Kashiwa Reysol vs Daejeon Citizen AFC Champions League Elite prediction & result
Final score: Kashiwa Reysol 2-0 Daejeon Citizen.
Before kick-off the model made it 47% Kashiwa Reysol, 24% draw, 29% Daejeon Citizen — fair odds of 2.13, 4.17 and 3.45.
Most likely scoreline: 2-1.
The model called the result correctly.
Published · updated
All AFC Champions League Elite predictions →
Has the model earned this number?
Kashiwa Reysol at 47%: of 2,957 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 2 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Kashiwa Reysol vs Daejeon Citizen
Goals against chances
Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.
Line-ups
- 29K. NagaiG
- 42W. HaradaD
- 4T. KogaD
- 26D. SugiokaD
- 24T. KuboM
- 39N. NakagawaM
- 40R. HarakawaM
- 5K. EndoM
- 8Y. KoizumiM
- 87H. YamauchiM
- 15S. FujioF
- 9M. HosoyaF
- 16K. YurukiM
- 44K. YubaM
- 32Y. YamanouchiD
- 20Y. SegawaM
- 2H. MitsumaruD
- 25R. KojimaG
- 64Ryo IgarashiM
- 13T. InukaiD
- 1Lee Chang-GeunG
- 13Kim Jin-YaD
- 3Kim Min-DukD
- 4Jo Seong-KwonD
- 2Park Kyu-HyunD
- 77João VictorM
- 30Kim Bong-SooM
- 44Lee Soon-MinM
- 27Jeong Jae-HeeM
- 9Diogo de OliveiraF
- 14Kim Jun-BumF
- 19Seo Jin-SuF
- 41Park Byung-chanM
- 17G. LudwigsonM
- 16Lee Myung-JaeD
- 25Lee Jun-SeoG
- 98A. KrivotsyukD
- 33Kim Moon-HwanD
- 31Kim Min-SooG
- 6Kang Yun-SungD
Form going into Kashiwa Reysol vs Daejeon Citizen
Kashiwa Reysol
AFC Champions League Elite
- D0-0away to Ratchaburi27 October 2026
- W5-1Port FC14 October 2026
- L1-2away to Jeonbuk Motors16 September 2026
Daejeon Citizen
AFC Champions League Elite
- L0-1Vissel Kobe27 October 2026
- D1-1away to SHANGHAI SIPG13 October 2026
- W1-0Kyoto Sanga15 September 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
AFC Champions League Elite table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Kashiwa Reysol | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 3 | +5 | 7 |
| 10 | Daejeon Citizen | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -2 | 4 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
The result against the call
Kashiwa Reysol beat Daejeon Citizen 2–0. The model had made a win for Kashiwa Reysol its most likely outcome, at 47%, so the call held; the score it named was 2–1. The goals: Keita Endo 47' for Kashiwa Reysol, Shota Fujio 57' for Kashiwa Reysol. On expected goals it finished 2.44–0.50.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent matches in our records (any competition, kept since July 2026) before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line; middle ring: the model's probability for this match. Not betting advice. How to read this.