Maccabi Haifa vs Maccabi Netanya Ligat Ha'al prediction & result
Final score: Maccabi Haifa 0-4 Maccabi Netanya.
Before kick-off the model made it 49% Maccabi Haifa, 23% draw, 28% Maccabi Netanya — fair odds of 2.04, 4.35 and 3.57.
Most likely scoreline: 2-1.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
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Has the model earned this number?
Maccabi Haifa at 49%: of 2,957 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Maccabi Haifa vs Maccabi Netanya
Goals against chances
Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.
Line-ups
- 55O. GlazerG
- 2E. DasaD
- 21N. LonwijkD
- 66TsunamiD
- 8Y. LeviM
- 16K. SaiefM
- 30Pedro BrazãoM
- 36N. RatnerM
- 10BruninhoM
- 11K. GorréM
- 9A. NovakovićF
- 25J. BatailleD
- 29Iyad KhalailiM
- 4A. MuhammadM
- 7Y. MordechaiM
- 1yaacov omer on nirG
- 44PedrãoD
- 26S. KaniM
- 35N. SztejfmanD
- 38Adam GrimbergF
- 22SamuG
- 12A. AzugiD
- 23O. VerdonD
- 44Benny FeldmanD
- 2G. MorozovD
- 32A. OuattaraM
- 98G. SimionM
- 10O. BiluM
- 15M. LeviM
- 16B. ZaaruraM
- 83Matheus DavóF
- 11D. HugiF
- 26K. JaberD
- 6B. KonatéD
- 13N. NiddamM
- 25W. CyprienM
- 1N. AntmanG
- 9E. AlmogF
- 21A. TalpaM
- 17Y. AbuhaziraF
Form going into Maccabi Haifa vs Maccabi Netanya
Maccabi Haifa
Ligat Ha'al
- L1-2away to Hapoel Tel Aviv2 November 2026
- L2-5Hapoel Beer Sheva26 October 2026
- W2-1away to Maccabi Petah Tikva17 October 2026
- W4-1away to Hapoel Jerusalem12 October 2026
Maccabi Netanya
Ligat Ha'al
- D1-1Hapoel Jerusalem31 October 2026
- D1-1away to Ironi Tiberias24 October 2026
- W1-0Ironi Kiryat Shmona17 October 2026
- W3-0away to Hapoel Petah Tikva10 October 2026
What these results say
- Maccabi Haifa scored in every one of these 4 matches.
- Maccabi Haifa conceded in every one of these 4 matches.
- Every one of these 4 matches for Maccabi Haifa had three goals or more.
- Maccabi Netanya went unbeaten through these 4 matches.
- Maccabi Netanya scored in every one of these 4 matches.
- 3 of these 4 matches for Maccabi Netanya had two goals or fewer.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Ligat Ha'al table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Maccabi Haifa | 10 | 6 | 0 | 4 | 21 | 20 | +1 | 18 |
| 6 | Maccabi Netanya | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 16 | 8 | +8 | 16 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Maccabi Haifa vs Maccabi Netanya
- 24 January 2026Maccabi Netanya 4–1 Maccabi HaifaLigat Ha'al
- 18 October 2025Maccabi Haifa 2–3 Maccabi NetanyaLigat Ha'al
- 24 May 2025Maccabi Netanya 2–3 Maccabi HaifaLigat Ha'al
- 20 April 2025Maccabi Haifa 1–0 Maccabi NetanyaLigat Ha'al
- 14 January 2025Maccabi Haifa 1–0 Maccabi NetanyaState Cup
- 21 December 2024Maccabi Haifa 2–1 Maccabi NetanyaLigat Ha'al
Leading scorers: Maccabi Haifa and Maccabi Netanya
Maccabi Haifa
GoalsAssists
- Bruninho45
- A. Novaković41
Maccabi Netanya
GoalsAssists
- Matheus Davó52
- O. Bilu33
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Maccabi Netanya won 4–0 at Maccabi Haifa. The model had leaned towards a win for Maccabi Haifa at 49% and given a win for Maccabi Netanya 28%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 4 matches like this one. The goals: Andrija Novakovich (own goal) 48' for Maccabi Netanya, Oz Bilu 71' for Maccabi Netanya, Nadav Niddam 87' for Maccabi Netanya, Eylon Almog 89' for Maccabi Netanya. On expected goals it finished 0.90–0.73.
What this result changed
Before kick-off the season simulation gave Maccabi Haifa a 96.0% chance to finish in the top six: 97.9% after a win, 96.3% after a draw, 93.6% after a defeat. The defeat was the worst of those results for them, and left the figure at 93.6%, 2.4 points lower than before the match.
For Maccabi Netanya the question was the chance to finish in the top six, 54.1% going in: 64.2% after a win, 54.0% after a draw, 49.3% after a defeat. The win was the best of those results for them, and left the figure at 64.2%, 10.1 points higher than before the match.
Read from our Ligat Ha'al season simulation as it stood before this match (10,000 runs), counting this result alone. Every result since then has moved the table again, so today's figure is on the competition page.
How the call on Maccabi Haifa v Maccabi Netanya has moved
First published on 24 Oct at 56% / 22% / 22% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 4 updates, it read 49% / 23% / 28%: the biggest move is Maccabi Haifa's chance of winning, down 7 points.
- Maccabi Haifa win49%▼ −7
- Draw23%▲ +1
- Maccabi Netanya win28%▲ +6
Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line; middle ring: the model's probability for this match. Not betting advice. How to read this.