Hillerød vs Kolding IF 1. Division prediction & result
Final score: Hillerød 3-1 Kolding IF.
Before kick-off the model made it 41% Hillerød, 29% draw, 30% Kolding IF — fair odds of 2.44, 3.45 and 3.33.
Most likely scoreline: 1-0.
The model called the result correctly.
Published · updated
All 1. Division (Denmark) predictions →
Has the model earned this number?
Hillerød at 41%: of 2,957 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 4 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Line-ups
- 1A. Dithmer
- 13S. Larsen
- 7J. Witt
- 25W. Glindtvad
- 17M. Julo
- 6H. Derrar
- 11M. Mouritz
- 19R. Corlu
- 8T. Arndal
- 14S. Opoku
- 24F. Hogh Jensen
- 3A. Oppenhagen
- 2A. Hoyer
- 18O. Lauritsen
- 12N. Schmidt
- 47M. Munck
- 20B. Kucukylidiz
- 22S. Jalaei
- 10P. Kallsberg
- 23J. Sigurdsson
- 28A. Danko
- 25M. Nyassi
- 21M. Doj
- 3A. Norager
- 5G. Friberg
- 11A. Arshad
- 4F. Lesniak
- 34A. Manneh
- 22I. Tannander
- 7T. Augustinus-Jensen
- 18V. Morozov
- 27K. Shushman
- 29J. Hansen
- 38V. Thogersen
- 6M. Lynge
- 30G. Steffensen
- 42P. Thome
- 45Y. Ouattara
- 20D. Johannesson
- 26I. Niare
Form going into Hillerød vs Kolding IF
Hillerød
1. Division
- L0-2away to Aarhus Fremad1 November 2026
- W2-1Aalborg24 October 2026
- L0-1away to Hvidovre18 October 2026
- L0-2FC Fredericia10 October 2026
Kolding IF
1. Division
- W3-2HB Koge31 October 2026
- L0-1away to AB Copenhagen24 October 2026
- W2-1Vendsyssel FF16 October 2026
- D1-1away to Hobro10 October 2026
What these results say
- Hillerød conceded in every one of these 4 matches.
- Hillerød failed to win 3 of these 4 matches.
- Hillerød failed to score in 3 of these 4 matches.
- Kolding IF conceded in every one of these 4 matches.
- Kolding IF scored in 3 of these 4 matches.
- Both sides scored in 3 of these 4 matches for Kolding IF.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Denmark 1. Division table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Hillerød | 14 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 18 | 21 | -3 | 15 |
| 9 | Kolding IF | 14 | 3 | 6 | 5 | 17 | 20 | -3 | 15 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Hillerød vs Kolding IF
- 18 September 2026Kolding IF 1–1 Hillerød1. Division
- 25 May 2026Kolding IF 3–0 Hillerød1. Division
- 25 April 2026Hillerød 2–0 Kolding IF1. Division
- 1 November 2025Hillerød 1–1 Kolding IF1. Division
- 29 August 2025Kolding IF 0–0 Hillerød1. Division
- 18 October 2024Kolding IF 3–1 Hillerød1. Division
The result against the call
Hillerød beat Kolding IF 3–1. The model had made a win for Hillerød its most likely outcome, at 41%, so the call held; the score it named was 1–0. The goals: F. Hogh Jensen 11' for Hillerød, F. Hogh Jensen 54' for Hillerød, F. Hogh Jensen 60' for Hillerød, A. Norager 63' for Kolding IF.
What this result changed
Before kick-off the season simulation gave Hillerød a 45.9% chance to finish in the bottom three: 32.6% after a win, 50.8% after a draw, 59.3% after a defeat. The win was the best of those results for them, and left the figure at 32.6%, 13.3 points lower than before the match.
For Kolding IF the question was the chance to finish in the top six, 39.0% going in: 55.1% after a win, 37.8% after a draw, 27.7% after a defeat. The defeat was the worst of those results for them, and left the figure at 27.7%, 11.3 points lower than before the match.
Read from our 1. Division season simulation as it stood before this match (10,000 runs), counting this result alone. Every result since then has moved the table again, so today's figure is on the competition page.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line; middle ring: the model's probability for this match. Not betting advice. How to read this.