
  • 25MannyD
  • 5D. van der KustM
  • 32S. SchepermanM
  • 7C. AbbasM
  • 17T. van GilstM
  • 18M. HauswirthM
  • 27J. N'djoliF
Substitutes
  • 11J. Reine-AdélaïdeM
  • 3Mario BoracD
  • 2M. BenitaD
  • 6D. TomićM
  • 33L. ZeevalkinkG
  • 23M. te WierikD
  • 26D. van KaamM
  • 30D. van OorschotF
  • 16T. JansinkG
Coach: V. Heilmann
FC OSS 4-3-3
  • 1M. HavekotteG
  • 2I. PataD
  • 3L. MiguelD
  • 23D. VianelloD
  • 26Julian KuijpersD
  • 10R. van der VenneM
  • 8M. EsajasM
  • 28L. MolM
  • 18K. LubranoF
  • 19F. NsingiF
  • 17M. HinokeF
Substitutes
  • 12A. HenryD
  • 99S. DoucouréF
  • 22Mert ErkanF
  • 6M. HoremansM
  • 30S. JansenG
  • 4Q. JansenD
  • 24Jay KuiperD
  • 14M. MarianiD
  • 9Andy VisserF
Coach: S. Ultee

Form going into Heracles vs FC OSS

Heracles

Eerste Divisie

  • D1-1away to NAC Breda23 October 2026
  • W5-1away to MVV18 October 2026

FC OSS

Eerste Divisie

  • D3-3Jong Ajax23 October 2026
  • L1-2away to Den Bosch16 October 2026

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

Eerste Divisie table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
1Heracles1512214616+3038
14FC OSS155282224-217

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Heracles vs FC OSS

  • 17 March 2023FC OSS 1–5 HeraclesEerste Divisie
  • 19 November 2022Heracles 3–0 FC OSSEerste Divisie

Leading scorers: Heracles and FC OSS

Heracles

GoalsAssists

  • J. N'djoli143
  • T. van Gilst112

FC OSS

GoalsAssists

  • M. Hinoke60

Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.

The result against the call

Heracles beat FC OSS 2–0. That was the exact score the model named before kick-off, with a win for Heracles at 68%. The goals: Lars Mol (own goal) 10' for Heracles, Sem Scheperman 90+2' for Heracles. On expected goals it finished 2.67–0.50.

What this result changed

Before kick-off the season simulation gave Heracles a 82.1% chance to finish top of the Eerste Divisie: Regular season: 84.0% after a win, 78.9% after a draw, 75.2% after a defeat. The win was the best of those results for them, and left the figure at 84.0%, 1.9 points higher than before the match.

For FC OSS the question was the chance to finish in the bottom three, 19.2% going in: 12.4% after a win, 16.6% after a draw, 20.0% after a defeat. The defeat was the worst of those results for them, and left the figure at 20.0%, 0.8 points higher than before the match.

Read from our Eerste Divisie season simulation as it stood before this match (10,000 runs), counting this result alone. Every result since then has moved the table again, so today's figure is on the competition page.

How the call on Heracles v FC OSS has moved

First published on 19 Oct at 51% / 27% / 22% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 4 updates, it read 68% / 19% / 13%: the biggest move is Heracles's chance of winning, up 17 points.

  1. Heracles win68%▲ +17
  2. Draw19%▼ −8
  3. FC OSS win13%▼ −9

Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.