7 November 2026, 16:00 UTC

Ironi Kiryat Shmona vs Hapoel Haifa Ligat Ha'al prediction & result

Kiryat Shmona Municipal Stadium, Kiryat Shmona
Full time2 – 0

Final score: Ironi Kiryat Shmona 2-0 Hapoel Haifa.

Before kick-off the model made it 36% Ironi Kiryat Shmona, 27% draw, 37% Hapoel Haifa — fair odds of 2.78, 3.70 and 2.70.

Most likely scoreline: 1-2.

The model got this one wrong.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

Hapoel Haifa at 37%: of 4,828 settled 30–40% forecasts, 33.4% came in (average 33.7%). It can be read literally. The full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Ironi Kiryat Shmona97%Draw3%Hapoel Haifa0%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 2 goals, and a card each of the 1 sending-off. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

15'
🔁Wahib·Habiballaout: Shai Elias
Amadou Sagna
16'
35'
Dario Župarić
45+2'
Dario Župarić
45'
🔁Itai Zafraniout: george diba
🔁Alexandru Popout: Niv Michael Gabay
58'
🔁Ariel Sheratzkyout: Rufat Abdullazada
58'
58'
🔁Liran Rotmanout: William Agade
ovadia darwish
64'
⚽Shay Ben Davidassist: Talles Costa
69'
Nemanja Ljubisavljević
75'
78'
•yaad gonen
78'
Haim Silvas
Niv Michael Gabay
81'
🔁Mor Simantovout: Bilal Shaheen
81'
83'
🔁Noam Cohenout: tamir arbel
83'
🔁C Keitaout: C Diakité
Talles Costa
87'
⚽Bilal Shaheenassist: Niv Michael Gabay
90+3'
Bilal Shaheen
90+3'

Match stats — Ironi Kiryat Shmona vs Hapoel Haifa

46%Possession54%
13Shots6
4On target0
3Corners4
1.39xG0.47

Goals against chances

Ironi Kiryat Shmona2 from 1.39 xGmore than the chances were worth
Hapoel Haifa0 from 0.47 xGabout what the chances were worth

Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.

Line-ups

Ironi Kiryat Shmona 4-2-3-1
  • 19DanielG
  • 20O. DarwishD
  • 26N. LjubisavljevićD
  • 32S. Ben-DavidD
  • 11S. SabahD
  • 8Talles CostaM
  • 6O. BenbenishtiM
  • 7A. SagnaM
  • 10A. ShirdatzkiM
  • 16M. SimantovM
  • 9A. PopF
Substitutes
  • 21R. AbdullazadəM
  • 30A. AsefaM
  • 44S. EdriD
  • 27Y. MalkaM
  • 1Nikola DjurkovicG
  • 24N. MarkovitchM
  • 39N. GabayF
  • 91B. ShaheenF
  • 28I. VaierD
Coach: S. Barda
Hapoel Haifa 4-2-3-1
  • 1Y. GerafiG
  • 2N. CohenD
  • 13D. ŽuparićD
  • 5I. KričakD
  • 77A. MendyD
  • 55N. SabagM
  • 8Cheick KeitaM
  • 14W. HabiballaM
  • 15Y. GonenM
  • 7L. RotmanM
  • 18Itay ZafraniF
Substitutes
  • 19S. ElkayamD
  • 4D. MalulD
  • 25G. DibaD
  • 3T. ArbelD
  • 23M. AmbarG
  • 9W. AgadaF
  • 42T. NaimM
  • 21C DiakitéF
  • 10S. EliasM
Coach: H. Silbas

Form going into Ironi Kiryat Shmona vs Hapoel Haifa

Ironi Kiryat Shmona

Ligat Ha'al

  • D1-1away to Beitar Jerusalem31 October 2026
  • L0-1Bnei Sakhnin24 October 2026
  • L0-1away to Maccabi Netanya17 October 2026
  • L1-3Hapoel Tel Aviv10 October 2026

Hapoel Haifa

Ligat Ha'al

  • W2-1Hapoel Petah Tikva31 October 2026
  • L2-6away to Maccabi Tel Aviv24 October 2026
  • L0-2Hapoel Ramat Gan17 October 2026
  • W2-1Maccabi Petah Tikva10 October 2026

What these results say

  • Ironi Kiryat Shmona did not win any of these 4 matches.
  • Ironi Kiryat Shmona conceded in every one of these 4 matches.
  • 3 of these 4 matches for Ironi Kiryat Shmona had two goals or fewer.
  • Hapoel Haifa conceded in every one of these 4 matches.
  • Hapoel Haifa scored in 3 of these 4 matches.
  • 3 of these 4 matches for Hapoel Haifa had three goals or more.

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

Ligat Ha'al table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
11Ironi Kiryat Shmona10217917-87
8Hapoel Haifa103341318-512

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Ironi Kiryat Shmona vs Hapoel Haifa

  • 8 August 2026Hapoel Haifa 1–3 Ironi Kiryat ShmonaToto Cup Ligat Al
  • 10 July 2026Hapoel Haifa 0–0 Ironi Kiryat ShmonaFriendlies Clubs
  • 3 May 2026Ironi Kiryat Shmona 2–0 Hapoel HaifaLigat Ha'al
  • 19 January 2026Ironi Kiryat Shmona 3–1 Hapoel HaifaLigat Ha'al
  • 4 October 2025Hapoel Haifa 0–0 Ironi Kiryat ShmonaLigat Ha'al
  • 23 July 2025Hapoel Haifa 0–1 Ironi Kiryat ShmonaToto Cup Ligat Al

Leading scorers: Ironi Kiryat Shmona and Hapoel Haifa

Ironi Kiryat Shmona

No player in Ligat Ha'al's leading scorers — 9 league goals as a side.

Hapoel Haifa

GoalsAssists

  • A. Turgeman51

Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.

The result against the call

Ironi Kiryat Shmona beat Hapoel Haifa 2–0. The model had leaned towards a win for Hapoel Haifa at 37% and given a win for Ironi Kiryat Shmona 36%. The goals: Shay Ben David 69' for Ironi Kiryat Shmona, Bilal Shaheen 90+3' for Ironi Kiryat Shmona. Sent off: Dario Župarić (Hapoel Haifa) 45+2'. On expected goals it finished 1.39–0.47.

What this result changed

Before kick-off the season simulation gave Ironi Kiryat Shmona a 48.2% chance to finish in the bottom three: 39.0% after a win, 50.0% after a draw, 56.9% after a defeat. The win was the best of those results for them, and left the figure at 39.0%, 9.2 points lower than before the match.

For Hapoel Haifa the question was the chance to finish in the top six, 21.7% going in: 28.0% after a win, 19.6% after a draw, 16.7% after a defeat. The defeat was the worst of those results for them, and left the figure at 16.7%, 5 points lower than before the match.

Read from our Ligat Ha'al season simulation as it stood before this match (10,000 runs), counting this result alone. Every result since then has moved the table again, so today's figure is on the competition page.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.